QB · Minnesota Vikings#11
Carson Wentz
Carson Wentz (QB, MIN) props for Week 8 at Detroit Lions: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Detroit Lions · Week 8 · Dome
- Line
- —
- Passing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Minnesota is missing one tight end, which leaves Wentz fewer targets to throw to. Across from him, Detroit is missing two linebackers and one defensive lineman, the players who usually rush the passer.
WentzNo injury designation
Around himMinnesota Vikings
4 of 19 touch Wentz
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDonovan JacksonGWeakens his protection
- IRJosh OliverTEOne fewer target for him to throw to
- IRNick SamacCWeakens his protection
Off the report this week
- ClearedJordan MasonRB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himDetroit Lions
8 of 20 touch Wentz
This week
- QuestionableRoger McCrearyCB · footIn pass coverage
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAvonte MaddoxFSIn pass coverage
- IRDamone ClarkLBRushes the passer
- IRDevin WhiteLB · forearmRushes the passer
Show 3 more
- PUPKerby JosephSAF · kneeIn pass coverage
- IRPayton TurnerDERushes the passer
- IRThomas HarperSAFIn pass coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedBrian BranchCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1920ShowHide
MIN · Minnesota Vikings
19 listed- Jay WardSAF · kneeQuestionable
- Donovan JacksonG · Not specifiedIR
- Jacob RobertsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jamal AdamsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Josh OliverTE · Not specifiedIR
- Marcus AllenDB · Not specifiedIR
- Nick SamacC · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BattyLB · Not specifiedIR
- Ben YurosekTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Brett ThorsonP · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
- Brian O'NeillOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Charles DemmingsCB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (hamstring)—
- Christian DarrisawOT · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
- Jauan JenningsWR · Last listed Wk 2: Out—
- Jordan AddisonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring)—
- Jordan MasonRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (thumb)Cleared
- Justin JeffersonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Kyler MurrayQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (concussion)—
- Michael JurgensG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (elbow)—
DET · Detroit Lions
20 listed- Roger McCrearyCB · footQuestionable
- Avonte MaddoxFS · Not specifiedIR
- Ben BartchOT · Not specifiedIR
- Damone ClarkLB · Not specifiedIR
- Devin WhiteLB · forearmIR
- Giovanni ManuOL · Not specifiedIR
- Isiah PachecoRB · backIR
- Kendrick LawWR · Not specifiedIR
- Kerby JosephSAF · kneePUP
- Payton TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
- Thomas HarperSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Tom KennedyWR · Not specifiedIR
- Blake MillerOT · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
- Brian BranchCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (achilles)Cleared
- Cade MaysC · Last listed Wk 7: Q (wrist)Cleared
- Christian IzienSAF · Last listed Wk 1: Q (groin)—
- Christian MahoganyG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (hip)—
- D.J. ReedCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (rib)—
- Rock Ya-SinCB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (hamstring)—
- Tyleik WilliamsDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Passing Yards, last 2
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 0 of 1
- each week's own close
- Median
- 138
- regular season
- Average
- 138
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 143.5 | —— | 0%0/2 |
| Last 5 | 190 | —— | 50%2/4 |
| Season | 143 | —— | 0%0/1 |
| Last season | 236 | —— | 60%3/5 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 2
- of 2
- Average
- 138
- yards
- Median
- 138
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 2
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Passing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs GB | 133 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ CHI | 143 | 212.5 | −69.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Att | Comp | Pass yds | Long | TD | INT | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ CHI | 20 | 11 | 143 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Wk 1 | vs GB | 19 | 12 | 133 | 39 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
Comparable players vs Detroit
Other quarterbacks who faced Detroit this season, and how they did against their line.
quarterbacks went over their line vs Detroit
- Jordan LoveGB · Week 7Line 285.5274Pass ydsUnder 285.5Under−11.5
- Jacoby BrissettARI · Week 5Line 268.5292Pass ydsOver 268.5Over+23.5
- Bryce YoungCAR · Week 4Line 245.5329Pass ydsOver 245.5Over+83.5
- Geno SmithNYJ · Week 3Line 227.5321Pass ydsOver 227.5Over+93.5
- Josh AllenBUF · Week 2Line 250.5248Pass ydsUnder 250.5Under−2.5
- Tyler ShoughNO · Week 1Line 240.5410Pass ydsOver 240.5Over+169.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Detroit Lions defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the pass
What Detroit Lions actually allows to QBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts facedHow much passing volume this defence sees: the base under every passing prop. | 42.8 | 33.5 | 32nd of 32 |
| Passing yards allowedPer game, to quarterbacks. | 312.3 | 235.8 | 32nd of 32 |
| Yards per attempt allowedEfficiency conceded, independent of how often the defence is thrown on. | 7.3 | 7.1 | 17th of 32 |
| Completion % allowedCompletions per attempt. | 67% | 64% | 27th of 32 |
| Sack rateSacks per dropback. Sacks remove attempts outright, so they cap a passing line. | 8% | 6% | 7th of 32 |
| Pressure rateHow often this defence pressured the quarterbacks it faced: the mechanism behind suppressed passing yards. | 21% | 22% | 16th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 13% | 11% | 28th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QBhis position | 25.6 | 32nd of 32 |
| RB | 19.8 | 10th of 32 |
| WR | 39 | 30th of 32 |
| TE | 29.4 | 32nd of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Pass yds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen2026 · Wk 2 | 248 |
| Jacoby Brissett2026 · Wk 5 | 292 |
| Max Brosmer2025 · Wk 17 | 51 |
| Jake Browning2025 · Wk 5 | 251 |
| Jalen Hurts2025 · Wk 11 | 135 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46
- combined
- MIN implied total
- 21.25
- underdog
- DET implied total
- 24.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 32s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- Indoors
- no wind factor
- Conditions
- Dome
- climate controlled
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 58.7
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 33
- 56% pass
- His pass attempts
- 35.4
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.5
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −3.8
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 100%
- Games missed this season
- 4
If Wentz sits
If a quarterback sits, the whole passing game moves down together: every receiver's range drops with the backup.
Next up
Max BrosmerQB
Where his work goes
Every pass catcher's number moves down with the backup, so there is no single winner to show.
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Passing TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Interceptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Completions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass + Rush Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Completion | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the QB's passing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The WR1's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.5
- The TE1's receiving yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Carson Wentz's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Carson Wentz's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Carson Wentz's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Carson Wentz's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
