nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 8 · SUNDAY

Cardinals vs Cowboys Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
AT&T Stadium
Conditions
—

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Jake FergusonDAL · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    1.5
    Nuvela projection
    2.3
    Gap
    +0.8
  2. Javonte WilliamsDAL · RUSH + REC YARDS
    Line
    92.5
    Nuvela projection
    84.0
    Gap
    In line with market
  3. Tyler GoodsonDAL · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    19.5
    Nuvela projection
    15.3
    Gap
    In line with market
  4. Dak PrescottDAL · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    287.5
    Nuvela projection
    276.0
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Jacoby BrissettARI · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    271.5
    Nuvela projection
    260.6
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 131.1Projected play count
  • +0.6Pass rate over expected
  • 2ndPace rank, slate
  • —Conditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Cardinals23.522.7−0.8
Cowboys30.528.6−1.9
Game total54.551.4−3.1

The Cowboys carry 70% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

143 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props139

Cardinals · Away7 players

Questionable (ankle)

RUSHING YARDS
32.5MARKET · 1 BOOK+24.9WIDE57.4Nuvela projection
Season range 22-90RECEPTIONS
2.5MARKET · 1 BOOK−0.9GAP1.6Nuvela projection
Season range 0-5RECEIVING YARDS
10.5MARKET · 1 BOOK−0.2In line with market10.3Nuvela projection
Season range -8-191ST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
42%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1LAST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Cowboys · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 15 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
54.5MARKET−3.1GAP51.451.4
Season range 34-66
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
DAL by 7.0MARKET+1.1GAP5.9DAL by 5.9
Season range 2-24

Team props2

Cardinals · Away1 market

CardinalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
23.5MARKET−0.8GAP22.7Nuvela
Season range 7-30

Cowboys · Home1 market

CowboysTEAM TOTAL POINTS
30.5MARKET−1.9GAP28.6Nuvela
Season range 13-38