nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 8 · SUNDAY

Titans vs Bengals Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Paycor Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 73F, 3 mph wind, clouds

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    6.5
    Nuvela projection
    5.5
    Gap
    −1.0
  2. Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    80.5
    Nuvela projection
    65.3
    Gap
    −15.2
  3. Joe BurrowCIN · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    281.5
    Nuvela projection
    271.6
    Gap
    In line with market
  4. Joe BurrowCIN · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    272.5
    Nuvela projection
    263.2
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Chase BrownCIN · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    57.5
    Nuvela projection
    60.8
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 114.1Projected play count
  • -0.1Pass rate over expected
  • 14thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Titans16.515.9−0.6
Bengals29.526.7−2.8
Game total46.542.6−3.9

The Bengals carry 82% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

146 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props142

Titans · Away8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 17 props

Bengals · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
46.5MARKET−3.9GAP42.642.6
Season range 19-60
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
CIN by 12.5MARKET+1.7GAP10.8CIN by 10.8
Season range 3-23

Team props2

Titans · Away1 market

TitansTEAM TOTAL POINTS
16.5MARKET−0.6GAP15.9Nuvela
Season range 3-26

Bengals · Home1 market

BengalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
29.5MARKET−2.8GAP26.7Nuvela
Season range 17-35