TE · Houston Texans#8
Cade Stover
Cade Stover (TE, HOU) props research: on bye in Week 8; hit rates, game log, usage and splits, with lines and projections back for Week 9.
On bye in Week 8
Next game: Week 9 at Los Angeles Chargers, Nov 8
- Line
- Bye week
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- Bye week
- no game this week
- Difference
- Bye week
- Lines checked
- —
- Markets posted
- No game this week
- Projections updated
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Houston is without quarterback Graham Mertz, which changes who throws to Stover. Across from him, Los Angeles Chargers is missing one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.
StoverNo injury designation
Around himHouston Texans
3 of 34 touch Stover
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRGraham MertzQBChanges who throws to him
- IRJayden HigginsWRFrees targets
- IRJaylin NoelWRFrees targets
Across from himLos Angeles Chargers
1 of 31 touch Stover
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDenzel PerrymanMLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3431ShowHide
HOU · Houston Texans
34 listed- Ali GayeDE · Not specifiedIR
- British BrooksRB · Not specifiedIR
- Dylan HortonDE · Not specifiedIR
- E.J. SpeedLB · Not specifiedPUP
- Graham MertzQB · Not specifiedIR
- Jacob HummelLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jayden HigginsWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jaylin NoelWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jaylin SmithCB · Not specifiedIR
- K.C. OssaiLB · Not specifiedIR
- Mario EdwardsDT · Not specifiedIR
- Sam HagenOT · Not specifiedIR
- Solomon ByrdDE · Not specifiedIR
- Blake FisherOT · thumbInactive
- Febechi NwaiwuGInactive
- Nathan ThomasOTInactive
- Noah WhittingtonRBPractice squad
- Aireontae ErseryOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
- Azeez Al-ShaairLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (groin)—
- Braden SmithOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- David MontgomeryRB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (groin)—
- Ed IngramG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
- Henry To'oTo'oLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Ja'Marcus IngramCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (elbow)—
- Jadeveon ClowneyDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (knee)—
- Jake HansenLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (calf)—
- Jalen PitreSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (shoulder)—
- Kayden McDonaldDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Logan HallDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (knee)—
- M.J. StewartSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Nico CollinsWR · Last listed Wk 3: Out (hamstring)—
- Reed BlankenshipSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion, hand)—
- Tank DellWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
- Trent BrownOT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (knee, wrist)—
LAC · Los Angeles Chargers
31 listed- Alec IngoldFB · Not specifiedIR
- Dalevon CampbellWR · Not specifiedIR
- David NjokuTE · Not specifiedIR
- Denzel PerrymanMLB · Not specifiedIR
- Isaiah WorldOT · Not specifiedIR
- Rashawn SlaterOT · Not specifiedIR
- Sincere BrownWR · Not specifiedIR
- Trevor PenningOT · Not specifiedIR
- Trey LanceQB · Not specifiedIR
- Trey PipkinsOT · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BiadaszC · Not specifiedIR
- Branson TaylorOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (neck)—
- Brenen ThompsonWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
- Bud DupreeOLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q—
- Charlie KolarTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (forearm)—
- Daiyan HenleyLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Dalvin TomlinsonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Deane LeonardCB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (abdomen)—
- Derwin JamesFS · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Donte JacksonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Elijah MoldenCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
- Jamaree CaldwellDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Joe AltOT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (neck)—
- Kayode AwosikaG · Last listed Wk 6: Out (fibula)—
- KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Ladd McConkeyWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- Quentin JohnstonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (chest)—
- Rodney ShelleyDB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (hamstring)—
- Scott MatlockRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- Tre HarrisWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Tuli TuipulotuLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 5
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 0
- regular season
- Average
- 3.4
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 9 | —— | 60%3/5 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 5
- of 7
- Average
- 3.4
- yards
- Median
- 0
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 7
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs BUF | -2 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs CIN | — | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ IND | — | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs DAL | 20 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ TEN | 0 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ JAX | 0 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs NYG | -1 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs NYG | 36% | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1 | 0 |
| Wk 6 | @ JAX | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ TEN | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 4 | vs DAL | 24% | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | @ IND | 44% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 2 | vs CIN | 10% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 1 | vs BUF | 30% | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2 | 0 |
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Los Angeles Chargers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Los Angeles Chargers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 6.3 | 7.6 | 7th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 74% | 72% | 21st of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 57.5 | 54.5 | 20th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 9.1 | 7.1 | 30th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 7.5 | 6.1 | 30th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 6.4 | 4.9 | 29th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 5th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.3 | 7th of 32 |
| RB | 23.5 | 24th of 32 |
| WR | 30.4 | 13th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 11.1 | 10th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 13 | 63 |
| Dallas Goedert2025 · Wk 14 | 78 |
| Tyler Warren2025 · Wk 7 | 69 |
| AJ Barner2026 · Wk 4 | 12 |
| Michael Mayer2026 · Wk 2 | 23 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 42.5
- combined
- HOU implied total
- 23
- favored
- LAC implied total
- 19.5
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 29.8s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- Indoors
- no wind factor
- Conditions
- Dome
- climate controlled
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 60.7
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 38.1
- 63% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 3.7
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −2.4
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 36%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Stover sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Foster MoreauTE · 48% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Jared WayneWR+5targets
- Dalton SchultzTE+3.3targets
- Xavier HutchinsonWR+2.5targets
- Woody MarksRB+1.5targets
Based on 2 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Receptions | No game this week | |||||
| Anytime TD | No game this week | |||||
| Longest Reception | No game this week | |||||
| 1st TD | No game this week | |||||
| Last TD | No game this week | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No game this week | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
The club is on bye, so there is no line to track this week. The open and every move appear here for its next game.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No game this week, so there are no sportsbook lines.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Cade Stover's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Cade Stover's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Cade Stover's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Cade Stover's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
