QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalon Daniels
Jalon Daniels (QB, TB) props for Week 7 at Carolina Panthers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Carolina Panthers · Week 7
- Line
- —
- Passing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 1 of 10
- Projections updated
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 24% | Market only | — | 0 of 4 | 22% | +1% |
| Passing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Passing TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Interceptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Completions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass + Rush Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Completion | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the QB's passing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The WR1's receiving yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove together · 732 games+0.5
- The TE1's receiving yardsmove together · 730 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games−0.1
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Passing Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 1 of 3
- each week's own close
- Median
- 156
- regular season
- Average
- 125.3
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 164 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Last 5 | 164 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Season | 164 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 4
- Average
- 125.3
- yards
- Median
- 156
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 4
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Passing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | vs MIN | 0 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs GB | 148 | 170.5 | −22.5 |
| Week 5 | @ DAL | 189 | 184.5 | +4.5 |
| Week 6 | vs PIT | 164 | 172.5 | −8.5 |
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 100%
- Games missed this season
- 0
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
TB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CAR · Carolina Panthers
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 44.5
- combined
- TB implied total
- 20.75
- underdog
- CAR implied total
- 23.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 30.4s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 69°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 62.3
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 40.2
- 65% pass
- His pass attempts
- 31.7
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −2.0
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Opponent defense
How Carolina Panthers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the pass
What Carolina Panthers actually allows to QBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts facedHow much passing volume this defence sees: the base under every passing prop. | 37.8 | 33.7 | 29th of 32 |
| Passing yards allowedPer game, to quarterbacks. | 237 | 236.1 | 16th of 32 |
| Yards per attempt allowedEfficiency conceded, independent of how often the defence is thrown on. | 6.3 | 7 | 7th of 32 |
| Completion % allowedCompletions per attempt. | 60% | 64% | 5th of 32 |
| Sack rateSacks per dropback. Sacks remove attempts outright, so they cap a passing line. | 6% | 6% | 20th of 32 |
| Pressure rateHow often this defence pressured the quarterbacks it faced: the mechanism behind suppressed passing yards. | 20% | 23% | 19th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 3rd of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QBhis position | 18 | 19th of 32 |
| RB | 25.7 | 28th of 32 |
| WR | 29.6 | 9th of 32 |
| TE | 16 | 24th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Pass yds |
|---|---|
| Sam Darnold2025 · Wk 17 | 147 |
| Jared Goff2026 · Wk 4 | 412 |
| Trevor Lawrence2025 · Wk 1 | 178 |
| Jordan Love2025 · Wk 9 | 273 |
| Baker Mayfield2025 · Wk 18 | 203 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Att | Comp | Pass yds | Long | TD | INT | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs PIT | 43 | 22 | 164 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 39 |
| Wk 5 | @ DAL | 25 | 19 | 189 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Wk 4 | vs GB | 27 | 19 | 148 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 55 |
| Wk 3 | vs MIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 |
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.