TE · New Orleans Saints#82
Treyton Welch
Treyton Welch (TE, NO) props research: on bye in Week 8; hit rates, game log, usage and splits, with lines and projections back for Week 9.
On bye in Week 8
Next game: Week 9 vs Cleveland Browns, Nov 8
- Line
- Bye week
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- Bye week
- no game this week
- Difference
- Bye week
- Lines checked
- —
- Markets posted
- No game this week
- Projections updated
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
New Orleans is without tight end Moliki Matavao, so the position’s targets stay with Welch. Across from him, Cleveland is missing two linebackers and one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.
WelchNo injury designation
Around himNew Orleans Saints
4 of 34 touch Welch
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRMoliki MatavaoTELeaves the tight end targets to him
- IRDamien AlfordWRFrees targets
- IRJordyn TysonWRFrees targets
Show 1 more
- PUPMason TiptonWRFrees targets
Across from himCleveland Browns
3 of 28 touch Welch
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDamarri MathisDBCovers tight ends
- IREdefuan UlofoshioLBCovers tight ends
- PUPJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3428ShowHide
NO · New Orleans Saints
34 listed- Bryan BreseeDT · Not specifiedIR
- Damien AlfordWR · Not specifiedIR
- David LongDB · Not specifiedIR
- Dillon RadunzOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jordyn TysonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Kelvin Banks Jr.OT · Not specifiedIR
- Mason TiptonWR · Not specifiedPUP
- Moliki MatavaoTE · Not specifiedIR
- Nick SaldiveriG · Not specifiedIR
- Rejzohn WrightDB · Not specifiedIR
- Travis EtienneRB · Not specifiedIR
- Ty ChandlerRB · Not specifiedIR
- Zach WilsonQBInactive
- Alvin KamaraRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (back)—
- Anfernee JenningsLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
- Barion BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (thigh)—
- Cameron JordanLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- Carl GrandersonDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (ankle)—
- Cesar RuizG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
- Chase YoungDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
- Chris OlaveWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)—
- Christen MillerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
- Isaiah StalbirdLB · Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (shoulder)—
- Jaylan FordLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Jeremiah WrightG · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
- Julian BlackmonSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (shoulder)—
- Kaden EllissLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (calf)—
- Lorenzo Styles Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Martin EmersonCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Nathan ShepherdDE · Last listed Wk 7: Q—
- Noah FantTE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (abdomen)—
- Oscar DelpTE · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- Pete WernerLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder)—
- Zach WoodLS · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
CLE · Cleveland Browns
28 listed- Alex WrightDE · Not specifiedIR
- Damarri MathisDB · Not specifiedIR
- Edefuan UlofoshioLB · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ChatmanDT · Not specifiedIR
- Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB · Not specifiedPUP
- Joe RoyerTE · Not specifiedPUP
- Kalia DavisDT · Not specifiedIR
- Raheim SandersRB · Not specifiedIR
- Teven JenkinsG · Not specifiedIR
- Bub MeansWRPractice squad
- John Saunders Jr.SAFInactive
- Audric EstiméRB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (thigh)—
- Carsen RyanTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (calf)—
- Carson SchwesingerLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Denzel WardCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hand)—
- Derek BarnettDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Dillon GabrielQB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (back)—
- Dylan SampsonRB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
- Elgton JenkinsC · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
- Grant DelpitSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Mason GrahamDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee, ankle)—
- Mike Hall Jr.DT · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)—
- Noah IgbinogheneCB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hand)—
- Parker BrailsfordC · Last listed Wk 1: Q (thumb)—
- Quincy WilliamsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)—
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Tylan WallaceWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (knee)—
- Tyson CampbellCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 2
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 0
- regular season
- Average
- 0
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 2
- of 4
- Average
- 0
- yards
- Median
- 0
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 4
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ DET | 0 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ BAL | — | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs ATL | 0 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ NYG | — | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ NYG | 4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 5 | vs MIN | DNP | |||||
| Wk 4 | vs ATL | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 2 | @ BAL | 7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 1 | @ DET | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Cleveland Browns defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Cleveland Browns actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 8.1 | 7.6 | 20th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 68% | 72% | 9th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 49.3 | 54.5 | 17th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 6.1 | 7.1 | 8th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 7.1 | 6.1 | 26th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 3.9 | 4.9 | 9th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 16% | 11% | 32nd of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.7 | 8th of 32 |
| RB | 19.4 | 8th of 32 |
| WR | 31.8 | 19th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 13.6 | 18th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 12 | 55 |
| Sam LaPorta2025 · Wk 4 | 39 |
| Cade Otton2026 · Wk 2 | 38 |
| Tucker Kraft2025 · Wk 3 | 29 |
| George Kittle2025 · Wk 13 | 67 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 43.5
- combined
- NO implied total
- 23
- favored
- CLE implied total
- 20.5
- underdog
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 28s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- Indoors
- no wind factor
- Conditions
- Dome
- climate controlled
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 65.4
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 42.1
- 64% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 3.4
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −1.0
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 4%
- Games missed this season
- 3
If Welch sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Noah FantTE · 52% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Barion BrownWR+1targets
- Kendre MillerRB+1targets
Based on 5 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Receptions | No game this week | |||||
| Anytime TD | No game this week | |||||
| Longest Reception | No game this week | |||||
| 1st TD | No game this week | |||||
| Last TD | No game this week | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No game this week | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
The club is on bye, so there is no line to track this week. The open and every move appear here for its next game.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No game this week, so there are no sportsbook lines.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Treyton Welch's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Treyton Welch's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Treyton Welch's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Treyton Welch's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
