nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 8 · SUNDAY

Vikings vs Lions Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Ford Field
Conditions
Indoor · dome

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Sam LaPortaDET · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    4.5
    Nuvela projection
    3.9
    Gap
    −0.6
  2. Kyler MurrayMIN · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    23.5
    Nuvela projection
    26.2
    Gap
    In line with market
  3. Kyler MurrayMIN · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    251.5
    Nuvela projection
    236.3
    Gap
    In line with market
  4. Jared GoffDET · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    261.5
    Nuvela projection
    246.9
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Kyler MurrayMIN · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    224.5
    Nuvela projection
    210.1
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 124.5Projected play count
  • -2.2Pass rate over expected
  • 5thPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Vikings20.5——
Lions24.5——
Game total46.045.7−0.3

Under review · We favour the other side

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

131 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props127

Vikings · Away5 players

RUSH ATTEMPTS
4.5MARKET · 1 BOOK+0.9GAP5.4Nuvela projection
Season range 2-10RUSHING YARDS
23.5MARKET+2.7In line with market26.2Nuvela projection
Season range 9-51PASS + RUSH YARDS
251.5MARKET−15.2In line with market236.3Nuvela projection
Season range 27-280PASSING YARDS
224.5MARKET−14.4In line with market210.1Nuvela projection
Season range 18-247COMPLETIONS
19.5MARKET+1.1In line with market20.6Nuvela projection
Season range 3-27PASS ATTEMPTS
31.5MARKET+0.3In line with market31.8Nuvela projection
Season range 5-37LONGEST COMPLETION
36.5MARKET−4.7MODERATE31.8Nuvela
Season range 9-411ST TD
4%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-0LAST TD
4%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketINTERCEPTIONS
0.5MARKET46%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1PASSING TDS
1.5MARKET43%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1
Depth and touchdown only · 9 players · 25 props

Lions · Home7 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
46.0MARKET−0.3GAP45.745.7
Season range 12-72
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
DET by 3.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · We favour the other side

Team props2

Vikings · Away1 market

VikingsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · We favour the other side

Lions · Home1 market

LionsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · We favour the other side