TE · Los Angeles Rams#87

Davis Allen

Updated

Davis Allen (TE, LA) props for Week 8 vs Los Angeles Chargers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8 · Dome

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Los Angeles Rams is without tight end Terrance Ferguson, so the position’s targets stay with Allen. Across from him, Los Angeles Chargers is missing one safety and one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.

AllenNo injury designation

Around himLos Angeles Rams

6 of 23 touch Allen

This week

  • QuestionableColby ParkinsonTE · ribsLeaves the tight end targets to him
  • QuestionableJordan WhittingtonWR · backFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRTerrance FergusonTE · ankleLeaves the tight end targets to him
  • IRDavante AdamsWR · hamstringFrees targets
  • IRMatthew CaldwellQBChanges who throws to him

Off the report this week

  • ClearedPuka NacuaWR · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Across from himLos Angeles Chargers

5 of 31 touch Allen

This week

  • OutDeane LeonardCB · concussionIn pass coverage
  • OutDerwin JamesFS · hamstringCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableDonte JacksonCB · hamstringIn pass coverage
  • QuestionableRodney ShelleyDB · hamstringCovers tight ends

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDenzel PerrymanMLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2331Show

LA · Los Angeles Rams

23 listed
  • Colby ParkinsonTE · ribsQuestionable
  • Jordan WhittingtonWR · backQuestionable
  • Trent McDuffieCB · groinQuestionable
  • Blake GrupeK · Not specifiedIR
  • Daniel RickertLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Davante AdamsWR · hamstringIR
  • Eddie Walls IIILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Justin DedichOL · Not specifiedIR
  • Kobie TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Matthew CaldwellQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Myles GarrettLB · kneeIR
  • Poona FordDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Ronnie RiversRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Terrance FergusonTE · ankleIR
  • Zech McPhearsonCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Aaron DonaldDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
  • Jaylen WatsonCB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
  • Josaiah StewartLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (groin)—
  • Kam CurlSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Kamren KinchensSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (hamstring)—
  • Nate LandmanLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)Cleared
  • Puka NacuaWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)Cleared
  • Quentin LakeSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hip)—

LAC · Los Angeles Chargers

31 listed
  • Brenen ThompsonWR · quadricepOut
  • Deane LeonardCB · concussionOut
  • Derwin JamesFS · hamstringOut
  • Joe AltOTOut last week
  • Kayode AwosikaGOut last week
  • Donte JacksonCB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Rodney ShelleyDB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Alec IngoldFB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dalevon CampbellWR · Not specifiedIR
  • David NjokuTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Denzel PerrymanMLB · undisclosedIR
  • Isaiah WorldOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Rashawn SlaterOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Sincere BrownWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Trevor PenningOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Trey LanceQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Trey PipkinsOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Tyler BiadaszC · Not specifiedIR
  • Branson TaylorOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (neck)—
  • Bud DupreeOLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q—
  • Charlie KolarTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (forearm)—
  • Daiyan HenleyLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • Dalvin TomlinsonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Elijah MoldenCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
  • Jamaree CaldwellDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Ladd McConkeyWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
  • Quentin JohnstonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (chest)—
  • Scott MatlockRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
  • Tre HarrisWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
  • Tuli TuipulotuLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 7

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
2 of 3
each week's own close
Median
13
regular season
Average
11.9

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 320——67%2/3
Last 520——67%2/3
Season20——67%2/3
Last season21——86%6/7

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

7 of 7 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
7
of 7
Average
11.9
yards
Median
13
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 7
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs SF13——
Week 2vs NYG7——
Week 3@ DEN19——
Week 4@ PHI0——
Week 5vs BUF244.5+19.5
Week 6vs ARI05.5−5.5
Week 7@ LV208.5+11.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

7 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 7@ LV69%542062
Wk 6vs ARI31%000—0
Wk 5vs BUF50%2224210
Wk 4@ PHI48%200—0
Wk 3@ DEN36%3219130
Wk 2vs NYG52%11770
Wk 1vs SF34%1113130

Comparable players vs LA Chargers

4 of 7

tight ends went under their line vs LA Chargers

  1. Noah GrayKC · Week 653Rec ydsOver 14.5
  2. Travis KelceKC · Week 653Rec ydsOver 52.5
  3. AJ BarnerSEA · Week 412Rec ydsUnder 30.5
  4. Dalton KincaidBUF · Week 338Rec ydsUnder 57.5
  5. Dawson KnoxBUF · Week 35Rec ydsUnder 9.5
  6. Michael MayerLV · Week 223Rec ydsUnder 44.5
  7. Trey McBrideARI · Week 195Rec ydsOver 56.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Los Angeles Chargers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Los Angeles Chargers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.6.37.67th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.74%72%21st of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.57.554.520th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.9.17.130th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.7.56.130th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.6.44.929th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.8%11%5th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB14.37th of 32
RB23.524th of 32
WR30.413th of 32
TEhis position11.110th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 1363
Dallas Goedert2025 · Wk 1478
Tyler Warren2025 · Wk 769
AJ Barner2026 · Wk 412
Michael Mayer2026 · Wk 223

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
45
combined
LA implied total
25.75
favored
LAC implied total
19.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
29.8s
seconds / play
Wind
Indoors
no wind factor
Conditions
Dome
climate controlled

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
67
7-game avg
Dropbacks
41.5
62% pass
His receptions
1.5
projected this game
Red-zone trips
4.1
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−0.5
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share46%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %32%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share5%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share11%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share38%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT5.9
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
69%
Games missed this season
0

If Allen sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

Colby ParkinsonTE · 66% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 4 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD27%Market only—1 of 517%+10%
1st TD6%Market only—1 of 54%+2%
Last TD6%Market only—0 of 56%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Davis Allen's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Davis Allen's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Davis Allen's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Davis Allen's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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