Where do Jalen Coker's prop lines come from?

From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Jalen Coker's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.

How is Jalen Coker's projection made?

The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Jalen Coker's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.

Is this betting advice?

No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.

WR · Carolina Panthers#18

Jalen Coker

Updated Oct 29, 9:11 PM PT

Jalen Coker's receiving yards line is 62.5 for Week 8 at Green Bay Packers (Thu, Oct 29); the projection is 48.3. 6 of 8 markets posted.

@ Green Bay Packers · Week 8Final

Line: 62.5; Receiving Yards · pregame line
Nuvela projection: 48.3; this week · pregame
Result: 36; final result

Lines checked: Oct 30, 2:28 PM PT
Markets posted: 6 of 8
Line since open: −1.0, from 63.5
Projections updated: Oct 30, 2:30 PM PT
Stats before: Week 8

Highlights

Line62.5Down 1 since it opened at 63.5 on Monday, after swinging between 62.5 and 64.5. News around the move (Mon Oct 26): Coker was listed as limited on Monday's estimated practice report due to a shoulder injury, Darin Gantt of the Panthers' official site reports.

Over

Why he could top 62.5 receiving yards

30thOF 32Receivers see 21.9 targets a game against Green Bay this season, the 3rd most in the league.
3.5PT UNDERDOGCarolina is a 3.5 point underdog.
2/3ROAD GAMESHe has topped 62.5 in 2 of his 3 road games, and this one is on the road.

Under

Why he could fall short of 62.5

1stFEWESTGreen Bay lets 6% of throws go 20 or more yards this season, the fewest in the league.
1/11LAST SEASONLast season he topped 62.5 in 1 of 11 games, and his typical game was 36 receiving yards.
6thFEWESTGreen Bay gives up 7.2 yards a target to receivers this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Ranked by how much each one matters. We show both sides and leave the decision to you. Nuvela is AI and can make mistakes.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Carolina is missing one tight end, which frees targets. Across from him, Green Bay has nobody out who usually covers receivers.

CokerNo injury designation

Around himCarolina Panthers

1 of 21 touch Coker

This week

OutJa'Tavion SandersTEFrees targets

Across from himGreen Bay Packers

1 of 27 touch Coker

Off the report this week

ClearedBenjamin St-JusteCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2127Show

CAR · Carolina Panthers

21 listed

AJ DillonRB · Not specifiedOut
Akayleb EvansCB · triceps, kneeOut
Bobby Brown IIIDT · handOut
Damien LewisG · kneeOut
Haynes KingQB · Not specifiedOut
Ja'Tavion SandersTE · Not specifiedOut
Jaelan PhillipsLB · hamstringOut
Torricelli Simpkins IIIG · ankleOut
Bam Martin-ScottLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
Cam JacksonDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (knee)—
Claudin CherelusLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (shoulder)—
Devin LloydLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
Lee HunterDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (foot)—
Monroe FreelingOT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
Nick ScottSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (rib)—
Patrick Jones IILB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (back)—
Taylor MotonOT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (lung)—
Tershawn WhartonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (neck)—
Thomas IncoomLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
Trevor EtienneRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
Xavier LegetteWR · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—

GB · Green Bay Packers

27 listed

Jonnu SmithTE · Not specifiedOut
Kaleb JohnsonRB · Not specifiedOut
Sean RhyanC · ankleOut
Travis GloverOT · kneeOut
Zaire FranklinOLB · shinOut
Anthony CampbellDT · ankleQuestionable
Brenton Cox Jr.DE · quadricepQuestionable
Devonte WyattDT · ankleQuestionable
Matthew GoldenWR · shoulder, footQuestionable
Aaron BanksG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, toe)Cleared
Benjamin St-JusteCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
Bo MeltonWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
Brandon CisseCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hip)—
Chris BrooksRB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
Edgerrin CooperLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder, concussion)—
Jacob MonkG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
Jager BurtonG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (back)—
Javon HargraveNT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (achilles)—
Jayden ReedWR · Last listed Wk 3: Out (neck)—
Jonathan FordDT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (calf)—
Jordon RileyDT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (achilles)Cleared
Lukas Van NessLB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (concussion)—
Savion WilliamsWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
Skyy MooreWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ankle)—
Ty'Ron HopperLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (achilles)—
Warren BrinsonDT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (calf, groin)—
Zach Bako-BeweleG · Last listed Wk 3: Out (knee)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs line Distribution Splits Game log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 6

against the posted 62.5

138

CHI

at ATL

at CLE

—DNP

BYE

at PHI

at GB

Cleared 62.5Under 62.5

Explore line62.5

Consensus line: 62.5; yards
Nuvela projection: 48.3; −14.2 on the line
Above the line: 3 of 5; 60% of the sample
vs closing lines: 3 of 5; each week's own close
Median: 66; regular season
Average: 65.6; +3.1 on the line

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

Window	Median	Above % · vs current line	Above % · vs closing line
Last 3	18	33%1/3	33%1/3
Last 5	66	60%3/5	60%3/5
Season	66	60%3/5	60%3/5
Last season	36	9%1/11	64%7/11

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

5 of 5 games

Venue

Game state

Opponent defense

Games: 5; of 5
Average: 65.6; yards
Median: 66; yards
Above 62.5: 3 of 5; 60% of the sample
vs the full 5: 0.0; yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

Week	Opponent	Receiving Yards	Line that week	Against it
Week 1	vs CHI	138	41.5	+96.5
Week 2	@ ATL	66	49.5	+16.5
Week 3	@ CLE	18	58.5	−40.5
Week 6	@ PHI	97	56.5	+40.5
Week 7	vs TB	9	66.5	−57.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

5 played

Week	Opponent	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Long	aDOT	TD
Wk 7	vs TB	4	1	9	9	—	0
Wk 6	@ PHI	13	6	97	32	12	0
Wk 3	@ CLE	4	2	18	13	—	0
Wk 2	@ ATL	9	8	66	25	5.8	0
Wk 1	vs CHI	9	8	138	51	13.8	2

Comparable players vs Green Bay

12 of 18

wide receivers went over their line vs Green Bay

Coker this weekLine62.5Nuvela projection48.3

Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · Week 7Line 80.5153Rec ydsOver 80.5Over+72.5
Jameson WilliamsDET · Week 7Line 54.591Rec ydsOver 54.5Over+36.5
CeeDee LambDAL · Week 6Line 83.570Rec ydsUnder 83.5Under−13.5
George PickensDAL · Week 6Line 69.573Rec ydsOver 69.5Over+3.5
Ryan FlournoyDAL · Week 6Line 33.540Rec ydsOver 33.5Over+6.5
Kalif RaymondCHI · Week 5Line 27.56Rec ydsUnder 27.5Under−21.5
Luther Burden IIICHI · Week 5Line 46.547Rec ydsOver 46.5Over+0.5
Rome OdunzeCHI · Week 5Line 39.540Rec ydsOver 39.5Over+0.5
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · Week 4Line 26.531Rec ydsOver 26.5Over+4.5
Emeka EgbukaTB · Week 4Line 37.513Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−24.5
Tez JohnsonTB · Week 4Line 9.517Rec ydsOver 9.5Over+7.5
Drake LondonATL · Week 3Line 65.5194Rec ydsOver 65.5Over+128.5
Jahan DotsonATL · Week 3Line 17.511Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−6.5
Adonai MitchellNYJ · Week 2Line 33.563Rec ydsOver 33.5Over+29.5
Garrett WilsonNYJ · Week 2Line 65.557Rec ydsUnder 65.5Under−8.5
Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · Week 2Line 11.534Rec ydsOver 11.5Over+22.5
Jordan AddisonMIN · Week 1Line 42.50Rec ydsUnder 42.5Under−42.5
Justin JeffersonMIN · Week 1Line 73.592Rec ydsOver 73.5Over+18.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponent Similar players Game context

Opponent defense

How Green Bay Packers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Green Bay Packers actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

Measure	Allowed	League avg	Rank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.	21.9	18.4	30th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.	65%	62%	23rd of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.	156.7	148.6	22nd of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.	7.2	8.1	6th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.	9.5	11.1	5th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.	4.8	4.3	23rd of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.	6%	11%	1st of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed

Position	FP allowed / g	Rank1 = toughest
QB	13	5th of 32
RB	25.5	28th of 32
WRhis position	35.7	24th of 32
TE	9	2nd of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

Player	Rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase2025 · Wk 6	94
Rome Odunze2026 · Wk 5	40
Wan'Dale Robinson2025 · Wk 11	36
DJ Moore2025 · Wk 16	97
Emeka Egbuka2026 · Wk 4	13

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total: 47.5; combined
CAR implied total: 22; underdog
GB implied total: 25.5; favored
Projected script: Neutral/Trail; underdog
Pace: 26.6s; seconds / play
Wind: 9 mph; Clear
Conditions: 58°F; outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates

Offensive play count: 65.3; 6-game avg
Dropbacks: 43.1; 66% pass
Red-zone trips: 3.7; 6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp: +4.0; PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsage Availability Injuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

Snap share67%

Of the offence's snaps

Route %79%

Of the team's dropbacks

Target share23%

Of all his team's targets

Air-yards share24%

Of the team's intended air yards

RZ target share16%

Inside the opponent's 20

Targets / g7.8

Targets per game

Yards / route run2.5

Receiving yards per route run

aDOT11.7

Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

1 session

Full

Injury: Last listed Wk 4: Q (quadricep)
Game status: No designation
Snap share, last game: 66%
Games missed this season: 1

If Coker sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

John Metchie IIIWR · 40% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarkets Odds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

6 posted · 2 not posted

Market	Line	Projection	Diff	Cleared L5	Opened	Since open
Receiving Yards	62.5	48.3Nuvela projection	−14.2	3 of 5	63.5	−1.0
Receptions	4.5	4.5Nuvela projection	0.0	3 of 5	4.5	level
Anytime TD	34%	Market only	—	1 of 5	34%	level
Longest Reception	22.5	24.9Nuvela	+2.4	3 of 5	22.5	level
1st TD	7%	Market only	—	0 of 5	7%	level
Last TD	9%	Market only	—	0 of 5	9%	level
2+ TDs	No line was posted
Rush + Rec Yards	No line was posted

What these figures mean

Cleared L5: How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open: How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

net −1 (range 60.5–64.5)

Mon 5:21 AM63.5opened
Mon 5:21 AM63.50.0
Mon 5:12 PM62.5−1.0Coker was listed as limited on Monday's estimated practice report due to a shoulder injury, Darin Gantt of the Panthers' official site reports.
Tue 5:15 AM64.5+2.0
Wed 11:15 PM63.5−1.0
Thu 5:13 PM62.5−1.0

Opened 63.5, now 62.5.

Catalysts are matched to each move by timing, which is approximate. Read them as what was in the news around the move, not a proven cause.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

Receiving Yards

6 books

Sportsbook	Line	Over	Under
BetMGM	62.5	−105	−130
BetOnline	61.5	−114	−114
BetRivers	61.5	−113	−118
Bovada	74.5	+130	−170
DraftKings	64.5	−111	−113
FanDuel	61.5	−113	−113

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Jalen Coker's prop lines come from?: From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Jalen Coker's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Jalen Coker's projection made?: The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Jalen Coker's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?: No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.