WR · Denver Broncos#81

Kolbe Katsis

Kolbe Katsis (WR, DEN) props for Week 8 vs Kansas City Chiefs: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
0 of 8
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Denver is without receiver Pat Bryant, so more of the receiver targets go to Katsis. Across from him, Kansas City has two cornerbacks questionable, the players who usually cover receivers.

KatsisNo injury designation

Around himDenver Broncos

3 of 19 touch Katsis

This week

  • QuestionableJaylen WaddleWR · chestFrees targets at his spot

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRPat BryantWRFrees targets at his spot
  • IRCaleb LohnerTEFrees targets

Across from himKansas City Chiefs

2 of 20 touch Katsis

This week

  • QuestionableL'Jarius SneedCB · kneeCovers receivers
  • QuestionableMansoor DelaneCB · shoulderCovers receivers
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1920Show

DEN · Denver Broncos

19 listed
  • RJ HarveyRB · kneeOut
  • Talanoa HufangaSAF · ankleOut
  • Brandon JonesSAF · hamstringQuestionable
  • Jaylen WaddleWR · chestQuestionable
  • Zach AllenDE · hamstringQuestionable
  • Caleb LohnerTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Frank CrumOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Jonah EllissLB · ankleIR
  • Levelle BaileyLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Matt HenningsenDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Michael DeiterC · Not specifiedIR
  • Nick GargiuloG · Not specifiedIR
  • Pat BryantWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Tyler BadieRB · thumbIR
  • Dondrea TillmanLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
  • Jonah ColemanRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
  • Marvin Mims Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (foot)—
  • Pat Surtain IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
  • Riley MossCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ribs)—

KC · Kansas City Chiefs

20 listed
  • Jaylon MooreOTOut last week
  • L'Jarius SneedCB · kneeQuestionable
  • Mansoor DelaneCB · shoulderQuestionable
  • R Mason ThomasDE · personalQuestionable
  • Brashard SmithRB · hamstringIR
  • C.J. HansonG · Not specifiedIR
  • Chris OladokunQB · Not specifiedIR
  • EJ SmithRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Ethan DownsLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jeff CaldwellWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Jimmy HolidayWR · Not specifiedIR
  • John Michael GyllenborgTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Josh SimmonsOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Matt WaletzkoOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Omarr Norman-LottDT · knee - aclPUP
  • Tyquan ThorntonWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Chamarri ConnerDB · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (knee)—
  • Chris JonesDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
  • Cooper McDonaldLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
  • Rashee RiceWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring, knee)Cleared

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards

against the posted line

No games played yet this season.

Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
—
regular season
Average
—

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to split.

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

No games played yet this season.

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Kansas City Chiefs defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

By position

fantasy points allowed

No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to rank a defence by.

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

No comparable games against this defense yet.

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
40.5
combined
DEN implied total
19.75
underdog
KC implied total
20.75
favored
Projected script
Close
tight spread
Pace
30s
seconds / play
Wind
2 mph
Clouds
Conditions
61°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
56.6
7-game avg
Dropbacks
33.9
60% pass
Red-zone trips
2.7
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−1.7
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

His opportunity share (snaps, routes, target and red-zone share) builds from games played. It fills in here once he has a season to read.

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
—
Games missed this season
5

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

0 posted · 8 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Anytime TDNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
1st TDNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Last TDNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
  2. The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
  3. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
  4. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Kolbe Katsis's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Kolbe Katsis's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Kolbe Katsis's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Kolbe Katsis's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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