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WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Brandon Johnson

Brandon Johnson (WR, PIT) props for Week 7 at New Orleans Saints: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

@ New Orleans Saints · Week 7 · Neutral site

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Oct 25, 1:00 AM PT
Markets posted
3 of 8
Projections updated
Oct 25, 1:01 AM PT

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Pittsburgh is without four other receivers, so more of the receiver targets go to Johnson. Across from him, New Orleans has nobody out who usually covers receivers.

JohnsonNo injury designation

Around himPittsburgh Steelers

5 of 21 touch Johnson

This week

  • OutBen SkowronekWR · calfFrees targets at his spot

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCole BurgessWRFrees targets at his spot
  • IRMichael PittmanWRFrees targets at his spot
  • IRRoman WilsonWR · fingerFrees targets at his spot

Off the report this week

  • ClearedPat FreiermuthTE · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field

Across from himNew Orleans Saints

3 of 33 touch Johnson

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDavid LongDBDeep coverage
  • IRRejzohn WrightDBDeep coverage

Off the report this week

  • ClearedLorenzo Styles Jr.SAF · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ listsPIT21NO33ShowHide
PIT

PIT · Pittsburgh Steelers

21 listed
  • Ben SkowronekWR · calfOut
  • Brandin EcholsCB · hamstringOut
  • DeShon ElliottSAF · kneeQuestionable
  • Rico DowdleRB · kneeQuestionable
  • Cole BurgessWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Daequan HardyCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Derrick HarmonDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Donte KentCB · Not specifiedPUP
  • Gennings DunkerG · Not specifiedIR
  • Jack DriscollOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Logan LeeDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Michael PittmanWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Roman WilsonWR · fingerIR
  • Sebastian Joseph-DayDT · tricepsIR
  • Jalen RamseyCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)Cleared
  • Jamel DeanCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
  • Keeanu BentonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
  • Pat FreiermuthTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)Cleared
  • Troy FautanuOT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (ankle)—
  • Yahya BlackDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
NO

NO · New Orleans Saints

33 listed
  • Cesar RuizG · kneeQuestionable
  • Nathan ShepherdDE · illnessQuestionable
  • Bryan BreseeDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Damien AlfordWR · Not specifiedIR
  • David LongDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dillon RadunzOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Jordyn TysonWR · hamstringIR
  • Kelvin Banks Jr.OT · Not specifiedIR
  • Mason TiptonWR · Not specifiedPUP
  • Moliki MatavaoTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Nick SaldiveriG · Not specifiedIR
  • Rejzohn WrightDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Travis EtienneRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Ty ChandlerRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Alvin KamaraRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (back)Cleared
  • Anfernee JenningsLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)Cleared
  • Barion BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (thigh)—
  • Cameron JordanLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
  • Carl GrandersonDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (ankle)—
  • Chase YoungDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
  • Chris OlaveWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)Cleared
  • Christen MillerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
  • Isaiah StalbirdLB · Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (shoulder)—
  • Jaylan FordLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
  • Jeremiah WrightG · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
  • Julian BlackmonSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (shoulder)—
  • Kaden EllissLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (calf)Cleared
  • Lorenzo Styles Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)Cleared
  • Martin EmersonCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
  • Noah FantTE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (abdomen)—
  • Oscar DelpTE · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
  • Pete WernerLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder)—
  • Zach WoodLS · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)Cleared
FormMatchupRoleMarket

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs lineDistributionSplitsGame log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards

against the posted line
—W6
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
—
regular season
Average
—

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

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Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

0 of 1 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense

No games match that split. Widen one of the cuts above.

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

1 played
WeekOpponentTargetsRecRec ydsLongaDOTTD
Wk 6@ TB——————

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Comparable players vs New Orleans

Other wide receivers who faced New Orleans this season, and how they did against their line.

8 of 14

wide receivers went under their line vs New Orleans

  1. Malachi FieldsNYG · Week 6Line 24.519Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−5.5
  2. Malik NabersNYG · Week 6Line 73.5165Rec ydsOver 73.5Over+91.5
  3. Jauan JenningsMIN · Week 5Line 21.50Rec ydsUnder 21.5Under−21.5
  4. Justin JeffersonMIN · Week 5Line 79.579Rec ydsUnder 79.5Under−0.5
  5. Tai FeltonMIN · Week 5Line 10.527Rec ydsOver 10.5Over+16.5
  6. Drake LondonATL · Week 4Line 80.596Rec ydsOver 80.5Over+15.5
  7. Jahan DotsonATL · Week 4Line 18.554Rec ydsOver 18.5Over+35.5
  8. Jalen NailorLV · Week 3Line 24.516Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−8.5
  9. Tre TuckerLV · Week 3Line 39.543Rec ydsOver 39.5Over+3.5
  10. LaJohntay WesterBAL · Week 2Line 22.514Rec ydsUnder 22.5Under−8.5
  11. Rashod BatemanBAL · Week 2Line 39.588Rec ydsOver 39.5Over+48.5
  12. Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · Week 1Line 78.567Rec ydsUnder 78.5Under−11.5
  13. Isaac TeSlaaDET · Week 1Line 17.50Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−17.5
  14. Jameson WilliamsDET · Week 1Line 57.545Rec ydsUnder 57.5Under−12.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponentSimilar playersGame context

Opponent defense

How New Orleans Saints defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What New Orleans Saints actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.17.818.613th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.63%62%19th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.149.7150.318th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.8.48.121st of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.11.311.219th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.3.54.28th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.9%11%7th of 32

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By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB17.918th of 32
RB30.132nd of 32
WRhis position31.916th of 32
TE17.927th of 32

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Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Wan'Dale Robinson2025 · Wk 530
Malachi Fields2026 · Wk 619
Rome Odunze2025 · Wk 731
Rashod Bateman2026 · Wk 288
Jaylen Waddle2025 · Wk 1340

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
43.5
combined
PIT implied total
23.25
favored
NO implied total
20.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
30.2s
seconds / play
Wind
—
no forecast yet
Conditions
Neutral site
Stade de France

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
62.5
6-game avg
Dropbacks
42.4
68% pass
Red-zone trips
2.7
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
+4.3
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsageAvailabilityInjuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share—
Of the offence's snaps
Route %—
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share—
Of all his team's targets
Air-yards share—
Of the team's intended air yards
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Targets / g—
Targets per game
aDOT—
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
4%
Games missed this season
0

If Johnson sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Kaden WetjenWR

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 5 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD4%Market only——4%level
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 11%level
Last TD1%Market only—0 of 11%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet

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What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
  2. The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 732 games+0.2
  3. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games0.0
  4. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

Brandon Johnson this week

  • Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints player props
  • Pittsburgh Steelers team props
  • Every player's props this week
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  • Germie Bernard props
  • DK Metcalf props
  • Devaughn Vele props
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JohnsonReceiving YardsLine—Projection—

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