WR · Miami Dolphins#1
Jalen Tolbert
Updated
Jalen Tolbert (WR, MIA) props for Week 7 at New York Jets: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ New York Jets · Week 7
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 8
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Miami is missing one tight end, which frees targets. Across from him, New York Jets is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.
TolbertNo injury designation
Around himMiami Dolphins
1 of 19 touch Tolbert
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCole TurnerTEFrees targets
Across from himNew York Jets
3 of 29 touch Tolbert
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRTre BrownCBCovers receivers
- IRVJ PayneSAFDeep coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedDane BeltonSAF · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1929ShowHide
MIA · Miami Dolphins
19 listed- Reese TaylorDB · quadricepOut
- Rob Beal Jr.DE · hamstringDoubtful
- Kyle LouisLB · kneeQuestionable
- Willie Gay Jr.LB · illnessQuestionable
- Carter WarrenOT · Not specifiedIR
- Cole TurnerTE · Not specifiedIR
- Darrell Baker Jr.CB · Not specifiedPUP
- De'Von AchaneRB · Not specifiedIR
- Rene KongaDE · Not specifiedIR
- Ronnie HarrisonLB · Not specifiedIR
- Trey MooreLB · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb DouglasWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
- Chop RobinsonLB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (concussion)—
- Jackson WoodardLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Jaylen WrightRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- Julius BrentsCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (knee)—
- Justin JolyTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
- Kenneth GrantDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (toe)—
- Tucker AddingtonLS · Last listed Wk 2: Q (shoulder)—
NYJ · New York Jets
29 listed- Joseph OssaiDE · ankleOut
- Max MitchellOT · concussionOut
- Breece HallRB · quadricepQuestionable
- Dylan ParhamG · kneeQuestionable
- Kene NwangwuRB · kneeQuestionable
- Anez CooperG · Not specifiedIR
- Arian SmithWR · Not specifiedIR
- Braiden McGregorDE · Not specifiedIR
- Chip TrayanumRB · Not specifiedIR
- Connor HulsteinTE · Not specifiedIR
- David OnyemataDT · Not specifiedIR
- Dominic RichardsonRB · Not specifiedIR
- Francisco MauigoaLB · quadricepIR
- Kingsley JonathanDE · Not specifiedIR
- Marcelino McCrary-BallLB · Not specifiedIR
- Mykal WalkerLB · Not specifiedIR
- Tre BrownCB · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BaronDE · Not specifiedPUP
- VJ PayneSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Adonai MitchellWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (finger)Cleared
- D'Angelo PondsCB · Last listed Wk 1: Doubtful (calf)—
- Dane BeltonSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)Cleared
- Kenyon SadiqTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (concussion)Cleared
- Kingsley EnagbareLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Mason TaylorTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (thumb)—
- Minkah FitzpatrickFS · Last listed Wk 3: Out (groin)—
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Tim PatrickWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (groin)—
- Will McDonald IVDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (calf)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 2
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 11
- regular season
- Average
- 11
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 16 | —— | 56%5/9 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 2
- of 3
- Average
- 11
- yards
- Median
- 11
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 3
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | vs KC | — | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ MIN | 0 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs CIN | 22 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | aDOT | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 5 | vs CIN | 2 | 1 | 22 | 22 | — | 0 |
| Wk 4 | @ MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs KC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Comparable players vs NY Jets
Other wide receivers who faced NY Jets this season, and how they did against their line.
wide receivers went under their line vs NY Jets
- A.J. BrownNE · Week 6Line 52.527Rec ydsUnder 52.5Under−25.5
- DeMario DouglasNE · Week 6Line 21.586Rec ydsOver 21.5Over+64.5
- Efton Chism IIINE · Week 6Line 11.50Rec ydsUnder 11.5Under−11.5
- Denzel BostonCLE · Week 5Line 47.546Rec ydsUnder 47.5Under−1.5
- Jerry JeudyCLE · Week 5Line 12.519Rec ydsOver 12.5Over+6.5
- Kalif RaymondCHI · Week 4Line 31.56Rec ydsUnder 31.5Under−25.5
- Luther Burden IIICHI · Week 4Line 46.563Rec ydsOver 46.5Over+16.5
- Rome OdunzeCHI · Week 4Line 32.594Rec ydsOver 32.5Over+61.5
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · Week 3Line 78.519Rec ydsUnder 78.5Under−59.5
- Jameson WilliamsDET · Week 3Line 53.549Rec ydsUnder 53.5Under−4.5
- Christian WatsonGB · Week 2Line 60.541Rec ydsUnder 60.5Under−19.5
- Matthew GoldenGB · Week 2Line 49.558Rec ydsOver 49.5Over+8.5
- Carnell TateTEN · Week 1Line 37.538Rec ydsOver 37.5Over+0.5
- Elic AyomanorTEN · Week 1Line 9.511Rec ydsOver 9.5Over+1.5
- Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · Week 1Line 41.538Rec ydsUnder 41.5Under−3.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How New York Jets defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What New York Jets actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 18.5 | 18.6 | 17th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 60% | 62% | 15th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 135.2 | 150.3 | 9th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 7.3 | 8.1 | 10th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 10.1 | 11.2 | 6th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 3.5 | 4.2 | 7th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 4th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.9 | 11th of 32 |
| RB | 21.9 | 19th of 32 |
| WRhis position | 30.5 | 13th of 32 |
| TE | 9.8 | 6th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase2025 · Wk 8 | 91 |
| Darnell Mooney2025 · Wk 13 | 25 |
| DK Metcalf2025 · Wk 1 | 83 |
| Gabe Davis2025 · Wk 18 | 41 |
| Denzel Boston2026 · Wk 5 | 46 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 39.5
- combined
- MIA implied total
- 17.5
- underdog
- NYJ implied total
- 22
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 31.1s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 1 mph
- Clear
- Conditions
- 66°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 54.8
- 5-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 32.2
- 59% pass
- His receptions
- 1.7
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.4
- 5-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −11.1
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 23%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Tolbert sits
If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.
Next up
Kevin Coleman Jr.WR · 57% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 4% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 incl. 2025 | 4% | level |
| 1st TD | 1% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 incl. 2025 | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 incl. 2025 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 732 games+0.2
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games0.0
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
