NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY

49ers vs Falcons Player Props

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 25 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions: —

Largest gaps vs typical error

Bijan RobinsonATL · RUSH ATTEMPTS
Line
18.5
Tank01 projection
22.1
Gap
+3.6
Bijan RobinsonATL · RUSHING YARDS
Line
89.5
Nuvela projection
75.8
Gap
−13.7
Christian McCaffreySF · RECEIVING YARDS
Line
44.5
Tank01, median-adjusted
36.5
Gap
−8.0
Christian McCaffreySF · RUSH + REC YARDS
Line
110.5
Tank01, median-adjusted
94.1
Gap
−16.4
George KittleSF · RECEIVING YARDS
Line
70.5
Tank01, median-adjusted
61.0
Gap
−9.5

The game in numbers

116Projected plays
-2.4Pass rate over expected
12thPace rank, slate
—Conditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

Team	Market	Nuvela	Gap
49ers	26.5	26.9	+0.4
Falcons	23.5	21.6	−1.9
Game total	49.5	48.5	−1.0

The Falcons carry 83% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

129 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props125

49ers · Away6 players

2.5MARKET−1.4WIDE1.1Nuvela projection

Season range 0-1 RECEIVING YARDS

24.5MARKET+2.3In line with market26.8Tank01, median-adjusted

Season range 0-13 LONGEST RECEPTION

15.5MARKET−4.3WIDE11.2Nuvela

Season range 7-13 1ST TD

4%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY

No range for this market ANYTIME TD

19%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY

Season range 0-1 LAST TD

4%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY

No range for this market

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Falcons · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE

49.5MARKET−1.0GAP48.548.5

Season range 33-69

Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE

SF by 2.5MARKET+2.8GAP5.3SF by 5.3

Season range 3-31

Team props2

49ers · Away1 market

49ersTEAM TOTAL POINTS

26.5MARKET+0.4GAP26.9Nuvela

Season range 23-36

Falcons · Home1 market

FalconsTEAM TOTAL POINTS

23.5MARKET−1.9GAP21.6Nuvela

Season range 3-45