nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 5 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Raiders vs Patriots Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Gillette Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor

The game in numbers

  • -1.6Pass rate over expected
  • 4thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketProjectionGap
Raiders20.5——
Patriots24.5——
Game total45.5——

Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

149 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props145

Raiders · Away10 players

RECEIVING YARDS
73.5MARKET−17.8WIDE55.7Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 110.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
6.5MARKET+0.1In line with market6.6Tank01 projection
Actual 8.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
20.5MARKET−4.5WIDE16.0Nuvela
Actual 27.0 · final result1ST TD
10%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
44%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Scored · final resultLAST TD
13%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 2 players · 6 props

Patriots · Home9 players

Depth and touchdown only · 3 players · 9 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
45.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
NE by 3.5MARKET+0.1GAP3.4NE by 3.4
Season range 3-29

Team props2

Raiders · Away1 market

RaidersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Patriots · Home1 market

PatriotsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market