nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · SUNDAY · NEUTRAL SITE

Steelers vs Saints Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 25 · 6:30 AM PT
Venue
Stade de France
Conditions
Outdoor · 60F, 16 mph wind, rain

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Jaylen WarrenPIT · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    63.5
    Nuvela projection
    74.6
    Gap
    +11.1
  2. Kendre MillerNO · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    37.5
    Nuvela projection
    27.0
    Gap
    −10.5
  3. Jaylen WarrenPIT · RECEPTIONS
    Line
    3.5
    Nuvela projection
    2.9
    Gap
    −0.6
  4. Germie BernardPIT · RECEIVING YARDS
    Line
    55.5
    Tank01, median-adjusted
    44.5
    Gap
    −11.0
  5. Tyler ShoughNO · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    14.5
    Nuvela projection
    10.9
    Gap
    −3.6

The game in numbers

  • 129.3Projected plays
  • +0.8Pass rate over expected
  • 4thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketProjectionGap
Steelers23.5——
Saints20.5——
Game total44.5——

Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

154 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props150

Steelers · Away7 players

RUSHING YARDS
63.5MARKET+11.1WIDE74.6Nuvela projection
Season range 43-127RECEPTIONS
3.5MARKET−0.6GAP2.9Nuvela projection
Season range 2-6RECEIVING YARDS
25.5MARKET−1.0In line with market24.5Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 27-87RUSH + REC YARDS
94.5MARKET+1.3In line with market95.8Tank01, median-adjusted
Season range 73-188RUSH ATTEMPTS
14.5MARKET+0.2In line with market14.7Tank01 projection
Season range 10-17LONGEST RECEPTION
13.5MARKET+11.9WIDE25.4Nuvela
Season range 13-80LONGEST RUSH
14.5MARKET+9.6WIDE24.1Nuvela
Season range 10-501ST TD
18%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
56%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-2LAST TD
15%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 18 props

Saints · Home9 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
44.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
PIT by 3.0MARKET+0.5GAP3.5PIT by 3.6
Season range 1-21

Team props2

Steelers · Away1 market

SteelersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
23.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Saints · Home1 market

SaintsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Live stats. Posted lines.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

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