QB · Seattle Seahawks#2
Drew Lock
Drew Lock (QB, SEA) props for Week 8 vs Chicago Bears: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Chicago Bears · Week 8Questionable
- Line
- —
- Passing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Seattle is missing one tight end and one receiver, which leaves Lock fewer targets to throw to. Across from him, Chicago is missing three linebackers and two defensive linemen, the players who usually rush the passer.
LockQuestionable · elbow
Around himSeattle Seahawks
8 of 30 touch Lock
This week
- QuestionableRashid ShaheedWR · kneeOne fewer target for him to throw to
- QuestionableVelus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringChanges his backfield
- QuestionableZach CharbonnetRB · kneeChanges his backfield
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRElijah ArroyoTEOne fewer target for him to throw to
- IRJadarian PriceRB · chestChanges his backfield
- IRJake BoboWROne fewer target for him to throw to
Show 2 more
- IRMason RichmanGWeakens his protection
- IRRobbie OuztsRBChanges his backfield
Across from himChicago Bears
14 of 31 touch Lock
This week
- QuestionableD'Marco JacksonLB · ankleRushes the passer
- QuestionableJack SanbornLB · concussionRushes the passer
- QuestionableMalik MuhammadCB · toeIn pass coverage
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAnthony Johnson Jr.SAFIn pass coverage
- IRCoby BryantCB · kneeIn pass coverage
- IRDallis FlowersCBIn pass coverage
Show 6 more
- IRDayo OdeyingboDERushes the passer
- IRDontae ManningCBIn pass coverage
- IRJonathan GarvinDERushes the passer
- IRNephi SewellLBRushes the passer
- IRRuben Hyppolite IILBRushes the passer
- IRTony Fields IILBRushes the passer
Off the report this week
- ClearedT.J. EdwardsLB · was Doubtful in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedTyrique StevensonCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3031ShowHide
SEA · Seattle Seahawks
30 listed- Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
- Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
- Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
- Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
- Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
- Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
- Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
- Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
- Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
- Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
- Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
- Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
- Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
- Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
- Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
- Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
- Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
- Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
- Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
- Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
- DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
- Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
- Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
- Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
- Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
CHI · Chicago Bears
31 listed- Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
- D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
- Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
- Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
- Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
- Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
- Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
- Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
- Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
- Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
- Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
- Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
- Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
- Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
- Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
- Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
- Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
- Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
- Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
- Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
- Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
- Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
- Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Passing Yards, last 2
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 1 of 1
- each week's own close
- Median
- 211
- regular season
- Average
- 211
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 235 | —— | 100%1/1 |
| Last 5 | 235 | —— | 100%1/1 |
| Season | 235 | —— | 100%1/1 |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 2
- of 2
- Average
- 211
- yards
- Median
- 211
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 2
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Passing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs NE | 187 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ ARI | 235 | 206.5 | +28.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Att | Comp | Pass yds | Long | TD | INT | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ ARI | 26 | 19 | 235 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 1 | vs NE | 22 | 16 | 187 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
Comparable players vs Chicago
Other quarterbacks who faced Chicago this season, and how they did against their line.
quarterbacks went under their line vs Chicago
- Drake MayeNE · Week 7Line 247.5321Pass ydsOver 247.5Over+73.5
- Michael Penix Jr.ATL · Week 6Line 236.5225Pass ydsUnder 236.5Under−11.5
- Jordan LoveGB · Week 5Line 241.5367Pass ydsOver 241.5Over+125.5
- Geno SmithNYJ · Week 4Line 224.5119Pass ydsUnder 224.5Under−105.5
- Jalen HurtsPHI · Week 3Line 214.5153Pass ydsUnder 214.5Under−61.5
- Carson WentzMIN · Week 2Line 212.5143Pass ydsUnder 212.5Under−69.5
- Bryce YoungCAR · Week 1Line 209.5361Pass ydsOver 209.5Over+151.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Chicago Bears defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the pass
What Chicago Bears actually allows to QBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts facedHow much passing volume this defence sees: the base under every passing prop. | 27.7 | 33.5 | 1st of 32 |
| Passing yards allowedPer game, to quarterbacks. | 241.3 | 235.8 | 20th of 32 |
| Yards per attempt allowedEfficiency conceded, independent of how often the defence is thrown on. | 8.7 | 7.1 | 32nd of 32 |
| Completion % allowedCompletions per attempt. | 65% | 64% | 17th of 32 |
| Sack rateSacks per dropback. Sacks remove attempts outright, so they cap a passing line. | 9% | 6% | 3rd of 32 |
| Pressure rateHow often this defence pressured the quarterbacks it faced: the mechanism behind suppressed passing yards. | 22% | 22% | 12th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 12% | 11% | 24th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QBhis position | 19.3 | 23rd of 32 |
| RB | 18.6 | 6th of 32 |
| WR | 30.1 | 11th of 32 |
| TE | 13.1 | 17th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Pass yds |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels2025 · Wk 6 | 211 |
| Joe Flacco2025 · Wk 9 | 470 |
| Jared Goff2025 · Wk 18 | 331 |
| Tyler Huntley2025 · Wk 8 | 186 |
| Drake Maye2026 · Wk 7 | 321 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46.5
- combined
- SEA implied total
- 24.75
- favored
- CHI implied total
- 21.75
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 31.6s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 50°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 63.4
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 35.1
- 55% pass
- His pass attempts
- 1
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.1
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −5.4
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Elbow
- Game status
- Questionable
- Snap share, last game
- 100%
- Games missed this season
- 5
If Lock sits
If a quarterback sits, the whole passing game moves down together: every receiver's range drops with the backup.
Next up
Jalen MilroeQB
Where his work goes
Every pass catcher's number moves down with the backup, so there is no single winner to show.
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Passing TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Interceptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Completions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass + Rush Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Completion | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the QB's passing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The WR1's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.5
- The TE1's receiving yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Drew Lock's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Drew Lock's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Drew Lock's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Drew Lock's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
