WR · Pittsburgh Steelers#87
Brandon Smith
Brandon Smith (WR, PIT) props for Week 7 at New Orleans Saints: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ New Orleans Saints · Week 7 · Neutral site
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 8
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Pittsburgh is without four other receivers, so more of the receiver targets go to Smith. Across from him, New Orleans has nobody out who usually covers receivers.
SmithNo injury designation
Around himPittsburgh Steelers
5 of 21 touch Smith
This week
- OutBen SkowronekWR · calfFrees targets at his spot
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCole BurgessWRFrees targets at his spot
- IRMichael PittmanWRFrees targets at his spot
- IRRoman WilsonWR · fingerFrees targets at his spot
Off the report this week
- ClearedPat FreiermuthTE · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Across from himNew Orleans Saints
3 of 33 touch Smith
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDavid LongDBDeep coverage
- IRRejzohn WrightDBDeep coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedLorenzo Styles Jr.SAF · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2133ShowHide
PIT · Pittsburgh Steelers
21 listed- Ben SkowronekWR · calfOut
- Brandin EcholsCB · hamstringOut
- DeShon ElliottSAF · kneeQuestionable
- Rico DowdleRB · kneeQuestionable
- Cole BurgessWR · Not specifiedIR
- Daequan HardyCB · Not specifiedIR
- Derrick HarmonDT · Not specifiedIR
- Donte KentCB · Not specifiedPUP
- Gennings DunkerG · Not specifiedIR
- Jack DriscollOT · Not specifiedIR
- Logan LeeDT · Not specifiedIR
- Michael PittmanWR · Not specifiedIR
- Roman WilsonWR · fingerIR
- Sebastian Joseph-DayDT · tricepsIR
- Jalen RamseyCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)Cleared
- Jamel DeanCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Jaylen WarrenRB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Keeanu BentonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Pat FreiermuthTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)Cleared
- Troy FautanuOT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (ankle)—
- Yahya BlackDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
NO · New Orleans Saints
33 listed- Cesar RuizG · kneeQuestionable
- Nathan ShepherdDE · illnessQuestionable
- Bryan BreseeDT · Not specifiedIR
- Damien AlfordWR · Not specifiedIR
- David LongDB · Not specifiedIR
- Dillon RadunzOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jordyn TysonWR · hamstringIR
- Kelvin Banks Jr.OT · Not specifiedIR
- Mason TiptonWR · Not specifiedPUP
- Moliki MatavaoTE · Not specifiedIR
- Nick SaldiveriG · Not specifiedIR
- Rejzohn WrightDB · Not specifiedIR
- Travis EtienneRB · Not specifiedIR
- Ty ChandlerRB · Not specifiedIR
- Alvin KamaraRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (back)Cleared
- Anfernee JenningsLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)Cleared
- Barion BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (thigh)—
- Cameron JordanLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- Carl GrandersonDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (ankle)—
- Chase YoungDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
- Chris OlaveWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)Cleared
- Christen MillerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (illness)—
- Isaiah StalbirdLB · Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (shoulder)—
- Jaylan FordLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ankle)—
- Jeremiah WrightG · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
- Julian BlackmonSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (shoulder)—
- Kaden EllissLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (calf)Cleared
- Lorenzo Styles Jr.SAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)Cleared
- Martin EmersonCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Noah FantTE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (abdomen)—
- Oscar DelpTE · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- Pete WernerLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder)—
- Zach WoodLS · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)Cleared
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 1
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 0
- regular season
- Average
- 0
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 1
- of 2
- Average
- 0
- yards
- Median
- 0
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 2
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | vs IND | — | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ TB | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | aDOT | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 5 | vs IND | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Comparable players vs New Orleans
Other wide receivers who faced New Orleans this season, and how they did against their line.
wide receivers went under their line vs New Orleans
- Malachi FieldsNYG · Week 6Line 24.519Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−5.5
- Malik NabersNYG · Week 6Line 73.5165Rec ydsOver 73.5Over+91.5
- Jauan JenningsMIN · Week 5Line 21.50Rec ydsUnder 21.5Under−21.5
- Justin JeffersonMIN · Week 5Line 79.579Rec ydsUnder 79.5Under−0.5
- Tai FeltonMIN · Week 5Line 10.527Rec ydsOver 10.5Over+16.5
- Drake LondonATL · Week 4Line 80.596Rec ydsOver 80.5Over+15.5
- Jahan DotsonATL · Week 4Line 18.554Rec ydsOver 18.5Over+35.5
- Jalen NailorLV · Week 3Line 24.516Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−8.5
- Tre TuckerLV · Week 3Line 39.543Rec ydsOver 39.5Over+3.5
- LaJohntay WesterBAL · Week 2Line 22.514Rec ydsUnder 22.5Under−8.5
- Rashod BatemanBAL · Week 2Line 39.588Rec ydsOver 39.5Over+48.5
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · Week 1Line 78.567Rec ydsUnder 78.5Under−11.5
- Isaac TeSlaaDET · Week 1Line 17.50Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−17.5
- Jameson WilliamsDET · Week 1Line 57.545Rec ydsUnder 57.5Under−12.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How New Orleans Saints defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What New Orleans Saints actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 17.8 | 18.6 | 13th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 63% | 62% | 19th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 149.7 | 150.3 | 18th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 8.4 | 8.1 | 21st of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 11.3 | 11.2 | 19th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 3.5 | 4.2 | 8th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 9% | 11% | 7th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 17.9 | 18th of 32 |
| RB | 30.1 | 32nd of 32 |
| WRhis position | 31.9 | 16th of 32 |
| TE | 17.9 | 27th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson2025 · Wk 5 | 30 |
| Malachi Fields2026 · Wk 6 | 19 |
| Rome Odunze2025 · Wk 7 | 31 |
| Rashod Bateman2026 · Wk 2 | 88 |
| Jaylen Waddle2025 · Wk 13 | 40 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 43.5
- combined
- PIT implied total
- 23.25
- favored
- NO implied total
- 20.25
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 30.2s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- —
- no forecast yet
- Conditions
- Neutral site
- Stade de France
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 62.5
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 42.4
- 68% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 2.7
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- +4.3
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 52%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Smith sits
If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.
Next up
Kaden WetjenWR
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 10% | Market only | — | 0 of 1 | 9% | +1% |
| 1st TD | 3% | Market only | — | 0 of 2 | 2% | level |
| Last TD | 3% | Market only | — | 0 of 2 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 732 games+0.2
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games0.0
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
