Dobbins
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points6.4pts
Mitchell
RB · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points4.8pts
Lean
Bench
J.K. Dobbins or Keaton Mitchell: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean J.K. Dobbins over Keaton Mitchell.
- Ahead by
- +1.6pts
- over Mitchell
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Keaton Mitchell instead if you want more long runs (2.9% of carries go 20+ yards to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Dobbins's share of the backfield touches fell to 15% in Week 7, against 31% for the season.
Highlights
DobbinsLeanRB · DEN vs KCUsually 8.3−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- 1.1inside the 5He averages 1.1 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- +4.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 22.5 rushing yards, below his usual 41.9.
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
- 41%snapsHe plays only 41% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
MitchellFirst outRB · LAC @ LAUsually 6.2−1.3pts this week
Helps him
- OutGarrettEdgeHe faces a Rams defense without linebacker Myles Garrett.
Hurts him
- −1.3pts2 linesRushing yards 15.5 (usual 23.2) and catches 1.5 (usual 2.0) both sit below his usual.
- 17%touchesHe handles only 17% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDobbins: 6.4 (best)Mitchell: 4.8
TD pointsof the projectionDobbins: 2.1 (best)Mitchell: 1.1
Expected TDsthis weekDobbins: 0.35 (best)Mitchell: 0.19
Projected team pointsDobbins: 19.8 (best)Mitchell: 19.3
Goal line carriesper gameDobbins: 1.1 (best)Mitchell: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameDobbins: 1.9 (best)Mitchell: 0.5
Red zone targetsper gameDobbins: 0.0Mitchell: 0.2 (best)
Role
Snap shareDobbins: 41% (best)Mitchell: 32%
Usage worthptsDobbins: 10.3 (best)Mitchell: 6.6
Touch shareDobbins: 31% (best)Mitchell: 17%
Target shareDobbins: 5%Mitchell: 9% (best)
Touches / gameDobbins: 13.6 (best)Mitchell: 7.8
Targets / gameDobbins: 1.3Mitchell: 2.5 (best)
Vacated touches this weekDobbins: 2.6 (best)Mitchell: 0.0
High value touches / gameDobbins: 2.6 (best)Mitchell: 2.2
Goal line carry shareDobbins: 62% (best)Mitchell: 0%
Red zone touches / gameDobbins: 1.9 (best)Mitchell: 0.7
Rush success rateDobbins: 30%Mitchell: 37% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Dobbins: 0%Mitchell: 2.9% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredDobbins: Earned by usage 10.3Scored 8.3Mitchell: Earned by usage 6.6Scored 6.2
Rush yards / gameDobbins: 41.9 (best)Mitchell: 23.2
Points from rushingDobbins: 82%Mitchell: 37%
WOPRDobbins: 0.06Mitchell: 0.12 (best)
RZ target shareDobbins: 0%Mitchell: 5% (best)
Inside 10 target shareDobbins: 0%Mitchell: 8% (best)
Catch rateDobbins: 89% (best)Mitchell: 80%
Rushing points / gameDobbins: 6.8 pts / game (best)Mitchell: 2.3 pts / game
Rushing floorDobbins: 5.6 pts / game (best)Mitchell: 1.8 pts / game
Range
FloorDobbins: 3.8 (best)Mitchell: 2.6
CeilingDobbins: 10.3 (best)Mitchell: 8.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDobbins: 31%Mitchell: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Dobbins: 0%Mitchell: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterDobbins: 67%Mitchell: 67%
SteadinessDobbins: Steady (best)±5.1 pts · 6 gamesMitchell: Volatile±5.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDobbins: D+2026, 6 gmMitchell: D+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptDobbins: Expected to trail (best)Mitchell: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDobbins: 1.7Mitchell: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelDobbins: NeutralMitchell: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedDobbins: 13th (average)Mitchell: 18th (average) (best)
Backfield roleDobbins: CommitteeMitchell: Backup
Opp defender outDobbins: Norman-Lott (DT)Mitchell: Garrett (LB)
Roof / surfaceDobbins: OpengrassMitchell: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleDobbins: NormalMitchell: Off a bye
Opp paceDobbins: 24th (slow)Mitchell: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateDobbins: 21%9th (tough)Mitchell: 19% (best)14th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedDobbins: 3.42nd (tough)Mitchell: 3.8 (best)8th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedDobbins: 12th (average) (best)Mitchell: 4th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDobbins: 0.01st (tough)Mitchell: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDobbins: 79% (best)17th (average)Mitchell: 78%16th (average)
Starting QBDobbins: Nix (Active)Mitchell: Herbert (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgDobbins: 12.4 (best)Mitchell: 5.9
Last 5 avgDobbins: 10.2 (best)Mitchell: 7.2
vs seasonDobbins: +4.1 (Rising) (best)Mitchell: −0.3 (Steady)
Yards per carryDobbins: 3.4Mitchell: 4.0 (best)
Carries / gameDobbins: 12.4 (best)Mitchell: 5.8
Yards per route runDobbins: 0.87 (best)Mitchell: 0.83
Receiving aDOTDobbins: −1.1Mitchell: −1.8
Touch share trendDobbins: SteadyMitchell: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesDobbins: 38%Mitchell: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDobbins: RB36 (best)Mitchell: RB49
Yards linerushingDobbins: 22.5 (best)Mitchell: 15.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.