Where do Konata Mumpfield's prop lines come from?

From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Konata Mumpfield's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.

How is Konata Mumpfield's projection made?

The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Konata Mumpfield's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.

Is this betting advice?

No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.

WR · Los Angeles Rams#4

Konata Mumpfield

Updated Oct 30, 12:36 AM PT

Konata Mumpfield's receiving yards line is 15.5 for Week 8 vs Los Angeles Chargers (Sun, Nov 1); the projection is 13.9. 6 of 8 markets posted.

vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8 · Dome

Line: 15.5; Receiving Yards
Nuvela projection: 13.9; this week
Difference: −1.6; −10%

Lines checked: Oct 30, 2:08 PM PT
Markets posted: 6 of 8
Line since open: level, from 15.5
Projections updated: Oct 30, 2:09 PM PT

Highlights

Line15.5Hasn't moved since it opened Thu 8:03 PM PT, at BetOnline, Bovada and 1 more.

Over

Why he could top 15.5 receiving yards

23.7A GAMEHe has averaged about 24 receiving yards over his last 6 games, against a line of 15.5.
30thOF 32Los Angeles lets receivers catch 69% of their targets this season, the 3rd highest in the league.
2OUT FOR LACLos Angeles is without cornerback Deane Leonard and safety Derwin James.

Under

Why he could fall short of 15.5

34%ROUTESHe runs a route on about 34% of dropbacks over 7 games.
1/6GAMESHe has topped 15.5 in 1 of his last 6 games, and his typical game is about 14 receiving yards.
3.2TARGETS A GAMEHe gets 3.2 targets a game, 8% of Los Angeles's total, over 7 games.

Ranked by how much each one matters. We show both sides and leave the decision to you. Nuvela is AI and can make mistakes.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Los Angeles Rams is without receiver Davante Adams, so more of the receiver targets go to Mumpfield. Across from him, Los Angeles Chargers is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.

MumpfieldNo injury designation

Around himLos Angeles Rams

6 of 23 touch Mumpfield

This week

QuestionableColby ParkinsonTE · ribsFrees targets
QuestionableJordan WhittingtonWR · backFrees targets at his spot

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRDavante AdamsWR · hamstringFrees targets at his spot
IRMatthew CaldwellQBChanges who throws to him
IRTerrance FergusonTE · ankleFrees targets

Off the report this week

ClearedPuka NacuaWR · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Across from himLos Angeles Chargers

4 of 31 touch Mumpfield

This week

OutDeane LeonardCB · concussionCovers receivers
OutDerwin JamesFS · hamstringDeep coverage
QuestionableDonte JacksonCB · hamstringCovers receivers
QuestionableRodney ShelleyDB · hamstringDeep coverage

Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2331Show

LA · Los Angeles Rams

23 listed

Colby ParkinsonTE · ribsQuestionable
Jordan WhittingtonWR · backQuestionable
Trent McDuffieCB · groinQuestionable
Blake GrupeK · Not specifiedIR
Daniel RickertLB · Not specifiedIR
Davante AdamsWR · hamstringIR
Eddie Walls IIILB · Not specifiedIR
Justin DedichOL · Not specifiedIR
Kobie TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
Matthew CaldwellQB · Not specifiedIR
Myles GarrettLB · kneeIR
Poona FordDT · Not specifiedIR
Ronnie RiversRB · Not specifiedIR
Terrance FergusonTE · ankleIR
Zech McPhearsonCB · Not specifiedIR
Aaron DonaldDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
Jaylen WatsonCB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
Josaiah StewartLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (groin)—
Kam CurlSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
Kamren KinchensSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (hamstring)—
Nate LandmanLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)Cleared
Puka NacuaWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)Cleared
Quentin LakeSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hip)—

LAC · Los Angeles Chargers

31 listed

Brenen ThompsonWR · quadricepOut
Deane LeonardCB · concussionOut
Derwin JamesFS · hamstringOut
Joe AltOTOut last week
Kayode AwosikaGOut last week
Donte JacksonCB · hamstringQuestionable
Rodney ShelleyDB · hamstringQuestionable
Alec IngoldFB · Not specifiedIR
Dalevon CampbellWR · Not specifiedIR
David NjokuTE · Not specifiedIR
Denzel PerrymanMLB · undisclosedIR
Isaiah WorldOT · Not specifiedIR
Rashawn SlaterOT · Not specifiedIR
Sincere BrownWR · Not specifiedIR
Trevor PenningOT · Not specifiedIR
Trey LanceQB · Not specifiedIR
Trey PipkinsOT · Not specifiedIR
Tyler BiadaszC · Not specifiedIR
Branson TaylorOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (neck)—
Bud DupreeOLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q—
Charlie KolarTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (forearm)—
Daiyan HenleyLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
Dalvin TomlinsonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
Elijah MoldenCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
Jamaree CaldwellDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
Ladd McConkeyWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
Quentin JohnstonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (chest)—
Scott MatlockRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
Tre HarrisWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
Tuli TuipulotuLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs line Distribution Splits Game log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 6

against the posted 15.5

NYG

at DEN

at PHI

—W5

ARI

at LV

13.9vs LAC

Cleared 15.5Under 15.5Nuvela projection this week

Explore line15.5

Consensus line: 15.5; yards
Nuvela projection: 13.9; −1.6 on the line
Above the line: 1 of 6; 17% of the sample
vs closing lines: 2 of 4; each week's own close
Median: 13.5; regular season
Average: 23.7; +8.2 on the line

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

Window	Median	Above % · vs current line	Above % · vs closing line
Last 3	15	0%0/2	50%1/2
Last 5	15	25%1/4	67%2/3
Season	13.5	17%1/6	50%2/4
Last season	5	20%2/10	50%1/2

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

6 of 7 games

Venue

Game state

Opponent defense

Games: 6; of 7
Average: 23.7; yards
Median: 13.5; yards
Above 15.5: 1 of 6; 17% of the sample
vs the full 7: 0.0; yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

Week	Opponent	Receiving Yards	Line that week	Against it
Week 1	vs SF	0	—	—
Week 2	vs NYG	12	16.5	−4.5
Week 3	@ DEN	93	9.5	+83.5
Week 4	@ PHI	7	—	—
Week 5	vs BUF	—	6.5	—
Week 6	vs ARI	15	6.5	+8.5
Week 7	@ LV	15	21.5	−6.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

7 played

Week	Opponent	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Long	aDOT	TD
Wk 7	@ LV	2	1	15	15	—	0
Wk 6	vs ARI	3	2	15	8	—	0
Wk 5	vs BUF	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 4	@ PHI	3	1	7	7	—	0
Wk 3	@ DEN	8	4	93	48	16.8	1
Wk 2	vs NYG	2	1	12	12	—	0
Wk 1	vs SF	1	0	0	—	—	0

Comparable players vs LA Chargers

10 of 15

wide receivers went under their line vs LA Chargers

Mumpfield this weekLine15.5Nuvela projection13.9

Jalen RoyalsKC · Week 6Line 24.524Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−0.5
Xavier WorthyKC · Week 6Line 48.573Rec ydsOver 48.5Over+24.5
Courtland SuttonDEN · Week 5Line 38.518Rec ydsUnder 38.5Under−20.5
Jaylen WaddleDEN · Week 5Line 55.519Rec ydsUnder 55.5Under−36.5
Troy FranklinDEN · Week 5Line 18.516Rec ydsUnder 18.5Under−2.5
Cooper KuppSEA · Week 4Line 23.513Rec ydsUnder 23.5Under−10.5
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · Week 4Line 93.576Rec ydsUnder 93.5Under−17.5
Rashid ShaheedSEA · Week 4Line 23.520Rec ydsUnder 23.5Under−3.5
DJ MooreBUF · Week 3Line 48.567Rec ydsOver 48.5Over+18.5
Khalil ShakirBUF · Week 3Line 41.56Rec ydsUnder 41.5Under−35.5
Jalen NailorLV · Week 2Line 32.59Rec ydsUnder 32.5Under−23.5
Tre TuckerLV · Week 2Line 36.5119Rec ydsOver 36.5Over+82.5
Kendrick BourneARI · Week 1Line 18.575Rec ydsOver 18.5Over+56.5
Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI · Week 1Line 47.533Rec ydsUnder 47.5Under−14.5
Michael WilsonARI · Week 1Line 41.556Rec ydsOver 41.5Over+14.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponent Similar players Game context

Opponent defense

How Los Angeles Chargers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Los Angeles Chargers actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

Measure	Allowed	League avg	Rank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.	15	18.4	2nd of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.	69%	62%	30th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.	132.8	148.8	8th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.	8.9	8.1	24th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.	10.5	11.1	9th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.	3.6	4.3	8th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.	8%	11%	5th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed

Position	FP allowed / g	Rank1 = toughest
QB	14.3	7th of 32
RB	23.5	24th of 32
WRhis position	30.4	13th of 32
TE	11.1	10th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

Player	Rec yds
A.J. Brown2025 · Wk 14	100
Wan'Dale Robinson2025 · Wk 4	14
DeVonta Smith2025 · Wk 14	37
Marquise Brown2025 · Wk 1	99
DK Metcalf2025 · Wk 10	35

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total: 45; combined
LA implied total: 25.75; favored
LAC implied total: 19.25; underdog
Projected script: Neutral/Lead; favored
Pace: 29.8s; seconds / play
Wind: Indoors; no wind factor
Conditions: Dome; climate controlled

What the game projects

volume, not rates

Offensive play count: 67; 7-game avg
Dropbacks: 41.5; 62% pass
Red-zone trips: 4.1; 7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp: −0.5; PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsage Availability Injuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

Snap share48%

Of the offence's snaps

Route %34%

Of the team's dropbacks

Target share8%

Of all his team's targets

Air-yards share12%

Of the team's intended air yards

RZ target share3%

Inside the opponent's 20

Targets / g3.2

Targets per game

Yards / route run1.1

Receiving yards per route run

aDOT14.3

Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported

Injury: None reported
Game status: No designation
Snap share, last game: 43%
Games missed this season: 0

If Mumpfield sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Tutu AtwellWR · 18% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarkets Odds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

6 posted · 2 waiting on a book

Market	Line	Projection	Diff	Cleared L5	Opened	Since open
Receiving Yards	15.5	13.9Nuvela projection	−1.6	1 of 5	15.5	level
Receptions	1.5	1.5Nuvela projection	0.0	2 of 5	1.5	level
Anytime TD	21%	Market only	—	1 of 5	20%	+1%
Longest Reception	12.5	10.8Nuvela	−1.7	2 of 5	12.5	level
1st TD	5%	Market only	—	0 of 5	5%	level
Last TD	5%	Market only	—	0 of 5	4%	+1%
2+ TDs	No line posted yet
Rush + Rec Yards	No line posted yet

What these figures mean

Cleared L5: How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open: How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

net 0 (held at 15.5)

Thu 8:03 PM15.5opened
Fri 2:07 PM15.50.0

Opened 15.5, now 15.5.

Catalysts are matched to each move by timing, which is approximate. Read them as what was in the news around the move, not a proven cause.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

Receiving Yards

5 books

Sportsbook	Line	Over	Under
BetOnline	15.5	−115	−112
BetRivers	17.5	−115	−114
Bovada	15.5	−115	−115
DraftKings	15.5	−113	−111
FanDuel	17.5	−114	−114

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Konata Mumpfield's prop lines come from?: From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Konata Mumpfield's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Konata Mumpfield's projection made?: The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Konata Mumpfield's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?: No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.