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NFL · WEEK 4 · SUNDAY

Cowboys at Texans

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM
Venue
NRG Stadium
Conditions
—

Ask this matchup

· research only

NUVELA'S READ · WHAT THIS GAME COMES DOWN TO

  • 126Projected plays
  • +1.2Pass rate over expected
  • 5thPace rank, slate
  • —Conditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Cowboys22.521.11.4
Texans25.532.36.8
Game total48.553.44.9

The Texans carry 83% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look, never a reason to bet.

102 props · by widest gap

Player props98

Cowboys · Away15 players

RUSHING YARDS
10.5MARKET2.2WIDE12.7NUVELA
Season range 14-26COMPLETIONS
24.5MARKET1.3NARROW23.2NUVELA
Season range 22-26PASS ATTEMPTS
35.5MARKET1.0NARROW36.5NUVELA
Season range 31-40PASSING YARDS
268.5MARKET5.5NARROW274NUVELA
Season range 175-279INTERCEPTIONS
0.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yetLONGEST COMPLETION
38.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yetPASS + RUSH YARDS
281.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yetPASSING TDS
1.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yetLONGEST RUSH
7.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yet2+ TDS
1.5MARKET—GAP—NUVELA
No season history yetRUSH ATTEMPTS
3MARKET0.2GAP3.2NUVELA
Season range 2-4

Texans · Home16 players

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
48.5MARKET4.9MODERATE53.4NUVELA
Season range 26-67
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
HOU by 3MARKET8.2WIDEHOU by 11.2NUVELA
Season range 2-17

Team props2

Cowboys · Away1 market

CowboysTEAM TOTAL POINTS
22.5MARKET1.4NARROW21.1NUVELA
Season range 20-37

Texans · Home1 market

TexansTEAM TOTAL POINTS
25.5MARKET6.8WIDE32.3NUVELA
Season range 6-31

Live stats. Market lines. AI-powered analysis.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

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