TE · Atlanta Falcons#89
Charlie Woerner
Updated
Charlie Woerner (TE, ATL) props for Week 8 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Atlanta is missing one receiver, which frees targets. Across from him, Tampa Bay is missing two linebackers and two safeties, the players who usually cover tight ends.
WoernerNo injury designation
Around himAtlanta Falcons
2 of 28 touch Woerner
This week
- QuestionableOlamide ZaccheausWR · shoulderFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRBeaux CollinsWR · hipFrees targets
Across from himTampa Bay Buccaneers
5 of 23 touch Woerner
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRChristian RozeboomLB · fingerCovers tight ends
- IRJosh HayesDB · kneeCovers tight ends
- IRMohamed KamaraLBCovers tight ends
Show 1 more
- IRXavier WilliamsSAFCovers tight ends
Off the report this week
- ClearedAntoine Winfield Jr.SAF · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2823ShowHide
ATL · Atlanta Falcons
28 listed- Brian RobinsonRB · hamstringOut
- Avieon TerrellCB · backQuestionable
- Billy Bowman Jr.CB · hamstringQuestionable
- Charles SnowdenDE · backQuestionable
- Divine DeabloLB · forearmQuestionable
- Olamide ZaccheausWR · shoulderQuestionable
- Samson EbukamDE · hamstringQuestionable
- Anterio ThompsonDT · Not specifiedPUP
- Beaux CollinsWR · hipIR
- Cameron WilliamsOT · ankleIR
- Da'Shawn HandDE · Not specifiedIR
- DeAngelo MaloneLB · Not specifiedPUP
- JD BertrandLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jalon WalkerLB · Not specifiedIR
- Michael JerrellOT · bicepsIR
- Storm NortonOT · Not specifiedPUP
- Trey SermonRB · Not specifiedIR
- Yasir AbdullahLB · Not specifiedIR
- James Pearce Jr.DESuspended
- A.J. TerrellCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (groin)Cleared
- C.J. HendersonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (groin)Cleared
- Chris LindstromG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (concussion)—
- Gervon Dexter Sr.DT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
- Jake MatthewsOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (groin)—
- Kendal DanielsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)Cleared
- Michael Penix Jr.QB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
- Tua TagovailoaQB · Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (oblique)—
- Za'Darius SmithDE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)Cleared
TB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 listed- Emeka EgbukaWR · concussion, footOut
- Luke GoedekeOTOut last week
- Kenny GainwellRB · hipQuestionable
- Christian RozeboomLB · fingerIR
- Dennis HoustonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jalen McMillanWR · Not specifiedIR
- Josh HayesDB · kneeIR
- Mohamed KamaraLB · Not specifiedIR
- Xavier WilliamsSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Antoine Winfield Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (rib)Cleared
- Ayden GarnesCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Baker MayfieldQB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (thumb)Cleared
- Benjamin MorrisonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (quadricep)—
- David SillsWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Jacob ParrishCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Josiah TrotterLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Justin SkuleOT · Last listed Wk 1: Doubtful (oblique)—
- Ko KieftTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (elbow)—
- Miles KillebrewSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (concussion)—
- Rakeem Nunez-RochesDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (ankle, foot)—
- Rueben Bain Jr.LB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (groin, shoulder)—
- Sean TuckerRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
- SirVocea DennisLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle, foot)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 4.5
- regular season
- Average
- 5.5
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 1.5 | —— | 50%1/2 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 7
- Average
- 5.5
- yards
- Median
- 4.5
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 7
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ PIT | — | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs CAR | 0 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ GB | — | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ NO | 0 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs BAL | 13 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs CHI | — | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs SF | 9 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs SF | 72% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 6 | vs CHI | 29% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 5 | vs BAL | 66% | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | @ NO | 58% | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 3 | @ GB | 61% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 2 | vs CAR | 49% | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 1 | @ PIT | 62% | — | — | — | — | — |
Comparable players vs Tampa Bay
Other tight ends who faced Tampa Bay this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went under their line vs Tampa Bay
- Darnell WashingtonPIT · Week 6Line 25.525Rec ydsUnder 25.5Under−0.5
- Pat FreiermuthPIT · Week 6Line 30.511Rec ydsUnder 30.5Under−19.5
- Jake FergusonDAL · Week 5Line 26.519Rec ydsUnder 26.5Under−7.5
- Tucker KraftGB · Week 4Line 40.542Rec ydsOver 40.5Over+1.5
- T.J. HockensonMIN · Week 3Line 30.511Rec ydsUnder 30.5Under−19.5
- Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · Week 2Line 33.554Rec ydsOver 33.5Over+20.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Tampa Bay Buccaneers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Tampa Bay Buccaneers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 8.1 | 7.6 | 22nd of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 70% | 72% | 12th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 62 | 54.5 | 23rd of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 7.6 | 7.1 | 22nd of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 5.4 | 6.1 | 9th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 5.8 | 4.9 | 25th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 3rd of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 13.5 | 6th of 32 |
| RB | 17.9 | 4th of 32 |
| WR | 29.6 | 9th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 16.2 | 25th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Sam LaPorta2025 · Wk 7 | 15 |
| Kyle Pitts2025 · Wk 15 | 166 |
| Tucker Kraft2026 · Wk 4 | 42 |
| Trey McBride2025 · Wk 13 | 82 |
| Hunter Henry2025 · Wk 10 | 9 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 43.5
- combined
- ATL implied total
- 20.5
- underdog
- TB implied total
- 23
- favored
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 31.4s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Rain
- Conditions
- 73°F
- outdoor · 100% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59.7
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 32.6
- 55% pass
- His receptions
- 0.5
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −6.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 72%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Woerner sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Austin HooperTE · 28% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Drake LondonWR+2targets
- Olamide ZaccheausWR+1.7targets
- Jahan DotsonWR+0.5targets
- Kyle PittsTE+0.2targets
Based on 2 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 8% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 incl. 2025 | 5% | +2% |
| 1st TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | +1% |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Charlie Woerner's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Charlie Woerner's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Charlie Woerner's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Charlie Woerner's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
