Scoring
#1 Start

Skattebo

RB · NYG vs ARI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

21.1pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

Williams

RB · LA vs PHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

19.8pts

market

Mod Conf

Cam Skattebo or Kyren Williams: who should I start in Week 4?

Start Cam Skattebo. Bench Kyren Williams. Cam Skattebo leads at 21.1. Kyren Williams is the first one out, 1.3 short.

Crowd: 89% of managers started Skattebo, 97% started Williams.

Highlights

Cam SkatteboStart
RB · NYG vs ARI

Pros

  • Goal-line back1.2 GL carries/g
  • Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
  • High floor13.4 floor

Cons

  • Committee back15% of touches
Kyren WilliamsBench
RB · LA vs PHI

Pros

  • Goal-line back1.2 GL carries/g
  • Positive game scriptFavored
  • High floor12.7 floor

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

SkatteboStart
WilliamsBench
Projection21.119.8
Floor13.412.7
Ceiling23.020.4
Touch share15%35%
Opportunity score13.813.9
Matchup grade(recency weighted)AB-
Implied team total21.023.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is boom rate: Skattebo 17%, Williams 6%.

Latest game on the card: Skattebo 13, Williams 21.8 (PPR points).

Why Cam Skattebo

Start Cam Skattebo — projects 21.1, a run-funnel matchup vs ARI.

Cam Skattebo projects 21.1 points on a 13.4–23.0 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against ARI. Usage: carries / game at 12.6. Net: start Cam Skattebo this week.

Working for Skattebo: Goal-line back (1.2 GL carries/g), Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), High floor (13.4 floor).

Working against Skattebo: Committee back (15% of touches).

Where Skattebo leads the head-to-head: Projection (21.1 vs 19.8); Floor (13.4 vs 12.7); Ceiling (23.0 vs 20.4); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs B-); Consistency (66% vs 62%); Boom rate (17% vs 6%); Bust rate (0% vs 6%); Target share (13% vs 8%).

Why Kyren Williams

Sit Kyren Williams — projects 19.8, an even matchup vs PHI.

Kyren Williams projects 19.8 points on a 12.7–20.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against PHI. Usage: carries / game at 15.2. Net: bench Kyren Williams this week.

Working for Williams: Goal-line back (1.2 GL carries/g), Positive game script (Favored), High floor (12.7 floor).

Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Touch share (35% vs 15%); Opportunity score (13.9 vs 13.8); Implied team total (23.0 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (17.7 vs 12.2); Last 5 avg (16.0 vs 13.0); vs season (+1.0 vs -3.1); Carries / game (15.2 vs 12.6); Touches / game (17.4 vs 15.6); Yards per carry (4.8 vs 4.1); Snap share (68% vs 52%); Goal line carries (20 vs 10); Red zone carries (61 vs 24).

Recent form

Cam Skattebo's last 5 games: PPR points 18.4, 10, 14.1, 9.5, 13 (oldest to newest).

Kyren Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 16, 11.1, 15.5, 15.7, 21.8 (oldest to newest).

Skattebo has already beaten Williams's 19.8 projection in 0 of his 5; Williams has beaten Skattebo's 21.1 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Cam Skattebo (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.

Kyren Williams (LA) faces PHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.0, spread -3.5.

What flips it

Skattebo's edge is 1.3 points (21.1 to 19.8). Skattebo's floor (13.4) sits under Williams's projection, so a quiet game from Skattebo flips it. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.