nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY

Dolphins vs Jets Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 25 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
MetLife Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 67F, 1 mph wind, clear

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Malik WillisMIA · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    30.5
    Nuvela projection
    23.4
    Gap
    −7.1
  2. Braelon AllenNYJ · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    14.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    7.8
    Gap
    −6.7
  3. Caleb DouglasMIA · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    2.5
    Nuvela projection
    3.2
    Gap
    +0.7
  4. Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    53.5
    Nuvela projection
    45.4
    Gap
    −8.1
  5. Geno SmithNYJ · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    231.5
    Tank01 projection
    251.0
    Gap
    +19.5

The game in numbers

  • 113Projected plays
  • -7.5Pass rate over expected
  • 13thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Dolphins16.518.0+1.5
Jets22.521.7−0.8
Game total39.539.7+0.2

The Dolphins carry 65% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

156 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props152

Dolphins · Away7 players

RECEPTIONS
1.5MARKET+1.1WIDE2.6Nuvela projection
Season range 0-3RUSHING YARDS
53.5MARKET−8.1WIDE45.4Nuvela projection
Season range 7-100RUSH ATTEMPTS
13.5MARKET+0.4In line with market13.9Tank01 projection
Season range 3-18RUSH + REC YARDS
65.5MARKET+1.5In line with market67.0Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 7-100RECEIVING YARDS
7.5MARKET0.0In line with market7.5Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 0-14LONGEST RUSH
13.5MARKET+2.5WIDE16.0Nuvela
Season range 5-53LONGEST RECEPTION
5.5MARKET · 1 BOOK−0.1GAP5.4Nuvela
Season range 0-191ST TD
11%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
35%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1LAST TD
10%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 10 players · 28 props

Jets · Home7 players

Depth and touchdown only · 8 players · 24 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
39.5MARKET+0.2GAP39.739.7
Season range 25-55
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
NYJ by 4.5MARKET+0.8GAP3.7NYJ by 3.7
Season range 3-22

Team props2

Dolphins · Away1 market

DolphinsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
16.5MARKET+1.5GAP18.0Nuvela
Season range 10-24

Jets · Home1 market

JetsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
22.5MARKET−0.8GAP21.7Nuvela
Season range 12-24

Live stats. Posted lines.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

Get in Touch

support@nuvela.ai

Nuvela is owned and operated by Sit or Start AI, Inc. and is intended for users 21 and older. It is a research tool and does not accept bets, operate as a sportsbook, or have any affiliation with sportsbooks, daily fantasy operators, or gambling platforms.

All content is for research and entertainment purposes only.

Users should independently verify all stats, lines, and information before making any decisions based on it.

Gambling involves risk and can be addictive.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Available 24/7.

Copyright © 2026 Sit or Start AI, Inc. All rights reserved. Nuvela.ai is a product of Sit or Start AI, Inc.Run 20261024T044216Z-5a1ff5