Pollard
RB · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Rest day
Projected points13.8pts
Allgeier
RB · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Toe
Projected points5.9ptsUsage estimate
7.3 if he plays · 80% to play
Start
Bench
Tony Pollard or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Tony Pollard over Tyler Allgeier.
- Ahead by
- +7.9pts
- over Allgeier
- Confidence
- High
- Tyler Allgeier may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 75%
- of leagues
Allgeier's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Tony Pollard or a bigger role for Tyler Allgeier.
Risk
Tyler Allgeier was limited in practice (toe): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
PollardStartRB · TEN @ CINUsually 12.5+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- 1.3inside the 5He averages 1.3 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- 21.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 21.0 points.
Hurts him
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 44%dud weeks44% of his games have been dud weeks.
AllgeierFirst outRB · ARI @ DALUsually 6.9−1.0pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
- DALvs RBsEdgeDAL is the softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- −1.4ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.4 points off his projection.
- 21%touchesHe handles only 21% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- +7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail, which can cut his carries.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionPollard: 13.8 (best)Allgeier: 5.9
TD pointsof the projectionPollard: 3.5Allgeier: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekPollard: 0.58Allgeier: Our estimate
Projected team pointsPollard: 17.0Allgeier: 23.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gamePollard: 1.3 (best)Allgeier: 0.3
Red zone carriesper gamePollard: 3.7 (best)Allgeier: 1.7
Red zone targetsper gamePollard: 0.0Allgeier: 0.4 (best)
Role
Snap sharePollard: 59% (best)Allgeier: 52%
Usage worthptsPollard: 14.2 (best)Allgeier: 8.9
Touch sharePollard: 42% (best)Allgeier: 21%
Target sharePollard: 8% (best)Allgeier: 6%
Touches / gamePollard: 17.6 (best)Allgeier: 11.0
Targets / gamePollard: 2.3Allgeier: 2.4 (best)
Air yards sharePollard: 2%Allgeier: Behind the line
Vacated touches this weekPollard: 0.0Allgeier: 0.0
High value touches / gamePollard: 4.0 (best)Allgeier: 3.1
Goal line carry sharePollard: 69% (best)Allgeier: 25%
Red zone touches / gamePollard: 3.7 (best)Allgeier: 2.1
Rush success ratePollard: 43% (best)Allgeier: 31%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Pollard: 0.9%Allgeier: 1.6% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredPollard: Earned by usage 14.2Scored 12.5Allgeier: Earned by usage 8.9Scored 6.9
Rush yards / gamePollard: 68.3 (best)Allgeier: 25.1
Points from rushingPollard: 82%Allgeier: 49%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsPollard: 0 RZ targetsAllgeier: Below
WOPRPollard: 0.13 (best)Allgeier: 0.08
RZ target sharePollard: 0%Allgeier: 5% (best)
Inside 10 target sharePollard: 0%Allgeier: 0%
Catch ratePollard: 69%Allgeier: 94% (best)
Rushing points / gamePollard: 10.3 pts / game (best)Allgeier: 3.4 pts / game
Rushing floorPollard: 7.5 pts / game (best)Allgeier: 2.1 pts / game
Range
FloorPollard: 8.2 (best)Allgeier: 3.8
CeilingPollard: 21.0 (best)Allgeier: 8.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerPollard: 27%Allgeier: 13%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Pollard: 13% (best)Allgeier: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterPollard: 44% (best)Allgeier: 71%
SteadinessPollard: Up & down±9.5 ptsAllgeier: Very steady (best)±3.3 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionPollard: C2026, 6 gmAllgeier: A+ (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptPollard: Expected to trailAllgeier: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterPollard: 1.5Allgeier: 0.6 (best)
Defense funnelPollard: NeutralAllgeier: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedPollard: 19th (average)Allgeier: 31st (soft) (best)
Backfield rolePollard: LeadAllgeier: Committee
Opp defender outPollard: None listedAllgeier: Bullard (DE)
Roof / surfaceturfPollard: OpenAllgeier: Retractable roof
Rest / schedulePollard: NormalAllgeier: Normal
Opp pacePollard: 20th (average)Allgeier: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp stuff ratePollard: 25%1st (tough)Allgeier: 16% (best)24th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedPollard: 4.112th (average)Allgeier: 4.4 (best)25th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedPollard: 26th (soft) (best)Allgeier: 15th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Pollard: 0.0Allgeier: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedPollard: 86% (best)27th (soft)Allgeier: 80%18th (average)
Starting QBPollard: Ward (Active)Allgeier: Brissett (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgPollard: 16.4 (best)Allgeier: 5.8
Last 5 avgPollard: 15.2 (best)Allgeier: 7.0
vs seasonPollard: +3.9 (Rising) (best)Allgeier: −1.1 (Cooling)
Yards per carryPollard: 4.3 (best)Allgeier: 2.9
Carries / gamePollard: 16.0 (best)Allgeier: 8.7
Yards per route runPollard: 0.86 (best)Allgeier: 0.79
Receiving aDOTPollard: 1.4Allgeier: −2.1
Touch share trendPollard: SteadyAllgeier: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesPollard: 76%Allgeier: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterPollard: RB19 (best)Allgeier: RB40
Yards linerushingPollard: 65.5Allgeier: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.