nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 2 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Eagles vs Titans Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Nissan Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 92F, 5 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • -0.5Pass rate over expected
  • 15thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Eagles23.519.8−3.7
Titans15.516.2+0.7
Game total39.536.0−3.5

The Eagles carry 84% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

151 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props147

Eagles · Away7 players

RECEPTIONS
1.5MARKET+0.7GAP2.2Tank01 projection
Actual 1.0 · final resultRUSHING YARDS
79.5MARKET−4.5In line with market75.0Tank01 projection
Actual 9.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
18.5MARKET−0.8In line with market17.7Tank01 projection
Actual 4.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
93.5MARKET−4.9In line with market88.6Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 20.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
11.5MARKET+2.1In line with market13.6Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 11.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
15.5MARKET−0.3GAP15.2Nuvela
Actual 4.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
7.5MARKET+0.1GAP7.6Nuvela
Actual 11.0 · final result1ST TD
20%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
55%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Titans · Home7 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
39.5MARKET−3.5GAP36.036.0
Season range 33-46
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
PHI by 7.0MARKET+3.4GAP3.6PHI by 3.6
Season range 2-13

Team props2

Eagles · Away1 market

EaglesTEAM TOTAL POINTS
23.5MARKET−3.7GAP19.8Nuvela
Season range 24-24

Titans · Home1 market

TitansTEAM TOTAL POINTS
15.5MARKET+0.7GAP16.2Nuvela
Season range 10-10