nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 6 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Titans vs Colts Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor

The game in numbers

  • -4.8Pass rate over expected
  • 12thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Titans18.517.0−1.5
Colts25.525.9+0.4
Game total43.542.9−0.6

The Titans carry 79% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

171 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props167

Titans · Away8 players

Questionable (knee)

RUSHING YARDS
12.5MARKET+7.5WIDE20.0Tank01 projection
Actual 1.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
13.5MARKET+3.3In line with market16.8Tank01 projection
Actual 7.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
30.5MARKET+6.3In line with market36.8Tank01 projection
Actual 8.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
2.5MARKET+0.1In line with market2.6Nuvela
Actual 1.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
8.5MARKET+2.3WIDE10.8Nuvela
Actual 7.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
6.5MARKET+1.6WIDE8.1Nuvela
Actual 1.0 · final result1ST TD
4%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 8 players · 23 props

Colts · Home12 players

Depth and touchdown only · 3 players · 9 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
43.5MARKET−0.6GAP42.942.9
Season range 19-64
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
IND by 6.5MARKET+2.3GAP8.8IND by 8.8
Season range 2-23

Team props2

Titans · Away1 market

TitansTEAM TOTAL POINTS
18.5MARKET−1.5GAP17.0Nuvela
Season range 3-20

Colts · Home1 market

ColtsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
25.5MARKET+0.4GAP25.9Nuvela
Season range 19-30