TE · Denver Broncos#45
Nate Adkins
Updated
Nate Adkins (TE, DEN) props for Week 7 at Arizona Cardinals: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Arizona Cardinals · Week 7
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Denver is without tight end Caleb Lohner, so the position’s targets stay with Adkins. Across from him, Arizona is missing two safeties, the players who usually cover tight ends.
AdkinsNo injury designation
Around himDenver Broncos
2 of 17 touch Adkins
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCaleb LohnerTELeaves the tight end targets to him
- IRPat BryantWRFrees targets
Across from himArizona Cardinals
8 of 31 touch Adkins
This week
- OutAndrew WingardSAF · kneeCovers tight ends
- QuestionableBudda BakerS · groin, illnessCovers tight ends
- QuestionableMax MeltonCB · kneeIn pass coverage
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRJoey BlountSAFCovers tight ends
- IRWill JohnsonCBIn pass coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedKitan CrawfordSAF · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
- ClearedWydett Williams Jr.SAF · was Out in Wk 6Back on the field
- ClearedZaven CollinsLB · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1731ShowHide
DEN · Denver Broncos
17 listed- Talanoa HufangaSAF · ankleOut
- Jonah ColemanRB · ankleQuestionable
- Pat Surtain IICB · ankleQuestionable
- Caleb LohnerTE · Not specifiedIR
- Frank CrumOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jonah EllissLB · ankleIR
- Levelle BaileyLB · Not specifiedIR
- Matt HenningsenDE · Not specifiedIR
- Michael DeiterC · Not specifiedIR
- Nick GargiuloG · Not specifiedIR
- Pat BryantWR · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BadieRB · thumbIR
- Jonathon CooperLBInactive
- Dondrea TillmanLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
- Marvin Mims Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (foot)—
- RJ HarveyRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hamstring)—
- Riley MossCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ribs)Cleared
ARI · Arizona Cardinals
31 listed- Andrew WingardSAF · kneeOut
- Jeremiyah LoveRB · ankleOut
- Jon Gaines IIG · knee, ankleOut
- Walter NolenDT · ankleOut
- Budda BakerS · groin, illnessQuestionable
- Carson BeckQB · backQuestionable
- Darius RobinsonDL · backQuestionable
- Max MeltonCB · kneeQuestionable
- Chase BisontisOT · Not specifiedIR
- Hunter LongTE · Not specifiedIR
- Isaiah AdamsG · Not specifiedIR
- James ConnerRB · Not specifiedIR
- Jameson GeersTE · Not specifiedIR
- Joey BlountSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Kaleb ProctorDT · Not specifiedIR
- Paris Johnson Jr.OT · Not specifiedIR
- Tip ReimanTE · Not specifiedPUP
- Trey BensonRB · Not specifiedIR
- Will JohnsonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Zachary CarterDT · Not specifiedIR
- Andrew BillingsDT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Blake GillikinP · Last listed Wk 6: Q (back)Cleared
- Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
- Garrett WilliamsCB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (achilles)—
- Isaac SeumaloG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (shoulder)—
- Josh SweatLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Karson ShararLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring)—
- Kitan CrawfordSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Roy LopezDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (groin)—
- Wydett Williams Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)Cleared
- Zaven CollinsLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hip)Cleared
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 3
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 8
- regular season
- Average
- 13.3
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 3
- of 6
- Average
- 13.3
- yards
- Median
- 8
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 6
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ KC | 0 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs JAX | 32 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs LA | 8 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ SF | — | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ LAC | — | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs SEA | — | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs SEA | 37% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 5 | @ LAC | 31% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 4 | @ SF | 21% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 3 | vs LA | 34% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| Wk 2 | vs JAX | 37% | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 1 |
| Wk 1 | @ KC | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
Comparable players vs Arizona
Other tight ends who faced Arizona this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went over their line vs Arizona
- Colby ParkinsonLA · Week 6Line 11.531Rec ydsOver 11.5Over+19.5
- Tyler HigbeeLA · Week 6Line 31.522Rec ydsUnder 31.5Under−9.5
- Sam LaPortaDET · Week 5Line 53.588Rec ydsOver 53.5Over+34.5
- Isaiah LikelyNYG · Week 4Line 41.566Rec ydsOver 41.5Over+24.5
- George KittleSF · Week 3Line 47.582Rec ydsOver 47.5Over+34.5
- AJ BarnerSEA · Week 2Line 22.58Rec ydsUnder 22.5Under−14.5
- Charlie KolarLAC · Week 1Line 16.50Rec ydsUnder 16.5Under−16.5
- David NjokuLAC · Week 1Line 11.558Rec ydsOver 11.5Over+46.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Arizona Cardinals defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Arizona Cardinals actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 7.8 | 7.7 | 18th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 83% | 72% | 29th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 69.3 | 54.2 | 25th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 8.9 | 7 | 28th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 7.2 | 6.1 | 26th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 5 | 4.8 | 21st of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 11% | 11% | 20th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 21.6 | 29th of 32 |
| RB | 20.6 | 16th of 32 |
| WR | 34.9 | 23rd of 32 |
| TEhis position | 19.1 | 28th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Juwan Johnson2025 · Wk 1 | 76 |
| Cade Otton2025 · Wk 13 | 9 |
| Jake Ferguson2025 · Wk 9 | 50 |
| Tucker Kraft2025 · Wk 7 | 58 |
| Sam LaPorta2026 · Wk 5 | 88 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 43.5
- combined
- DEN implied total
- 24
- favored
- ARI implied total
- 19.5
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 30s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 3 mph
- Clear
- Conditions
- 84°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 57
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 34.2
- 60% pass
- His receptions
- 1.3
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.8
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −3.1
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 37%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Adkins sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Adam TrautmanTE · 52% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- J.K. DobbinsRB+1.7targets
- Evan EngramTE+1targets
- Troy FranklinWR+0.2targets
Based on 3 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 9% | Market only | — | 2 of 5 incl. 2025 | 9% | level |
| 1st TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 730 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 730 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
