nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY

Broncos vs Cardinals Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 25 · 1:05 PM PT
Venue
State Farm Stadium
Conditions
—

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Bam KnightARI · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    40.5
    Nuvela projection
    24.6
    Gap
    −15.9
  2. Tyler AllgeierARI · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    29.5
    Nuvela projection
    45.1
    Gap
    +15.6
  3. Courtland SuttonDEN · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    3.5
    Nuvela projection
    2.5
    Gap
    −1.0
  4. Trey McBrideARI · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    63.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    53.7
    Gap
    −9.8
  5. J.K. DobbinsDEN · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    47.5
    Nuvela projection
    56.9
    Gap
    +9.4

The game in numbers

  • 123.5Projected plays
  • -1.8Pass rate over expected
  • 8thPace rank, slate
  • —Conditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Broncos24.524.4−0.1
Cardinals19.520.8+1.3
Game total43.545.3+1.8

The Cardinals carry 93% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

145 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props141

Broncos · Away8 players

RECEPTIONS
3.5MARKET−1.0WIDE2.5Nuvela projection
Season range 1-3RECEIVING YARDS
33.5MARKET+2.4In line with market35.9Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 4-46LONGEST RECEPTION
14.5MARKET−2.5WIDE12.0Nuvela
Season range 4-271ST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
29%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1LAST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Cardinals · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 13 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
43.5MARKET+1.8GAP45.345.3
Season range 31-66
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
DEN by 4.5MARKET+0.9GAP3.6DEN by 3.6
Season range 2-24

Team props2

Broncos · Away1 market

BroncosTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET−0.1GAP24.4Nuvela
Season range 10-30

Cardinals · Home1 market

CardinalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
19.5MARKET+1.3GAP20.8Nuvela
Season range 7-30

Live stats. Posted lines.

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