Where do Tory Horton's prop lines come from?

From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Tory Horton's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.

How is Tory Horton's projection made?

The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Tory Horton's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.

Is this betting advice?

No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.

WR · Seattle Seahawks#15

Tory Horton

Updated Oct 30, 9:49 AM PT

Tory Horton (WR, SEA) props for Week 8 vs Chicago Bears: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Chicago Bears · Week 8

Line: —; Receiving Yards
Projection: —; No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference: —

Lines checked: Oct 30, 2:08 PM PT
Markets posted: 3 of 8
Projections updated: Oct 30, 2:09 PM PT

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Seattle is without receiver Jake Bobo, so more of the receiver targets go to Horton. Across from him, Chicago is missing three cornerbacks, the players who usually cover receivers.

HortonNo injury designation

Around himSeattle Seahawks

4 of 30 touch Horton

This week

QuestionableDrew LockQB · elbowChanges who throws to him
QuestionableRashid ShaheedWR · kneeFrees targets at his spot

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRJake BoboWRFrees targets at his spot
IRElijah ArroyoTEFrees targets

Across from himChicago Bears

6 of 31 touch Horton

This week

QuestionableMalik MuhammadCB · toeCovers receivers

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRAnthony Johnson Jr.SAFDeep coverage
IRCoby BryantCB · kneeCovers receivers
IRDallis FlowersCBCovers receivers

Show 1 more

IRDontae ManningCBCovers receivers

Off the report this week

ClearedTyrique StevensonCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3031Show

SEA · Seattle Seahawks

30 listed

Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—

CHI · Chicago Bears

31 listed

Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs line Distribution Splits Game log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 4

against the posted line

—W2

at WAS

LAC

—W5

at DEN

Cleared the lineUnder the line

Consensus line: —; yards
Projection: —
Above the line: —
vs closing lines: 2 of 4; each week's own close
Median: 9.5; regular season
Average: 16.8

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

Window	Median	Above % · vs current line	Above % · vs closing line
Last 3	6.5	——	50%1/2
Last 5	9.5	——	50%2/4
Season	9.5	——	50%2/4
Last season	21	——	50%4/8

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

4 of 6 games

Venue

Game state

Opponent defense

Games: 4; of 6
Average: 16.8; yards
Median: 9.5; yards
Above the line: —
vs the full 6: 0.0; yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

Week	Opponent	Receiving Yards	Line that week	Against it
Week 2	@ ARI	—	—	—
Week 3	@ WAS	48	0.5	+47.5
Week 4	vs LAC	6	8.5	−2.5
Week 5	vs SF	—	10.5	—
Week 6	@ DEN	13	3.5	+9.5
Week 7	vs KC	0	11.5	−11.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played

Week	Opponent	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Long	aDOT	TD
Wk 7	vs KC	1	0	0	—	—	0
Wk 6	@ DEN	5	1	13	13	7.3	0
Wk 5	vs SF	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 4	vs LAC	1	1	6	6	—	1
Wk 3	@ WAS	3	3	48	17	—	0
Wk 2	@ ARI	—	—	—	—	—	—

Comparable players vs Chicago

10 of 17

wide receivers went under their line vs Chicago

A.J. BrownNE · Week 7Line 69.548Rec ydsUnder 69.5Under−21.5
DeMario DouglasNE · Week 7Line 38.523Rec ydsUnder 38.5Under−15.5
Efton Chism IIINE · Week 7Line 17.516Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−1.5
Drake LondonATL · Week 6Line 89.562Rec ydsUnder 89.5Under−27.5
Jahan DotsonATL · Week 6Line 23.587Rec ydsOver 23.5Over+63.5
Christian WatsonGB · Week 5Line 60.5143Rec ydsOver 60.5Over+82.5
Matthew GoldenGB · Week 5Line 56.5123Rec ydsOver 56.5Over+66.5
Garrett WilsonNYJ · Week 4Line 75.527Rec ydsUnder 75.5Under−48.5
Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · Week 4Line 22.573Rec ydsOver 22.5Over+50.5
DeVonta SmithPHI · Week 3Line 70.565Rec ydsUnder 70.5Under−5.5
Dontayvion WicksPHI · Week 3Line 42.532Rec ydsUnder 42.5Under−10.5
Makai LemonPHI · Week 3Line 23.529Rec ydsOver 23.5Over+5.5
Jordan AddisonMIN · Week 2Line 39.521Rec ydsUnder 39.5Under−18.5
Justin JeffersonMIN · Week 2Line 79.555Rec ydsUnder 79.5Under−24.5
Jalen CokerCAR · Week 1Line 41.5138Rec ydsOver 41.5Over+96.5
Tetairoa McMillanCAR · Week 1Line 60.575Rec ydsOver 60.5Over+14.5
Xavier LegetteCAR · Week 1Line 18.50Rec ydsUnder 18.5Under−18.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponent Similar players Game context

Opponent defense

How Chicago Bears defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Chicago Bears actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

Measure	Allowed	League avg	Rank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.	15.7	18.4	4th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.	60%	62%	12th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.	149.4	148.8	17th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.	9.5	8.1	30th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.	12.7	11.1	30th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.	4.4	4.3	19th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.	12%	11%	24th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed

Position	FP allowed / g	Rank1 = toughest
QB	19.3	23rd of 32
RB	18.6	6th of 32
WRhis position	30.1	11th of 32
TE	13.1	17th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

Player	Rec yds
Justin Jefferson2026 · Wk 2	55
Drake London2026 · Wk 6	62
DeVonta Smith2026 · Wk 3	65
Garrett Wilson2026 · Wk 4	27
Ja'Marr Chase2025 · Wk 9	111

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total: 46.5; combined
SEA implied total: 24.75; favored
CHI implied total: 21.75; underdog
Projected script: Neutral/Lead; favored
Pace: 31.6s; seconds / play
Wind: 2 mph; Clouds
Conditions: 50°F; outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates

Offensive play count: 63.4; 7-game avg
Dropbacks: 35.1; 55% pass
His receptions: 1.2; projected this game
Red-zone trips: 3.1; 7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp: −5.4; PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsage Availability Injuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

Snap share33%

Of the offence's snaps

Route %40%

Of the team's dropbacks

Target share7%

Of all his team's targets

Air-yards share6%

Of the team's intended air yards

RZ target share3%

Inside the opponent's 20

Targets / g2.5

Targets per game

Yards / route run1.3

Receiving yards per route run

aDOT9

Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported

Injury: Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)
Game status: No designation
Snap share, last game: 45%
Games missed this season: 0

If Horton sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Irvin CharlesWR

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarkets Odds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 5 waiting on a book

Market	Line	Projection	Diff	Cleared L5	Opened	Since open
Anytime TD	21%	Market only	—	2 of 5 incl. 2025	19%	+3%
1st TD	5%	Market only	—	0 of 5	4%	level
Last TD	6%	Market only	—	0 of 5	5%	+1%
Receiving Yards	No line posted yet
Receptions	No line posted yet
Longest Reception	No line posted yet
2+ TDs	No line posted yet
Rush + Rec Yards	No line posted yet

What these figures mean

Cleared L5: How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open: How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Tory Horton's prop lines come from?: From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Tory Horton's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Tory Horton's projection made?: The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Tory Horton's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?: No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.