nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 5 · SUNDAY · FINAL

49ers vs Seahawks Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 1:25 PM PT
Venue
Lumen Field
Conditions
Outdoor

The game in numbers

  • -0.5Pass rate over expected
  • 13thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
49ers21.522.7+1.2
Seahawks24.523.4−1.1
Game total46.546.2−0.3

The two sides carry the disagreement roughly evenly, so this is a read on the game rather than on either offence.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

150 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props146

49ers · Away6 players

RECEIVING YARDS
36.5MARKET−5.4MODERATE31.1Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 15.0 · final resultRUSHING YARDS
49.5MARKET+6.8In line with market56.3Tank01 projection
Actual 68.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
4.5MARKET+0.3In line with market4.8Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
14.5MARKET+0.8In line with market15.3Tank01 projection
Actual 11.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
91.5MARKET−4.1In line with market87.4Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 83.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
14.5MARKET−1.8MODERATE12.7Nuvela
Actual 8.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
13.5MARKET0.0In line with market13.5Nuvela
Actual 13.0 · final result1ST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
59%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Scored · final resultLAST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 17 props

Seahawks · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 20 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
46.5MARKET−0.3GAP46.246.2
Season range 23-66
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SEA by 3.0MARKET+2.3GAP0.7SEA by 0.7
Season range 2-24

Team props2

49ers · Away1 market

49ersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
21.5MARKET+1.2GAP22.7Nuvela
Season range 24-36

Seahawks · Home1 market

SeahawksTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET−1.1GAP23.5Nuvela
Season range 13-31