New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Coleman

WR · BUF vs BAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points6.7pts

First out

Johnston

WR · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Keon Coleman or Quentin Johnston: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Keon Coleman gets the nod over Quentin Johnston.

Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 46%; of leagues

Johnston's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Johnston

The case for Johnston is a safer floor (4.0 to 3.5) and more upside (a ceiling of 13.8 to 11.4).

Flips if

Start Quentin Johnston instead if you want more of the snaps (81% to 68%).

Risk

Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

ColemanToss-upWR · BUF vs BALUsually 10.9−4.2pts this week

Helps him

28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
BALvs WRsEdgeBAL is the 5th softest defense for receivers.
+4.8last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.8 points above his season average.
3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.

Hurts him

−1.8ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 29.5 receiving yards, below his usual 47.2.
−1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.
−0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.

JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week

Helps him

+3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection6.77.6

TD pointsof the projection1.3Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.21Our estimate

Projected team points28.819.3

Red zone targetsper game0.80.0

Role

Snap share68%81%

Usage worthpts7.47.4

Target share15%15%

Targets / game4.04.4

Air yards share24%25%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAbove0 RZ targets

WOPR0.400.40

RZ target share15%0%

Catch rate79%36%

Separation2.9 yds2.9 yds

YAC over expected−0.6−1.3

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 7.4Scored 10.9Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0

Vacated targets this week0.04.0

Inside 10 target share17%0%

Range

Floor3.54.0

Ceiling11.413.8

Points from TDssteadier when lower28%0%

Big weeks (20+ pts)10%8%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better40%61%

SteadinessUp & down±6.8 ptsUp & down±6.1 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmA-C

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.90.9

Defense funnelPassNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed15th (average)4th (tough)

Starting QBAllen (Active)Herbert (Active)

Opp defender outRobinson (LB)None listed

Roof / surfaceturfOpenDome

Rest / scheduleOff a byeOff a bye

Opp pace17th (average)3rd (fast)

Opp deep targets allowed / game2.911th (average)2.15th (tough)

Opp catch rate allowed67%29th (soft)53%1st (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg15.76.2

Last 5 avg12.85.0

vs season+4.8 (Rising)+1.3 (Rising)

Yards per route run2.341.31

Receiving aDOT14.314.0

Target share trendSteadySteady

Games since injuryNone recently1

Crowd

Started in leagues47%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR55WR50

Yards linereceiving29.5Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?