Swift
RB · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points17.3ptsUsage estimate
Pollard
RB · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Rest day
Projected points13.8pts
Lean
Bench
D'Andre Swift or Tony Pollard: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean D'Andre Swift over Tony Pollard.
- Ahead by
- +3.5pts
- over Pollard
- Confidence
- Moderate
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 91%
- of leagues
Swift's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Tony Pollard instead if you want a bigger share of the backfield work (42% of the team's touches to 34%).
Risk
The risk: Swift faces the Seahawks, the 7th toughest defense for running backs.
Highlights
SwiftLeanRB · CHI @ SEAUsually 17.5−0.3pts this week
Helps him
- +2.3ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- 11.3floorA quiet week still projects to about 11.3 points.
- 30%big weeks30% of his games have been big weeks.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.6ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- −1.4ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
- SEAvs RBsEdgeSEA is the 7th toughest defense for running backs.
PollardFirst outRB · TEN @ CINUsually 12.5+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- 36.5last weekHe ran for 129 yards, caught 3 for 26 and scored three touchdowns last week (36.5 points).
- 56%touch shareHis share of the backfield touches rose to 56% in Week 7, against 42% for the season.
Hurts him
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 44%dud weeks44% of his games have been dud weeks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSwift: 17.3 (best)Pollard: 13.8
TD pointsof the projectionSwift: Our estimatePollard: 3.5
Expected TDsthis weekSwift: Our estimatePollard: 0.58
Projected team pointsSwift: 21.8 (best)Pollard: 17.0
Goal line carriesper gameSwift: 2.0 (best)Pollard: 1.3
Red zone carriesper gameSwift: 4.0 (best)Pollard: 3.7
Red zone targetsper gameSwift: 0.3 (best)Pollard: 0.0
Role
Snap shareSwift: 62% (best)Pollard: 59%
Usage worthptsSwift: 17.8 (best)Pollard: 14.2
Touch shareSwift: 34%Pollard: 42% (best)
Target shareSwift: 11% (best)Pollard: 8%
Touches / gameSwift: 19.7 (best)Pollard: 17.6
Targets / gameSwift: 3.6 (best)Pollard: 2.3
Air yards shareSwift: Behind the linePollard: 2%
Vacated touches this weekSwift: 0.0Pollard: 0.0
High value touches / gameSwift: 6.0 (best)Pollard: 4.0
Goal line carry shareSwift: 56%Pollard: 69% (best)
Red zone touches / gameSwift: 4.3 (best)Pollard: 3.7
Rush success rateSwift: 44% (best)Pollard: 43%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Swift: 1.7% (best)Pollard: 0.9%
Usage worth vs scoredSwift: Earned by usage 17.8Scored 17.5Pollard: Earned by usage 14.2Scored 12.5
Rush yards / gameSwift: 68.0Pollard: 68.3 (best)
Points from rushingSwift: 73%Pollard: 82%
WOPRSwift: 0.15 (best)Pollard: 0.13
RZ target shareSwift: 6% (best)Pollard: 0%
Inside 10 target shareSwift: 7% (best)Pollard: 0%
Catch rateSwift: 88% (best)Pollard: 69%
Rushing points / gameSwift: 12.8 pts / game (best)Pollard: 10.3 pts / game
Rushing floorSwift: 8.1 pts / game (best)Pollard: 7.5 pts / game
Range
FloorSwift: 11.3 (best)Pollard: 8.2
CeilingSwift: 25.5 (best)Pollard: 21.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSwift: 34%Pollard: 27%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Swift: 30% (best)Pollard: 13%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterSwift: 17% (best)Pollard: 44%
SteadinessSwift: Steady (best)±8.1 ptsPollard: Up & down±9.5 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSwift: D+2026, 7 gmPollard: C (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSwift: Expected to trail (best)Pollard: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSwift: 1.7Pollard: 1.5 (best)
Defense funnelSwift: NeutralPollard: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedSwift: 6th (tough)Pollard: 19th (average) (best)
Backfield roleSwift: LeadPollard: Lead
Roof / surfaceturfSwift: OpenPollard: Open
Rest / scheduleSwift: 11 days restPollard: Normal
Opp paceSwift: 9th (fast) (best)Pollard: 20th (average)
Opp stuff rateSwift: 22% (best)4th (tough)Pollard: 25%1st (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedSwift: 3.42nd (tough)Pollard: 4.1 (best)12th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedSwift: 1st (tough)Pollard: 26th (soft) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Swift: 0.0Pollard: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedSwift: 86%28th (soft)Pollard: 86%27th (soft)
Starting QBSwift: Williams (Active)Pollard: Ward (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgSwift: 19.8 (best)Pollard: 16.4
Last 5 avgSwift: 15.5 (best)Pollard: 15.2
vs seasonSwift: +2.2 (Rising)Pollard: +3.9 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carrySwift: 4.1Pollard: 4.3 (best)
Carries / gameSwift: 16.6 (best)Pollard: 16.0
Yards per route runSwift: 1.49 (best)Pollard: 0.86
Receiving aDOTSwift: −1.4Pollard: 1.4
Touch share trendSwift: RisingPollard: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesSwift: 91% (best)Pollard: 76%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSwift: RB4 (best)Pollard: RB19
Yards linerushingSwift: Our estimatePollard: 65.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.