WR · New York Giants#87

Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios (WR, NYG) props research: on bye in Week 8; hit rates, game log, usage and splits, with lines and projections back for Week 9.

On bye in Week 8IR

Next game: Week 9 at Philadelphia Eagles, Nov 8

Line
Bye week
Receiving Yards
Projection
Bye week
no game this week
Difference
Bye week
Lines checked
—
Markets posted
No game this week
Projections updated

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

New York Giants is without two other receivers, so more of the receiver targets go to Berrios. Across from him, Philadelphia has nobody out who usually covers receivers.

BerriosIR

Around himNew York Giants

3 of 28 touch Berrios

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCalvin Austin IIIWRFrees targets at his spot
  • IRGunner OlszewskiWRFrees targets at his spot
  • IRJaxson DartQBChanges who throws to him

Across from himPhiladelphia Eagles

3 of 26 touch Berrios

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRAndre' SamSAFDeep coverage
  • IRJakorian BennettDBDeep coverage
  • IRTucker LargeSAFDeep coverage
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2826Show

NYG · New York Giants

28 listed
  • Brian BurnsLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Calvin Austin IIIWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Chauncey GolstonDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Gunner OlszewskiWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Jarrick Bernard-ConverseCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jaxson DartQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Korie BlackCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Rico PaytonCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Roy Robertson-HarrisDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Thaddeus DixonCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tremaine EdmundsMLB · shoulderIR
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jake HaenerQBInactive
  • Josh SillsGInactive
  • Abdul CarterLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
  • Andrew ThomasOT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (groin)—
  • Colton HoodCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
  • Deonte BanksCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (calf)—
  • Greg Newsome IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
  • Jason PinnockSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
  • Jermaine EluemunorG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)—
  • Jevon HollandSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
  • Malik NabersWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
  • Marcus MbowG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
  • Micah McFaddenLB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (neck)—
  • Paulson AdeboCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
  • Theo JohnsonTE · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (neck)—
  • Tyler NubinSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)—

PHI · Philadelphia Eagles

26 listed
  • Andre' SamSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Dameon PierceRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jakorian BennettDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jalen HurtsQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Johnny WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Tank BigsbyRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tucker LargeSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Will ShipleyRB · Not specifiedIR
  • A.J. EpenesaLB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (back)—
  • Andrew MukubaSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
  • Dallas GoedertTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
  • DeVonta SmithWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring)—
  • Dontayvion WicksWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)—
  • Drew KendallC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • Eli StowersTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (quadricep)—
  • Fred JohnsonOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
  • Grant CalcaterraTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)—
  • Jalyx HuntLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, ankle)—
  • Jonathan GreenardLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)—
  • Landon DickersonG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, pectoral)—
  • Marcus EppsSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Out (groin)—
  • Marquise BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
  • Michael Carter IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (abdomen)—
  • Nolan SmithLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
  • Saquon BarkleyRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)—
  • Zack BaunLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 4

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
0
regular season
Average
0

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season38——100%1/1

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

4 of 4 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
4
of 4
Average
0
yards
Median
0
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 4
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs DAL0——
Week 2@ LA0——
Week 3vs TEN0——
Week 4vs ARI0——

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

4 played
WeekOpponentTargetsRecRec ydsLongaDOTTD
Wk 4vs ARI100——0
Wk 3vs TEN000——0
Wk 2@ LA000——0
Wk 1vs DAL000——0

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Philadelphia Eagles defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Philadelphia Eagles actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.21.918.431st of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.60%62%10th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.184148.829th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.8.48.121st of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.10.711.115th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.5.24.330th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.11%11%16th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB19.524th of 32
RB21.216th of 32
WRhis position40.131st of 32
TE10.57th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Justin Jefferson2025 · Wk 779
Amon-Ra St. Brown2025 · Wk 1142
Davante Adams2026 · Wk 432
Courtland Sutton2025 · Wk 599
Jameson Williams2025 · Wk 1188

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
40.5
combined
NYG implied total
21
favored
PHI implied total
19.5
underdog
Projected script
Close
tight spread
Pace
30.8s
seconds / play
Wind
—
no forecast yet
Conditions
Outdoor
outdoor

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
65.1
7-game avg
Dropbacks
37.8
58% pass
Red-zone trips
3.1
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−6.1
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share9%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %15%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share1%
Of all his team's targets
Air-yards share—
Of the team's intended air yards
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Targets / g0.2
Targets per game
Yards / route run0
Receiving yards per route run
aDOT3
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
Not Specified
Game status
Ir
Snap share, last game
3%
Games missed this season
3

If Berrios sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Charlie JonesWR · 13% of the snaps

Where his work goes

  • Malik NabersWR+6.4targets
  • Isaiah LikelyTE+2.3targets
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB+1.8targets
  • Darnell MooneyWR+0.8targets

Based on 4 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

Bye week · no lines this week
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Receiving YardsNo game this week
ReceptionsNo game this week
Anytime TDNo game this week
Longest ReceptionNo game this week
1st TDNo game this week
2+ TDsNo game this week
Last TDNo game this week
Rush + Rec YardsNo game this week
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

The club is on bye, so there is no line to track this week. The open and every move appear here for its next game.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
  2. The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
  3. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
  4. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No game this week, so there are no sportsbook lines.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Braxton Berrios's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Braxton Berrios's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Braxton Berrios's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Braxton Berrios's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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