Where do Kalif Raymond's prop lines come from?

From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Kalif Raymond's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.

How is Kalif Raymond's projection made?

The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Kalif Raymond's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.

Is this betting advice?

No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.

WR · Chicago Bears#14

Kalif Raymond

Updated Oct 30, 9:32 AM PT

Kalif Raymond's receiving yards line is 21.5 for Week 8 at Seattle Seahawks (Mon, Nov 2); the projection is 22.3. 6 of 8 markets posted.

@ Seattle Seahawks · Week 8

Line: 21.5; Receiving Yards
Nuvela projection: 22.3; this week
Difference: +0.8; +4%

Lines checked: Oct 30, 2:08 PM PT
Markets posted: 6 of 8
Line since open: −1.0, from 22.5
Projections updated: Oct 30, 2:09 PM PT

Highlights

Line21.5Down 1 since it opened at 22.5 on Tuesday. No single piece of news lines up with the moves.

Over

Why he could top 21.5 receiving yards

22.5PREVIOUS LOWAt 21.5, this is the lowest line he has seen this season. His others ran from 22.5 to 31.5.
26.7A GAMEHe has averaged about 27 receiving yards over his last 6 games, against a line of 21.5.
3PT UNDERDOGChicago is a 3 point underdog.

Under

Why he could fall short of 21.5

1stFEWESTSeattle gives up 92 receiving yards a game to receivers this season, the fewest in the league.
8%LAST 3 GAMESHis target share over his last 3 games is 8%, down from 20% before that.
3rdLOWESTSeattle lets receivers catch 56% of their targets this season, the 3rd lowest in the league.

Ranked by how much each one matters. We show both sides and leave the decision to you. Nuvela is AI and can make mistakes.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Chicago is without receiver Ray-Ray McCloud, so more of the receiver targets go to Raymond. Across from him, Seattle is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.

RaymondNo injury designation

Around himChicago Bears

5 of 31 touch Raymond

This week

QuestionableColston LovelandTE · neckFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRRay-Ray McCloudWRFrees targets at his spot
IRCole KmetTE · kneeFrees targets
IRHayden LargeTEFrees targets

Show 1 more

IRNikola KalinicTEFrees targets

Across from himSeattle Seahawks

3 of 31 touch Raymond

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRBud ClarkSAFDeep coverage
IRJulian NealCBCovers receivers

Off the report this week

ClearedNick EmmanworiSAF · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3131Show

CHI · Chicago Bears

31 listed

Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—

SEA · Seattle Seahawks

31 listed

Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs line Distribution Splits Game log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 7

against the posted 21.5

at CAR

MIN

PHI

NYJ

at GB

at ATL

22.3vs SEA

Cleared 21.5Under 21.5Nuvela projection this week

Explore line21.5

Consensus line: 21.5; yards
Nuvela projection: 22.3; +0.8 on the line
Above the line: 3 of 7; 43% of the sample
vs closing lines: 3 of 7; each week's own close
Median: 18; regular season
Average: 34.9; +13.4 on the line

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

Window	Median	Above % · vs current line	Above % · vs closing line
Last 3	6	0%0/3	0%0/3
Last 5	6	20%1/5	20%1/5
Season	18	43%3/7	43%3/7
Last season	14	27%4/15	54%7/13

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

7 of 7 games

Venue

Game state

Opponent defense

Games: 7; of 7
Average: 34.9; yards
Median: 18; yards
Above 21.5: 3 of 7; 43% of the sample
vs the full 7: 0.0; yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

Week	Opponent	Receiving Yards	Line that week	Against it
Week 1	@ CAR	84	14.5	+69.5
Week 2	vs MIN	40	23.5	+16.5
Week 3	vs PHI	90	22.5	+67.5
Week 4	vs NYJ	6	31.5	−25.5
Week 5	@ GB	6	27.5	−21.5
Week 6	@ ATL	18	26.5	−8.5
Week 7	vs NE	0	25.5	−25.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

7 played

Week	Opponent	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Long	aDOT	TD
Wk 7	vs NE	2	0	0	—	—	0
Wk 6	@ ATL	2	2	18	13	—	0
Wk 5	@ GB	4	3	6	6	—	0
Wk 4	vs NYJ	2	2	6	5	—	0
Wk 3	vs PHI	7	6	90	41	9.3	1
Wk 2	vs MIN	5	5	40	16	0.9	0
Wk 1	@ CAR	9	8	84	28	7	0

Comparable players vs Seattle

12 of 17

wide receivers went under their line vs Seattle

Raymond this weekLine21.5Nuvela projection22.3

Andrew ArmstrongKC · Week 7Line 11.53Rec ydsUnder 11.5Under−8.5
Jalen RoyalsKC · Week 7Line 21.50Rec ydsUnder 21.5Under−21.5
Xavier WorthyKC · Week 7Line 49.511Rec ydsUnder 49.5Under−38.5
Courtland SuttonDEN · Week 6Line 32.519Rec ydsUnder 32.5Under−13.5
Jaylen WaddleDEN · Week 6Line 47.524Rec ydsUnder 47.5Under−23.5
Troy FranklinDEN · Week 6Line 17.52Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−15.5
Mike EvansSF · Week 5Line 51.5113Rec ydsOver 51.5Over+61.5
Quentin JohnstonLAC · Week 4Line 34.544Rec ydsOver 34.5Over+9.5
Tre HarrisLAC · Week 4Line 36.560Rec ydsOver 36.5Over+23.5
Stefon DiggsWAS · Week 3Line 34.533Rec ydsUnder 34.5Under−1.5
Terry McLaurinWAS · Week 3Line 41.577Rec ydsOver 41.5Over+35.5
Kendrick BourneARI · Week 2Line 24.511Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−13.5
Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI · Week 2Line 36.50Rec ydsUnder 36.5Under−36.5
Michael WilsonARI · Week 2Line 37.518Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−19.5
DeMario DouglasNE · Week 1Line 20.520Rec ydsUnder 20.5Under−0.5
Mack HollinsNE · Week 1Line 10.551Rec ydsOver 10.5Over+40.5
Romeo DoubsNE · Week 1Line 37.50Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−37.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponent Similar players Game context

Opponent defense

How Seattle Seahawks defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Seattle Seahawks actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

Measure	Allowed	League avg	Rank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.	15.7	18.4	5th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.	56%	62%	3rd of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.	91.7	148.8	1st of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.	5.8	8.1	1st of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.	9.9	11.1	6th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.	3.5	4.3	6th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.	9%	11%	11th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed

Position	FP allowed / g	Rank1 = toughest
QB	10.4	2nd of 32
RB	20.9	15th of 32
WRhis position	21.5	1st of 32
TE	9.9	3rd of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

Player	Rec yds
Alec Pierce2025 · Wk 15	16
Justin Jefferson2025 · Wk 13	4
David Sills2025 · Wk 14	0
Michael Wilson2026 · Wk 2	18
Tre Harris2026 · Wk 4	60

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total: 46.5; combined
CHI implied total: 21.75; underdog
SEA implied total: 24.75; favored
Projected script: Neutral/Trail; underdog
Pace: 30.6s; seconds / play
Wind: 2 mph; Clouds
Conditions: 50°F; outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates

Offensive play count: 71; 7-game avg
Dropbacks: 39.9; 56% pass
Red-zone trips: 4.3; 7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp: −0.3; PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsage Availability Injuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

Snap share62%

Of the offence's snaps

Route %69%

Of the team's dropbacks

Target share15%

Of all his team's targets

Air-yards share12%

Of the team's intended air yards

RZ target share11%

Inside the opponent's 20

Targets / g4.4

Targets per game

Yards / route run1.5

Receiving yards per route run

aDOT6.1

Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported

Injury: None reported
Game status: No designation
Snap share, last game: 70%
Games missed this season: 0

If Raymond sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Zavion ThomasWR · 10% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarkets Odds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

6 posted · 2 waiting on a book

Market	Line	Projection	Diff	Cleared L5	Opened	Since open
Receiving Yards	21.5	22.3Nuvela projection	+0.8	1 of 5	22.5	−1.0
Receptions	2.5	2.5Nuvela projection	0.0	2 of 5	2.5	level
Anytime TD	17%	Market only	—	1 of 5	17%	level
Longest Reception	13.5	13.3Nuvela	−0.2	2 of 5	13.5	level
1st TD	4%	Market only	—	0 of 5	4%	level
Last TD	4%	Market only	—	0 of 5	4%	level
2+ TDs	No line posted yet
Rush + Rec Yards	No line posted yet

What these figures mean

Cleared L5: How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open: How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

net −1 (range 21.5–22.5)

Tue 8:02 PM22.5opened
Fri 8:38 AM21.5−1.0

Opened 22.5, now 21.5.

Catalysts are matched to each move by timing, which is approximate. Read them as what was in the news around the move, not a proven cause.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

Receiving Yards

5 books

Sportsbook	Line	Over	Under
BetMGM	22.5	−115	−115
BetRivers	23.5	−112	−120
Bovada	21.5	−120	−110
DraftKings	21.5	−116	−108
FanDuel	20.5	−114	−114

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Kalif Raymond's prop lines come from?: From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Kalif Raymond's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Kalif Raymond's projection made?: The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Kalif Raymond's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?: No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.