Courtland Sutton or Keon Coleman: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Courtland Sutton gets the nod over Keon Coleman.
Ahead by
+1.9pts
over Coleman
Confidence
Lower
The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Sutton's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Keon Coleman instead if you want the easier matchup (the 5th softest defense for receivers, while Sutton faces the 7th toughest defense for receivers).
Risk
The risk: Sutton faces the Chiefs, the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
Highlights
Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
SuttonToss-upWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week
Helps him
+3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
ColemanFirst outWR · BUF vs BALUsually 10.9−4.2pts this week
Helps him
28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
BALvs WRsEdgeBAL is the 5th softest defense for receivers.
+4.8last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.8 points above his season average.
3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
−1.8ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 29.5 receiving yards, below his usual 47.2.
−1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.50.
−0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.2.
15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
StatStat comparisonEvery player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
ScoringHigh impact
ProjectionSutton: 8.6 (best)Coleman: 6.7
TD pointsof the projectionSutton: Our estimateColeman: 1.3