Lemon
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
10.7pts
market
Bryant
WR · DEN vs SF
Proj pts
8.3pts
market
Makai Lemon or Pat Bryant: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Makai Lemon. Bench Pat Bryant. Makai Lemon leads at 10.7. Pat Bryant is the first one out, 2.4 short.
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Cons
- Below your start line2.4 pts short
- Low target share11% target share
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Lemon 3.4, Bryant 8.1.
Why Makai Lemon
Start Makai Lemon — projects 10.7, an even matchup vs LA.
Makai Lemon projects 10.7 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: start Makai Lemon this week.
Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Lemon: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: Projection (10.7 vs 8.3); Target share (12% vs 11%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs B-); vs season (+0.0 vs -0.5); Consistency (49% vs 30%); Boom rate (33% vs 25%); Bust rate (0% vs 25%); Snap share (66% vs 53%).
Why Pat Bryant
Sit Pat Bryant — projects 8.3, an even matchup vs SF.
Pat Bryant projects 8.3 points on a 7.2–13.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: bench Pat Bryant this week.
Working against Bryant: Below your start line (2.4 pts short), Low target share (11% target share).
Where Bryant leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (22.3 vs 19.5); Last 3 avg (8.1 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (8.1 vs 3.4); Targets / game (3.8 vs 3.0); Red zone targets (8 vs 0).
Recent form
Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Pat Bryant's last 3 games: PPR points 1.6, 8.2, 14.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Lemon has already beaten Bryant's 8.3 projection in 0 of his 3; Bryant has beaten Lemon's 10.7 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Pat Bryant (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Makai Lemon comparisons
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Kalif Raymond or Makai Lemon10.5 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Wan'Dale Robinson10.7 · 10.8
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)