WR · Las Vegas Raiders#9
Jalen Nailor
Updated
Jalen Nailor (WR, LV) props for Week 7 vs Los Angeles Rams: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 7 · Dome
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 8
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Las Vegas is without three other receivers, so more of the receiver targets go to Nailor. Across from him, Los Angeles Rams is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.
NailorNo injury designation
Around himLas Vegas Raiders
4 of 20 touch Nailor
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRChase RobertsWRFrees targets at his spot
- IRDont'e Thornton Jr.WR · hamstringFrees targets at his spot
- IRJack BechWRFrees targets at his spot
Show 1 more
- IRCarter RunyonTE · footFrees targets
Across from himLos Angeles Rams
3 of 23 touch Nailor
This week
- QuestionableTrent McDuffieCB · groinCovers receivers
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRZech McPhearsonCBCovers receivers
Off the report this week
- ClearedKam CurlSAF · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2023ShowHide
LV · Las Vegas Raiders
20 listed- Mike Washington Jr.RB · foot, backQuestionable
- Quay WalkerLB · chestQuestionable
- Brennan JacksonLB · Not specifiedIR
- Carter RunyonTE · footIR
- Chase RobertsWR · Not specifiedIR
- Chigozie AnusiemDB · Not specifiedIR
- Chris CollierRB · Not specifiedIR
- Dont'e Thornton Jr.WR · hamstringIR
- Jack BechWR · Not specifiedIR
- Justin PickettG · Not specifiedIR
- Keyron CrawfordDE · Not specifiedIR
- Aidan O'ConnellQB · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Ashton JeantyRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle, foot)—
- Brock BowersTE · Last listed Wk 3: Q (knee)—
- Darien PorterCB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (foot)—
- Jackson Powers-JohnsonC · Last listed Wk 4: Out (groin)—
- Kwity PayeDE · Last listed Wk 3: Q (illness)—
- Tonka HemingwayDT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)Cleared
- Trey Zuhn IIIG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)Cleared
- Treydan StukesSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (concussion)—
LA · Los Angeles Rams
23 listed- Nate LandmanLB · concussionOut
- Puka NacuaWR · calfQuestionable
- Trent McDuffieCB · groinQuestionable
- Blake GrupeK · knee - aclIR
- Daniel RickertLB · Not specifiedIR
- Davante AdamsWR · hamstringIR
- Eddie Walls IIILB · Not specifiedIR
- Justin DedichOL · Not specifiedIR
- Kobie TurnerDE · groinIR
- Matthew CaldwellQB · Not specifiedIR
- Myles GarrettLB · kneeIR
- Poona FordDT · tricepsIR
- Ronnie RiversRB · Not specifiedIR
- Terrance FergusonTE · ankleIR
- Zech McPhearsonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Aaron DonaldDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
- Colby ParkinsonTE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (knee, shoulder)—
- Jaylen WatsonCB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
- Jordan WhittingtonWR · Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (quadricep)—
- Josaiah StewartLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (groin)—
- Kam CurlSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Kamren KinchensSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (hamstring)—
- Quentin LakeSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hip)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 0 of 4
- each week's own close
- Median
- 12.5
- regular season
- Average
- 15.3
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 12.5 | —— | 0%0/2 |
| Last 5 | 12.5 | —— | 0%0/4 |
| Season | 12.5 | —— | 0%0/4 |
| Last season | 27 | —— | 53%9/17 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 5
- Average
- 15.3
- yards
- Median
- 12.5
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 5
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs MIA | 27 | 37.5 | −10.5 |
| Week 2 | @ LAC | 9 | 32.5 | −23.5 |
| Week 3 | @ NO | 16 | 24.5 | −8.5 |
| Week 4 | vs KC | — | 20.5 | — |
| Week 6 | vs BUF | 9 | 20.5 | −11.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | aDOT | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs BUF | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | — | 0 |
| Wk 4 | vs KC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 3 | @ NO | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | — | 0 |
| Wk 2 | @ LAC | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | — | 0 |
| Wk 1 | vs MIA | 5 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 12.4 | 0 |
Comparable players vs LA Rams
Other wide receivers who faced LA Rams this season, and how they did against their line.
wide receivers went over their line vs LA Rams
- Jalen BrooksARI · Week 6Line 22.530Rec ydsOver 22.5Over+7.5
- Kendrick BourneARI · Week 6Line 30.547Rec ydsOver 30.5Over+16.5
- Michael WilsonARI · Week 6Line 58.532Rec ydsUnder 58.5Under−26.5
- Keon ColemanBUF · Week 5Line 39.57Rec ydsUnder 39.5Under−32.5
- Khalil ShakirBUF · Week 5Line 46.580Rec ydsOver 46.5Over+33.5
- Skyler BellBUF · Week 5Line 15.50Rec ydsUnder 15.5Under−15.5
- Darius CooperPHI · Week 4Line 19.533Rec ydsOver 19.5Over+13.5
- Dontayvion WicksPHI · Week 4Line 54.518Rec ydsUnder 54.5Under−36.5
- Makai LemonPHI · Week 4Line 36.527Rec ydsUnder 36.5Under−9.5
- Courtland SuttonDEN · Week 3Line 36.546Rec ydsOver 36.5Over+9.5
- Jaylen WaddleDEN · Week 3Line 58.510Rec ydsUnder 58.5Under−48.5
- Pat BryantDEN · Week 3Line 26.544Rec ydsOver 26.5Over+17.5
- Darnell MooneyNYG · Week 2Line 19.548Rec ydsOver 19.5Over+28.5
- Malachi FieldsNYG · Week 2Line 25.530Rec ydsOver 25.5Over+4.5
- Malik NabersNYG · Week 2Line 61.51Rec ydsUnder 61.5Under−60.5
- Demarcus RobinsonSF · Week 1Line 9.550Rec ydsOver 9.5Over+40.5
- Mike EvansSF · Week 1Line 49.549Rec ydsUnder 49.5Under−0.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Los Angeles Rams defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Los Angeles Rams actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 15 | 18.6 | 2nd of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 57% | 62% | 6th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 103.5 | 150.3 | 2nd of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 6.9 | 8.1 | 4th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 10.9 | 11.2 | 15th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 5.1 | 4.2 | 29th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 9% | 11% | 12th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 16.6 | 16th of 32 |
| RB | 19.7 | 12th of 32 |
| WRhis position | 26.9 | 4th of 32 |
| TE | 8.3 | 2nd of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Drake London2025 · Wk 17 | 4 |
| DeVonta Smith2025 · Wk 3 | 60 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba2025 · Wk 16 | 96 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown2025 · Wk 15 | 164 |
| A.J. Brown2025 · Wk 3 | 109 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 48.5
- combined
- LV implied total
- 22.75
- underdog
- LA implied total
- 25.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 29.3s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- Indoors
- no wind factor
- Conditions
- Dome
- climate controlled
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 63
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 38.7
- 62% pass
- His receptions
- 1.5
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 4.2
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −2.5
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 64%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Nailor sits
If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.
Next up
Dareke YoungWR · 14% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Cody WhiteWR+2targets
- Dareke YoungWR+1.8targets
- Ashton JeantyRB+1.5targets
- Dylan LaubeRB+1.2targets
Based on 2 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 17% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 incl. 2025 | 15% | +1% |
| 1st TD | 4% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 3% | +1% |
| Last TD | 4% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 4% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 732 games+0.2
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games0.0
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
