TE · Arizona Cardinals#89
Hunter Long
Hunter Long (TE, ARI) props for Week 8 at Dallas Cowboys: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Dallas Cowboys · Week 8IR
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Arizona is without tight end Tip Reiman, so the position’s targets stay with Long. Across from him, Dallas is missing two safeties and one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.
LongIR
Around himArizona Cardinals
4 of 33 touch Long
This week
- QuestionableMichael WilsonWR · ribsFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- PUPTip ReimanTE · ankleLeaves the tight end targets to him
- IRJalen BrooksWR · wristFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedCarson BeckQB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himDallas Cowboys
6 of 24 touch Long
This week
- QuestionableCaleb DownsSAF · ankleCovers tight ends
- QuestionableDee WintersLB · calfCovers tight ends
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDevin MooreCBIn pass coverage
- IRJalen ThompsonDBCovers tight ends
- IRMarist LiufauLB · forearmCovers tight ends
Show 1 more
- IRP.J. LockeDB · footCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3324ShowHide
ARI · Arizona Cardinals
33 listed- Jon Gaines IIGOut last week
- Walter NolenDT · ankleOut
- Andrew WingardSAF · kneeQuestionable
- Jeremiyah LoveRB · ankleQuestionable
- Mack WilsonLB · kneeQuestionable
- Max MeltonCB · kneeQuestionable
- Michael WilsonWR · ribsQuestionable
- Tyler AllgeierRB · toeQuestionable
- Chase BisontisOT · Not specifiedIR
- Isaiah AdamsG · Not specifiedIR
- Jalen BrooksWR · wristIR
- James ConnerRB · footIR
- Joey BlountSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Kaleb ProctorDT · Not specifiedIR
- Paris Johnson Jr.OT · Not specifiedIR
- Tip ReimanTE · anklePUP
- Trey BensonRB · Not specifiedIR
- Will JohnsonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Zachary CarterDT · Not specifiedIR
- Andrew BillingsDT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Blake GillikinP · Last listed Wk 6: Q (back)—
- Budda BakerS · Last listed Wk 7: Q (groin, illness)Cleared
- Carson BeckQB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
- Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
- Darius RobinsonDL · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
- Garrett WilliamsCB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (achilles)—
- Isaac SeumaloG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (shoulder)—
- Josh SweatLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Karson ShararLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring)—
- Kitan CrawfordSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Roy LopezDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (groin)—
- Wydett Williams Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
- Zaven CollinsLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hip)—
DAL · Dallas Cowboys
24 listed- Drew SheltonOTOut last week
- Caleb DownsSAF · ankleQuestionable
- Dee WintersLB · calfQuestionable
- George PickensWR · shoulderQuestionable
- KaVontae TurpinWR · ribsQuestionable
- Luke SchoonmakerTE · groinQuestionable
- Quinnen WilliamsDT · hamstringQuestionable
- Devin MooreCB · Not specifiedIR
- Jalen ThompsonDB · Not specifiedIR
- Jonathan BullardDE · calfIR
- Kelvin GilliamDT · Not specifiedIR
- Malik DavisRB · Not specifiedIR
- Marist LiufauLB · forearmIR
- Matt HennessyC · Not specifiedIR
- P.J. LockeDB · footIR
- Princeton FantTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ameer SpeedCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Cobie DurantCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- DeMarvion OvershownLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Joey Porter Jr.CB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Jonathan MingoWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
- LT OvertonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (foot)—
- Malik HookerFS · Last listed Wk 3: Out (forearm)—
- Tyler SmithG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (thumb)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 2.5
- regular season
- Average
- 3.8
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 11 | —— | 50%2/4 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 4
- Average
- 3.8
- yards
- Median
- 2.5
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 4
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ LAC | 0 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs SEA | 0 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ SF | 5 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ NYG | 10 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | @ NYG | 30% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | @ SF | 34% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | vs SEA | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 1 | @ LAC | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
Comparable players vs Dallas
Other tight ends who faced Dallas this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went under their line vs Dallas
- Dallas GoedertPHI · Week 7Line 49.548Rec ydsUnder 49.5Under−1.5
- Tucker KraftGB · Week 6Line 50.537Rec ydsUnder 50.5Under−13.5
- Cade OttonTB · Week 5Line 30.525Rec ydsUnder 30.5Under−5.5
- Dalton SchultzHOU · Week 4Line 40.59Rec ydsUnder 40.5Under−31.5
- Mark AndrewsBAL · Week 3Line 42.524Rec ydsUnder 42.5Under−18.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Dallas Cowboys defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Dallas Cowboys actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 6.4 | 7.6 | 9th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 80% | 72% | 30th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 46.6 | 54.5 | 14th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 7.2 | 7.1 | 18th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 4.9 | 6.1 | 7th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 4.6 | 4.9 | 16th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 15% | 11% | 31st of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 19.7 | 27th of 32 |
| RB | 24.6 | 26th of 32 |
| WR | 35.5 | 24th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 12.4 | 15th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 11 | 72 |
| Cole Kmet2025 · Wk 3 | 10 |
| Daniel Bellinger2025 · Wk 18 | 38 |
| Cade Otton2026 · Wk 5 | 25 |
| Travis Kelce2025 · Wk 13 | 45 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 54.5
- combined
- ARI implied total
- 23.75
- underdog
- DAL implied total
- 30.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 28.9s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 4 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 78°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 67.7
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 43.3
- 64% pass
- His receptions
- 0.5
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.9
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −0.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Not Specified
- Game status
- Ir
- Snap share, last game
- 30%
- Games missed this season
- 3
If Long sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Elijah HigginsTE · 46% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Jalen BrooksWR+5targets
- Kendrick BourneWR+2.7targets
- Elijah HigginsTE+1.3targets
Based on 3 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 1st TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Last TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Hunter Long's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Hunter Long's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Hunter Long's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Hunter Long's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
