Lemon
WR · PHI vs LA
Proj pts
10.7pts
market
Raymond
WR · CHI vs NYJ
Proj pts
10.5pts
market
Kalif Raymond or Makai Lemon: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Makai Lemon over Kalif Raymond by 0.2. Makai Lemon leads at 10.7. Kalif Raymond is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 52% of managers started Raymond.
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.0 targets/g
Pros
- Heating up15.5 last 3
Cons
- Low target share6% target share
- Thin volume2.0 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Lemon 49%, Raymond 2%.
Latest game on the card: Raymond 21 (PPR points).
Why Makai Lemon
Start Makai Lemon — projects 10.7, an even matchup vs LA.
Makai Lemon projects 10.7 points. The matchup grades as neutral against LA. Usage: targets / game at 3.0. Net: start Makai Lemon this week.
Working for Lemon: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Lemon: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.0 targets/g).
Where Lemon leads the head-to-head: Projection (10.7 vs 10.5); Target share (12% vs 6%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs C); Consistency (49% vs 2%); Boom rate (33% vs 20%); Bust rate (0% vs 30%); Targets / game (3.0 vs 2.0); Snap share (66% vs 37%).
Why Kalif Raymond
Sit Kalif Raymond — projects 10.5, an even matchup vs NYJ, with a rising role.
Kalif Raymond projects 10.5 points on a 8.3–16.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NYJ. Usage: targets / game at 2.0. Net: bench Kalif Raymond this week.
Working for Raymond: Heating up (15.5 last 3).
Working against Raymond: Low target share (6% target share), Thin volume (2.0 targets/g).
Where Raymond leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (23.5 vs 19.5); Last 3 avg (15.5 vs 3.4); Last 5 avg (11.2 vs 3.4); vs season (+2.1 vs +0.0); Red zone targets (2 vs 0).
Recent form
Makai Lemon's last 3 games: PPR points 1.9, 2.5, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Kalif Raymond's last 5 games: PPR points 1.5, 8.2, 16.4, 9, 21 (oldest to newest).
Lemon has already beaten Raymond's 10.5 projection in 0 of his 3; Raymond has beaten Lemon's 10.7 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Makai Lemon (PHI) faces LA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 19.5, spread +3.5.
Kalif Raymond (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Kalif Raymond comparisons
- Kalif Raymond or Michael Pittman10.5 · 10.7
- Kalif Raymond or Ryan Flournoy10.5 · 10.7
More Makai Lemon comparisons
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Makai Lemon or Wan'Dale Robinson10.7 · 10.8
- Makai Lemon or Xavier Worthy10.7 · 11.3
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)