TE · Detroit Lions#89

Brock Wright

Updated

Brock Wright (TE, DET) props for Week 8 vs Minnesota Vikings: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8 · Dome

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Detroit is missing two receivers, which frees targets. Across from him, Minnesota is missing three linebackers and one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.

WrightNo injury designation

Around himDetroit Lions

2 of 20 touch Wright

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRKendrick LawWRFrees targets
  • IRTom KennedyWRFrees targets

Across from himMinnesota Vikings

5 of 19 touch Wright

This week

  • QuestionableJay WardSAF · kneeCovers tight ends

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRJacob RobertsLBCovers tight ends
  • IRJamal AdamsLBCovers tight ends
  • IRMarcus AllenDBCovers tight ends
Show 1 more
  • IRTyler BattyLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2019Show

DET · Detroit Lions

20 listed
  • Roger McCrearyCB · footQuestionable
  • Avonte MaddoxFS · Not specifiedIR
  • Ben BartchOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Damone ClarkLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Devin WhiteLB · forearmIR
  • Giovanni ManuOL · Not specifiedIR
  • Isiah PachecoRB · backIR
  • Kendrick LawWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Kerby JosephSAF · kneePUP
  • Payton TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Thomas HarperSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Tom KennedyWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Blake MillerOT · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
  • Brian BranchCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (achilles)Cleared
  • Cade MaysC · Last listed Wk 7: Q (wrist)Cleared
  • Christian IzienSAF · Last listed Wk 1: Q (groin)—
  • Christian MahoganyG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (hip)—
  • D.J. ReedCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (rib)—
  • Rock Ya-SinCB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (hamstring)—
  • Tyleik WilliamsDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—

MIN · Minnesota Vikings

19 listed
  • Jay WardSAF · kneeQuestionable
  • Donovan JacksonG · Not specifiedIR
  • Jacob RobertsLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jamal AdamsLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Josh OliverTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Marcus AllenDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Nick SamacC · Not specifiedIR
  • Tyler BattyLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Ben YurosekTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
  • Brett ThorsonP · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
  • Brian O'NeillOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • Charles DemmingsCB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (hamstring)—
  • Christian DarrisawOT · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
  • Jauan JenningsWR · Last listed Wk 2: Out—
  • Jordan AddisonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring)—
  • Jordan MasonRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (thumb)Cleared
  • Justin JeffersonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
  • Kyler MurrayQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (concussion)—
  • Michael JurgensG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (elbow)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 5

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
1 of 2
each week's own close
Median
7
regular season
Average
6.2

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 38——100%1/1
Last 54——50%1/2
Season4——50%1/2
Last season11——60%3/5

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

5 of 6 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
5
of 6
Average
6.2
yards
Median
7
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 6
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs NO5——
Week 2@ BUF06.5−6.5
Week 3vs NYJ7——
Week 4@ CAR85.5+2.5
Week 5@ ARI11——
Week 7vs GB—3.5—

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 7vs GB56%—————
Wk 5@ ARI67%1111110
Wk 4@ CAR35%21880
Wk 3vs NYJ58%22750
Wk 2@ BUF26%000—0
Wk 1vs NO51%11550

Comparable players vs Minnesota

4 of 6

tight ends went under their line vs Minnesota

  1. Juwan JohnsonNO · Week 516Rec ydsUnder 42.5
  2. Noah FantNO · Week 57Rec ydsUnder 13.5
  3. Cade OttonTB · Week 356Rec ydsOver 28.5
  4. Cole KmetCHI · Week 20Rec ydsUnder 13.5
  5. Colston LovelandCHI · Week 23Rec ydsUnder 50.5
  6. Tucker KraftGB · Week 165Rec ydsOver 43.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Minnesota Vikings defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Minnesota Vikings actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.6.37.68th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.47%72%1st of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.38.854.55th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.6.17.19th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.6.86.123rd of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.7.54.931st of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.10%11%14th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB7.61st of 32
RB161st of 32
WR25.34th of 32
TEhis position6.91st of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Sam LaPorta2025 · Wk 997
Dallas Goedert2025 · Wk 718
Theo Johnson2025 · Wk 160
David Njoku2025 · Wk 567
Cade Otton2026 · Wk 356

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
46
combined
DET implied total
24.75
favored
MIN implied total
21.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
28.3s
seconds / play
Wind
Indoors
no wind factor
Conditions
Dome
climate controlled

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
65.8
6-game avg
Dropbacks
40
61% pass
His receptions
1
projected this game
Red-zone trips
4.5
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−0.6
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share47%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %35%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share3%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share2%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share11%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT3.5
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
56%
Games missed this season
0

If Wright sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

Tyler ConklinTE · 12% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 4 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD11%Market only—0 of 58%+3%
1st TD2%Market only—0 of 52%level
Last TD3%Market only—0 of 52%+1%
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Brock Wright's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Brock Wright's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Brock Wright's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Brock Wright's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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