TE · Seattle Seahawks#18

Elijah Arroyo

Elijah Arroyo (TE, SEA) props for Week 8 vs Chicago Bears: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Chicago Bears · Week 8IR

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
0 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Seattle is missing one receiver, which frees targets. Across from him, Chicago is missing three linebackers and one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.

ArroyoIR

Around himSeattle Seahawks

3 of 30 touch Arroyo

This week

  • QuestionableDrew LockQB · elbowChanges who throws to him
  • QuestionableRashid ShaheedWR · kneeFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRJake BoboWRFrees targets

Across from himChicago Bears

12 of 31 touch Arroyo

This week

  • QuestionableD'Marco JacksonLB · ankleCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableJack SanbornLB · concussionCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableMalik MuhammadCB · toeIn pass coverage

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRAnthony Johnson Jr.SAFCovers tight ends
  • IRCoby BryantCB · kneeIn pass coverage
  • IRDallis FlowersCBIn pass coverage
Show 4 more
  • IRDontae ManningCBIn pass coverage
  • IRNephi SewellLBCovers tight ends
  • IRRuben Hyppolite IILBCovers tight ends
  • IRTony Fields IILBCovers tight ends

Off the report this week

  • ClearedT.J. EdwardsLB · was Doubtful in Wk 7Back on the field
  • ClearedTyrique StevensonCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3031Show

SEA · Seattle Seahawks

30 listed
  • Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
  • Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
  • Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
  • Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
  • Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
  • Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
  • Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
  • Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
  • Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
  • Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
  • Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
  • Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
  • Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
  • Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
  • Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
  • DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
  • George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
  • Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
  • Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
  • Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
  • Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
  • Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—

CHI · Chicago Bears

31 listed
  • Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
  • D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
  • Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
  • Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
  • Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
  • Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
  • Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
  • Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
  • Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
  • Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
  • Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
  • Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
  • Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
  • Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
  • Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
  • Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
  • Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 2

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
8.5
regular season
Average
8.5

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season5——20%2/10

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

2 of 6 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
2
of 6
Average
8.5
yards
Median
8.5
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 6
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs NE—9.5—
Week 2@ ARI17——
Week 3@ WAS—4.5—
Week 4vs LAC———
Week 5vs SF0——
Week 6@ DEN—2.5—

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 6@ DEN6%—————
Wk 5vs SF32%100—0
Wk 4vs LAC32%—————
Wk 3@ WAS27%—————
Wk 2@ ARI21%1117170
Wk 1vs NE22%—————

Comparable players vs Chicago

6 of 9

tight ends went over their line vs Chicago

  1. Eli RaridonNE · Week 756Rec ydsOver 15.5
  2. Hunter HenryNE · Week 771Rec ydsOver 33.5
  3. Kyle PittsATL · Week 660Rec ydsOver 29.5
  4. Tucker KraftGB · Week 564Rec ydsOver 49.5
  5. Kenyon SadiqNYJ · Week 40Rec ydsUnder 41.5
  6. Johnny MundtPHI · Week 34Rec ydsUnder 9.5
  7. Josh OliverMIN · Week 224Rec ydsOver 13.5
  8. T.J. HockensonMIN · Week 229Rec ydsUnder 29.5
  9. Tommy TrembleCAR · Week 125Rec ydsOver 10.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Chicago Bears defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Chicago Bears actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.6.67.610th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.74%72%22nd of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.56.654.519th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.8.67.128th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.5.16.18th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.6.64.930th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.12%11%24th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB19.323rd of 32
RB18.66th of 32
WR30.111th of 32
TEhis position13.117th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Theo Johnson2025 · Wk 1075
Harold Fannin Jr.2025 · Wk 1548
Dallas Goedert2025 · Wk 1327
Sam LaPorta2025 · Wk 226
Kyle Pitts2026 · Wk 660

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
46.5
combined
SEA implied total
24.75
favored
CHI implied total
21.75
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
31.6s
seconds / play
Wind
2 mph
Clouds
Conditions
50°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
63.4
7-game avg
Dropbacks
35.1
55% pass
His receptions
0.9
projected this game
Red-zone trips
3.1
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−5.4
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share27%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %27%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share4%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share0%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT16
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
Not Specified
Game status
Ir
Snap share, last game
6%
Games missed this season
1

If Arroyo sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

Eric SaubertTE · 26% of the snaps

Where his work goes

  • Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR+2.5targets
  • AJ BarnerTE+2.2targets
  • Cooper KuppWR+2.2targets
  • Eric SaubertTE+0.5targets

Based on 4 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

0 posted · 7 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Anytime TDNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
1st TDNo line posted yet
Last TDNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Elijah Arroyo's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Elijah Arroyo's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Elijah Arroyo's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Elijah Arroyo's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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