TE · Washington Commanders#82

Ben Sinnott

Updated

Ben Sinnott (TE, WAS) props for Week 8 vs Philadelphia Eagles: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Washington is missing three receivers, which frees targets. Across from him, Philadelphia is missing three safeties and one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.

SinnottNo injury designation

Around himWashington Commanders

5 of 28 touch Sinnott

This week

  • QuestionableJohn BatesTE · shoulderLeaves the tight end targets to him
  • QuestionableTreylon BurksWR · footFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRJacoby JonesWRFrees targets
  • IRJaylin LaneWR · ankleFrees targets
  • IRTerry McLaurinWR · kneeFrees targets

Across from himPhiladelphia Eagles

10 of 30 touch Sinnott

This week

  • OutJihaad CampbellLB · hamstringCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableJalyx HuntLB · knee, ankleCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableJonathan GreenardLB · ankleCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableJonathan JonesDB · hamstringCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableMarcus EppsSAF · jawCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableMichael Carter IICB · abdomenIn pass coverage
  • QuestionableNolan SmithLB · concussionCovers tight ends

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRAndre' SamSAFCovers tight ends
  • IRJakorian BennettDB · kneeCovers tight ends
  • IRTucker LargeSAFCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2830Show

WAS · Washington Commanders

28 listed
  • Javon KinlawDT · ankle, kneeOut
  • Charles OmenihuDE · groin, ankleQuestionable
  • John BatesTE · shoulderQuestionable
  • Treylon BurksWR · footQuestionable
  • Jacoby JonesWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · groinIR
  • Javontae Jean-BaptisteLB · pectoralIR
  • Jaylin LaneWR · ankleIR
  • Jer'Zhan NewtonDT · pectoralIR
  • Laremy TunsilOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Leo ChenalLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Malik SpencerSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Terry McLaurinWR · kneeIR
  • Chig OkonkwoTE · Last listed Wk 3: Out (hamstring)—
  • Deatrich WiseDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (quadricep)—
  • Frankie LuvuLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (groin)—
  • Jayden DanielsQB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (elbow)—
  • Jeremy McNicholsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
  • Jordan MageeLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Lucas PatrickC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)—
  • Marcus MariotaQB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
  • Nick CrossSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)—
  • Percy ButlerSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Rachaad WhiteRB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
  • Sam CosmiOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion, throat)—
  • Stefon DiggsWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Trey AmosCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Tyler OwensDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—

PHI · Philadelphia Eagles

30 listed
  • Britain CoveyWR · Not specifiedOut
  • DeVonta SmithWR · hamstringOut
  • Dontayvion WicksWR · ankleOut
  • Jihaad CampbellLB · hamstringOut
  • Jalyx HuntLB · knee, ankleQuestionable
  • Jonathan GreenardLB · ankleQuestionable
  • Jonathan JonesDB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Marcus EppsSAF · jawQuestionable
  • Michael Carter IICB · abdomenQuestionable
  • Moro OjomoDT · neckQuestionable
  • Nolan SmithLB · concussionQuestionable
  • Andre' SamSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Dameon PierceRB · undisclosedIR
  • Jakorian BennettDB · kneeIR
  • Jalen HurtsQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Johnny WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Tank BigsbyRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tucker LargeSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Will ShipleyRB · Not specifiedIR
  • A.J. EpenesaLB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (back)—
  • Andrew MukubaSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
  • Dallas GoedertTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
  • Drew KendallC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • Eli StowersTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (quadricep)Cleared
  • Fred JohnsonOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
  • Grant CalcaterraTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
  • Landon DickersonG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, pectoral)Cleared
  • Marquise BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
  • Saquon BarkleyRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
  • Zack BaunLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 3

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
0
regular season
Average
2

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season29——67%2/3

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

3 of 6 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
3
of 6
Average
2
yards
Median
0
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 6
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1@ PHI———
Week 2@ DAL6——
Week 3vs SEA0——
Week 4vs IND———
Week 5vs NYG0——
Week 6@ SF———

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 6@ SF27%—————
Wk 5vs NYG37%000—0
Wk 4vs IND38%—————
Wk 3vs SEA49%100—0
Wk 2@ DAL68%11660
Wk 1@ PHI26%—————

Comparable players vs Philadelphia

6 of 9

tight ends went under their line vs Philadelphia

  1. Brevyn Spann-FordDAL · Week 711Rec ydsUnder 13.5
  2. Jake FergusonDAL · Week 70Rec ydsUnder 18.5
  3. Tommy TrembleCAR · Week 646Rec ydsOver 12.5
  4. Brenton StrangeJAX · Week 568Rec ydsOver 33.5
  5. Tyler HigbeeLA · Week 467Rec ydsOver 32.5
  6. Cole KmetCHI · Week 30Rec ydsUnder 8.5
  7. Colston LovelandCHI · Week 331Rec ydsUnder 32.5
  8. Gunnar HelmTEN · Week 213Rec ydsUnder 22.5
  9. Chig OkonkwoWAS · Week 116Rec ydsUnder 27.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Philadelphia Eagles defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Philadelphia Eagles actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.6.17.64th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.72%72%17th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.4354.59th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.77.115th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.76.125th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.3.84.97th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.11%11%16th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB19.524th of 32
RB21.216th of 32
WR40.131st of 32
TEhis position10.57th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Theo Johnson2025 · Wk 820
Cade Otton2025 · Wk 49
Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 1528
Gunnar Helm2026 · Wk 213
T.J. Hockenson2025 · Wk 743

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
40.5
combined
WAS implied total
23.25
favored
PHI implied total
17.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
29.9s
seconds / play
Wind
4 mph
Clouds
Conditions
54°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
62.8
6-game avg
Dropbacks
40.2
64% pass
His receptions
0.3
projected this game
Red-zone trips
3
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−1.7
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share51%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %29%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share2%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share0%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT5.5
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
27%
Games missed this season
0

If Sinnott sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

John BatesTE · 41% of the snaps

Where his work goes

  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB+3.3targets
  • Antonio WilliamsWR+2.7targets
  • Rachaad WhiteRB+2.3targets
  • Treylon BurksWR+1.8targets

Based on 2 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 4 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD6%Market only—0 of 5 incl. 20255%level
1st TD2%Market only—0 of 52%level
Last TD2%Market only—0 of 52%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Ben Sinnott's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Ben Sinnott's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Ben Sinnott's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Ben Sinnott's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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