TE · Cleveland Browns#48
Carsen Ryan
Carsen Ryan (TE, CLE) props for Week 8 at Pittsburgh Steelers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Cleveland is without tight end Joe Royer, so the position’s targets stay with Ryan. Across from him, Pittsburgh is missing one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.
RyanNo injury designation
Around himCleveland Browns
1 of 29 touch Ryan
Out long term · already in his recent games
- PUPJoe RoyerTELeaves the tight end targets to him
Across from himPittsburgh Steelers
5 of 22 touch Ryan
This week
- OutBrandin EcholsCB · hamstringIn pass coverage
- OutDoneiko SlaughterDB · hamstringCovers tight ends
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDaequan HardyCBIn pass coverage
- PUPDonte KentCBIn pass coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedDeShon ElliottSAF · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2922ShowHide
CLE · Cleveland Browns
29 listed- Dillon GabrielQBOut last week
- Daniel ThomasSAF · ankleQuestionable
- Myles HardenCB · hamstringQuestionable
- Alex WrightDE · Not specifiedIR
- Damarri MathisDB · Not specifiedIR
- Edefuan UlofoshioLB · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ChatmanDT · Not specifiedIR
- Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB · Not specifiedPUP
- Joe RoyerTE · Not specifiedPUP
- Kalia DavisDT · quadricepIR
- Raheim SandersRB · Not specifiedIR
- Teven JenkinsG · backIR
- Bub MeansWRPractice squad
- John Saunders Jr.SAFInactive
- Audric EstiméRB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (thigh)—
- Carson SchwesingerLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Denzel WardCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hand)Cleared
- Derek BarnettDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Dylan SampsonRB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
- Elgton JenkinsC · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
- Grant DelpitSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Mason GrahamDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee, ankle)—
- Mike Hall Jr.DT · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Noah IgbinogheneCB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hand)—
- Parker BrailsfordC · Last listed Wk 1: Q (thumb)—
- Quincy WilliamsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)Cleared
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Tylan WallaceWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (knee)—
- Tyson CampbellCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q—
PIT · Pittsburgh Steelers
22 listed- Brandin EcholsCB · hamstringOut
- Doneiko SlaughterDB · hamstringOut
- Ben SkowronekWR · calfQuestionable
- Cole BurgessWR · Not specifiedIR
- Daequan HardyCB · Not specifiedIR
- Derrick HarmonDT · Not specifiedIR
- Donte KentCB · Not specifiedPUP
- Gennings DunkerG · Not specifiedIR
- Jack DriscollOT · Not specifiedIR
- Logan LeeDT · Not specifiedIR
- Michael PittmanWR · Not specifiedIR
- Roman WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Sebastian Joseph-DayDT · tricepsIR
- DeShon ElliottSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Jalen RamseyCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
- Jamel DeanCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Jaylen WarrenRB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Keeanu BentonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Pat FreiermuthTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Rico DowdleRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Troy FautanuOT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (ankle)—
- Yahya BlackDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- —
- regular season
- Average
- —
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
No games match that split. Widen one of the cuts above.
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | @ TEN | DNP | |||||
| Wk 6 | vs BAL | DNP | |||||
| Wk 4 | vs PIT | 2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | DNP | |||||
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | DNP | |||||
Comparable players vs Pittsburgh
Other tight ends who faced Pittsburgh this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went under their line vs Pittsburgh
- Juwan JohnsonNO · Week 7Line 31.57Rec ydsUnder 31.5Under−24.5
- Cade OttonTB · Week 6Line 27.54Rec ydsUnder 27.5Under−23.5
- Tyler WarrenIND · Week 5Line 43.583Rec ydsOver 43.5Over+39.5
- Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · Week 4Line 40.527Rec ydsUnder 40.5Under−13.5
- Drew SampleCIN · Week 3Line 6.50Rec ydsUnder 6.5Under−6.5
- Mike GesickiCIN · Week 3Line 24.537Rec ydsOver 24.5Over+12.5
- Hunter HenryNE · Week 2Line 38.540Rec ydsOver 38.5Over+1.5
- Kyle PittsATL · Week 1Line 38.50Rec ydsUnder 38.5Under−38.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Pittsburgh Steelers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Pittsburgh Steelers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 5.7 | 7.6 | 2nd of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 73% | 72% | 18th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 41.9 | 54.5 | 8th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 7.3 | 7.1 | 21st of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 7.1 | 6.1 | 27th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 3.7 | 4.9 | 5th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 11% | 11% | 20th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 12.2 | 4th of 32 |
| RB | 20.2 | 12th of 32 |
| WR | 30.5 | 14th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 10.9 | 9th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Cade Otton2026 · Wk 6 | 4 |
| Tyler Warren2026 · Wk 5 | 83 |
| T.J. Hockenson2025 · Wk 4 | 39 |
| Tucker Kraft2025 · Wk 8 | 143 |
| Hunter Henry2026 · Wk 2 | 40 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 39.5
- combined
- CLE implied total
- 18
- underdog
- PIT implied total
- 21.5
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 29.9s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 3 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 66°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59.3
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 37.3
- 63% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 2.3
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −1.1
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 5: Out (calf)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 2%
- Games missed this season
- 5
If Ryan sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Blake WhiteheartTE · 29% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Denzel BostonWR+2.8targets
- Quinshon JudkinsRB+2.2targets
Based on 5 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 3% | Market only | — | — | 3% | level |
| 1st TD | 1% | Market only | — | 0 of 2 | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 1% | Market only | — | 0 of 2 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Carsen Ryan's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Carsen Ryan's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Carsen Ryan's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Carsen Ryan's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
