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NFL · WEEK 2 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Bengals vs Texans Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
NRG Stadium
Conditions
Indoor · roof closed

The game in numbers

  • -1.1Pass rate over expected
  • 2ndPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Bengals21.521.7+0.2
Texans24.526.9+2.4
Game total45.548.6+3.1

The Texans carry 92% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

164 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props160

Bengals · Away8 players

RECEPTIONS
3.5MARKET+0.7GAP4.2Tank01 projection
Actual 5.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
53.5MARKET−2.0In line with market51.5Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 95.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
22.5MARKET+6.3WIDE28.8Nuvela
Actual 23.0 · final result1ST TD
9%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
36%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
10%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Texans · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
45.5MARKET+3.1GAP48.648.6
Season range 60-67
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
HOU by 3.0MARKET+2.3GAP5.3HOU by 5.3
Season range 5-6

Team props2

Bengals · Away1 market

BengalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
21.5MARKET+0.2GAP21.7Nuvela
Season range 33-33

Texans · Home1 market

TexansTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET+2.4GAP27.0Nuvela
Season range 31-31