nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 3 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Cardinals vs 49ers Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 27 · 1:05 PM PT
Venue
Levi's Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 70F, 4 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • +3Pass rate over expected
  • 10thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Cardinals19.519.0−0.5
49ers28.529.8+1.3
Game total48.548.8+0.3

The 49ers carry 72% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

137 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props133

Cardinals · Away7 players

RECEIVING YARDS
68.5MARKET−16.2WIDE52.3Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 75.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
7.5MARKET−0.9GAP6.6Tank01 projection
Actual 9.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
21.5MARKET−1.7MODERATE19.8Nuvela
Actual 18.0 · final result1ST TD
7%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
38%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
12%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

49ers · Home6 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
48.5MARKET+0.3GAP48.848.8
Season range 34-48
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SF by 7.5MARKET+3.3GAP10.8SF by 10.8
Season range 12-24

Team props2

Cardinals · Away1 market

CardinalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
19.5MARKET−0.5GAP19.0Nuvela
Season range 7-26

49ers · Home1 market

49ersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
28.5MARKET+1.3GAP29.8Nuvela
Season range 27-35