nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY

Rams vs Raiders Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 25 · 1:25 PM PT
Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Conditions
Indoor · dome

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Tyler HigbeeLA · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    4.5
    Nuvela projection
    3.2
    Gap
    −1.3
  2. Brock BowersLV · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    70.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    60.6
    Gap
    −9.9
  3. Ashton JeantyLV · RUSH + REC YARDS
    Line
    84.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    74.6
    Gap
    −9.9
  4. Matthew StaffordLA · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    258.5
    Tank01 projection
    278.0
    Gap
    +19.5
  5. Kyren WilliamsLA · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    26.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    22.7
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 130.3Projected plays
  • -1.2Pass rate over expected
  • 2ndPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Rams26.525.8−0.7
Raiders22.523.9+1.4
Game total48.549.8+1.3

The Raiders carry 67% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

145 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props141

Rams · Away9 players

RECEPTIONS
4.5MARKET−1.3WIDE3.2Nuvela projection
Season range 2-8RECEIVING YARDS
38.5MARKET−4.5In line with market34.0Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 12-83LONGEST RECEPTION
16.5MARKET+1.0NARROW17.5Nuvela
Season range 7-301ST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
34%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1LAST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 15 props

Raiders · Home6 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
48.5MARKET+1.3GAP49.849.8
Season range 34-71
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
LA by 3.0MARKET+1.1GAP1.9LA by 1.9
Season range 2-28

Team props2

Rams · Away1 market

RamsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET−0.7GAP25.8Nuvela
Season range 7-34

Raiders · Home1 market

RaidersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
22.5MARKET+1.4GAP23.9Nuvela
Season range 17-35

Live stats. Posted lines.

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