nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY

Chiefs vs Seahawks Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 25 · 5:20 PM PT
Venue
Lumen Field
Conditions
Outdoor · 53F, 1 mph wind, clouds

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    3.5
    Nuvela projection
    2.3
    Gap
    −1.2
  2. Emanuel WilsonSEA · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    51.5
    Nuvela projection
    41.1
    Gap
    −10.4
  3. Emanuel WilsonSEA · RUSH + REC YARDS
    Line
    63.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    52.9
    Gap
    −10.6
  4. Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    80.5
    Nuvela projection
    74.3
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Xavier WorthyKC · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    50.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    44.0
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 123.3Projected plays
  • -0.7Pass rate over expected
  • 9thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Chiefs20.521.4+0.9
Seahawks22.523.4+0.9
Game total42.544.8+2.3

The two sides carry the disagreement roughly evenly, so this is a read on the game rather than on either offence.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

149 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props145

Chiefs · Away7 players

RECEPTIONS
3.5MARKET−1.2WIDE2.3Nuvela projection
Season range 1-6RUSHING YARDS
80.5MARKET−6.2In line with market74.3Nuvela projection
Season range 70-177RECEIVING YARDS
20.5MARKET+2.4In line with market22.9Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 2-61RUSH ATTEMPTS
18.5MARKET+0.3In line with market18.8Tank01 projection
Season range 18-24RUSH + REC YARDS
106.5MARKET+0.7In line with market107.2Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 73-191LONGEST RUSH
16.5MARKET+14.5WIDE31.0Nuvela
Season range 19-76LONGEST RECEPTION
10.5MARKET−2.9WIDE7.6Nuvela
Season range 2-221ST TD
19%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
56%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-2LAST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Seahawks · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
42.5MARKET+2.3GAP44.844.8
Season range 23-64
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SEA by 3.0MARKET+0.9GAP2.1SEA by 2.1
Season range 2-24

Team props2

Chiefs · Away1 market

ChiefsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET+0.9GAP21.4Nuvela
Season range 22-33

Seahawks · Home1 market

SeahawksTEAM TOTAL POINTS
22.5MARKET+0.9GAP23.4Nuvela
Season range 13-31

Live stats. Posted lines.

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