TE · Indianapolis Colts#81
Mo Alie-Cox
Updated
Mo Alie-Cox (TE, IND) props for Week 8 at Jacksonville Jaguars: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Indianapolis is without tight end Carson Towt, so the position’s targets stay with Alie-Cox. Across from him, Jacksonville is missing two safeties and two linebackers, the players who usually cover tight ends.
Alie-CoxNo injury designation
Around himIndianapolis Colts
6 of 21 touch Alie-Cox
This week
- OutAnthony GouldWR · concussionFrees targets
- QuestionableAndrew OgletreeTE · kneeLeaves the tight end targets to him
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCarson TowtTELeaves the tight end targets to him
- IRAlec PierceWR · heelFrees targets
- IRD.J. MontgomeryWRFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedTyler WarrenTE · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himJacksonville Jaguars
4 of 18 touch Alie-Cox
This week
- OutAntonio JohnsonSAF · ankleCovers tight ends
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCaleb RansawSAFCovers tight ends
- IRJared BartlettLBCovers tight ends
- IRParker HughesLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2118ShowHide
IND · Indianapolis Colts
21 listed- Anthony GouldWR · concussionOut
- Justin WalleyCB · kneeOut
- Andrew OgletreeTE · kneeQuestionable
- Bryce BoettcherLB · groinQuestionable
- Alec PierceWR · heelIR
- Arden KeyDE · Not specifiedIR
- Cam Taylor-BrittCB · groinIR
- Cameron MitchellDB · Not specifiedIR
- Carson TowtTE · Not specifiedIR
- D.J. MontgomeryWR · Not specifiedIR
- Micheal ClemonsDE · Not specifiedIR
- Ashton DulinWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Austin AjiakeLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- CJ AllenLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Charvarius WardCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
- DJ GiddensRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Jaylon CarliesLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ribs)—
- Keenan AllenWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
- Sauce GardnerCB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
- Tyler WarrenTE · Last listed Wk 7: Out (groin)Cleared
- Will MalloryTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (thumb)—
JAX · Jacksonville Jaguars
18 listed- Antonio JohnsonSAF · ankleOut
- Ross MatiscikLSOut last week
- Jakobi MeyersWR · hamstringQuestionable
- Anton HarrisonOT · Not specifiedIR
- BJ Green IIDE · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb RansawSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Carter BradleyQB · Not specifiedIR
- Garrett DiGiorgioOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jared BartlettLB · Not specifiedIR
- Parker HughesLB · Not specifiedIR
- Patrick MekariOT · Not specifiedIR
- Sam MustipherC · Not specifiedIR
- Zach DurfeeDE · Not specifiedIR
- Albert RegisDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (elbow)—
- Eric MurrayS · Last listed Wk 5: Doubtful (concussion)—
- Jaylon JonesDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- LeQuint Allen Jr.RB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—
- Montaric BrownCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 0 of 1
- each week's own close
- Median
- 7.5
- regular season
- Average
- 7.8
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 1 | —— | 0%0/1 |
| Last 5 | 1 | —— | 0%0/1 |
| Season | 1 | —— | 0%0/1 |
| Last season | 10 | —— | 50%1/2 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 7
- Average
- 7.8
- yards
- Median
- 7.5
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 7
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs BAL | — | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ KC | — | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs HOU | 16 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ WAS | — | 3.5 | — |
| Week 5 | @ PIT | 14 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs TEN | 1 | 13.5 | −12.5 |
| Week 7 | @ MIN | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | @ MIN | 64% | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 6 | vs TEN | 37% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Wk 5 | @ PIT | 42% | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | @ WAS | 47% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 3 | vs HOU | 38% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | @ KC | 38% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 1 | vs BAL | 26% | — | — | — | — | — |
Comparable players vs Jacksonville
Other tight ends who faced Jacksonville this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went under their line vs Jacksonville
- Foster MoreauHOU · Week 6Line 6.57Rec ydsOver 6.5Over+0.5
- Dallas GoedertPHI · Week 5Line 41.538Rec ydsUnder 41.5Under−3.5
- Mike GesickiCIN · Week 4Line 27.540Rec ydsOver 27.5Over+12.5
- Hunter HenryNE · Week 3Line 41.55Rec ydsUnder 41.5Under−36.5
- Evan EngramDEN · Week 2Line 24.517Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−7.5
- Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · Week 1Line 36.521Rec ydsUnder 36.5Under−15.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Jacksonville Jaguars defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Jacksonville Jaguars actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 6.2 | 7.6 | 5th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 68% | 72% | 6th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 34.7 | 54.5 | 2nd of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 5.6 | 7.1 | 6th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 6.1 | 6.1 | 15th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 2.8 | 4.9 | 1st of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 11% | 11% | 19th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 15.5 | 13th of 32 |
| RB | 17.3 | 2nd of 32 |
| WR | 38 | 29th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 11.8 | 11th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden II2025 · Wk 11 | 41 |
| Trey McBride2025 · Wk 12 | 79 |
| Tyler Warren2025 · Wk 17 | 43 |
| Michael Mayer2025 · Wk 9 | 26 |
| Harold Fannin Jr.2026 · Wk 1 | 21 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46.5
- combined
- IND implied total
- 18.25
- underdog
- JAX implied total
- 28.25
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 31.2s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 9 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 76°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 65.1
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 37.8
- 58% pass
- His receptions
- 1
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.9
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −5.2
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 64%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Alie-Cox sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Will MalloryTE · 43% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 7% | Market only | — | 1 of 5 incl. 2025 | 8% | −2% |
| 1st TD | 1% | Market only | — | 1 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Mo Alie-Cox's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Mo Alie-Cox's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Mo Alie-Cox's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Mo Alie-Cox's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
