Wilson
WR · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points14.5pts
Smith
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points5.7ptsUsage estimate
12.5 if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
DeVonta Smith or Garrett Wilson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith.
- Ahead by
- +8.8pts
- over Smith
- Confidence
- High
- DeVonta Smith may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 92%
- of leagues
Smith's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Garrett Wilson or a bigger role for DeVonta Smith.
Risk
DeVonta Smith missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. DeVonta Smith missed his last game (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
WilsonStartWR · NYJ vs LVUsually 14.2+0.3pts this week
Helps him
- 24.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 24.0 points.
- 34%big weeks34% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- 4.6last weekHe caught 2 for 26 yards last week (4.6 points).
- 10%target shareHis share of the targets fell to 10% in Week 7, against 26% for the season.
SmithFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 17.3−11.6pts this week
Helps him
- 10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
Hurts him
- −9.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.0 points off his projection.
- −2.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilson: 14.5 (best)Smith: 5.7
TD pointsof the projectionWilson: 2.6Smith: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekWilson: 0.43Smith: Our estimate
Projected team pointsWilson: 23.5 (best)Smith: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameWilson: 0.6Smith: 0.8 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilson: 90% (best)Smith: 87%
Usage worthptsWilson: 11.7Smith: 17.4 (best)
Target shareWilson: 26%Smith: 32% (best)
Targets / gameWilson: 7.3Smith: 10.3 (best)
Air yards shareWilson: 36%Smith: 48% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilson: AboveSmith: Above
WOPRWilson: 0.64Smith: 0.81 (best)
RZ target shareWilson: 13%Smith: 27% (best)
Catch rateWilson: 73% (best)Smith: 63%
SeparationWilson: 2.5 yds (best)Smith: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedWilson: +0.6 (best)Smith: +0.3
Usage worth vs scoredWilson: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 14.2Smith: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 17.3
Vacated targets this weekWilson: 0.5 (best)Smith: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareWilson: 25%Smith: 33% (best)
Range
FloorWilson: 7.7 (best)Smith: 0.0
CeilingWilson: 24.0 (best)Smith: 9.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilson: 18%Smith: 17%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Wilson: 34% (best)Smith: 29%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilson: 29%Smith: 8% (best)
SteadinessWilson: Steady±8.5 ptsSmith: Steady (best)±8.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWilson: B2026, 7 gmSmith: B2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWilson: Expected to lead (best)Smith: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilson: 1.7Smith: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelWilson: NeutralSmith: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilson: 22nd (soft)Smith: 28th (soft) (best)
Starting QBWilson: Smith (Active)Smith: McKee (Active)
Opp defender outWilson: None listedSmith: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfaceWilson: OpenturfSmith: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleWilson: NormalSmith: Normal
Opp paceWilson: 9th (fast) (best)Smith: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilson: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)Smith: 3.826th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedWilson: 57%4th (tough)Smith: 67% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilson: 12.1Smith: 20.2 (best)
Last 5 avgWilson: 13.8Smith: 17.3 (best)
vs seasonWilson: −2.1 (Cooling)Smith: +3.0 (best)
Yards per route runWilson: 2.23Smith: 2.52 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilson: 9.6Smith: 12.2
Target share trendWilson: CoolingSmith: Steady
Games since injuryWilson: None recentlySmith: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilson: 93% (best)Smith: 49%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilson: WR14 (best)Smith: WR63
Yards linereceivingWilson: 63.5Smith: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.