TE · Green Bay Packers#88
Luke Musgrave
Luke Musgrave (TE, GB) props for Week 8 vs Carolina Panthers: no line was posted for this game. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8Final
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards · pregame line
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week. · pregame
- Result
- —
- result not recorded
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 7
- Projections updated
- Stats before
- Week 8
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Green Bay is without tight end Jonnu Smith, so the position’s targets stay with Musgrave. Across from him, Carolina is missing one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.
MusgraveNo injury designation
Around himGreen Bay Packers
3 of 27 touch Musgrave
This week
- OutJonnu SmithTELeaves the tight end targets to him
- QuestionableMatthew GoldenWR · shoulder, footFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedBo MeltonWR · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himCarolina Panthers
4 of 22 touch Musgrave
This week
- OutAkayleb EvansCB · triceps, kneeIn pass coverage
- OutJaelan PhillipsLB · hamstringCovers tight ends
Off the report this week
- ClearedBam Martin-ScottLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedThomas IncoomLB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2722ShowHide
GB · Green Bay Packers
27 listed- Jonnu SmithTE · Not specifiedOut
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · Not specifiedOut
- Sean RhyanC · ankleOut
- Travis GloverOT · kneeOut
- Zaire FranklinOLB · shinOut
- Anthony CampbellDT · ankleQuestionable
- Brenton Cox Jr.DE · quadricepQuestionable
- Devonte WyattDT · ankleQuestionable
- Matthew GoldenWR · shoulder, footQuestionable
- Aaron BanksG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, toe)Cleared
- Benjamin St-JusteCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
- Bo MeltonWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
- Brandon CisseCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hip)—
- Chris BrooksRB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
- Edgerrin CooperLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder, concussion)—
- Jacob MonkG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
- Jager BurtonG · Last listed Wk 5: Q (back)—
- Javon HargraveNT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (achilles)—
- Jayden ReedWR · Last listed Wk 3: Out (neck)—
- Jonathan FordDT · Last listed Wk 6: Out (calf)—
- Jordon RileyDT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (achilles)Cleared
- Lukas Van NessLB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (concussion)—
- Savion WilliamsWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Skyy MooreWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ankle)—
- Ty'Ron HopperLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (achilles)—
- Warren BrinsonDT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (calf, groin)—
- Zach Bako-BeweleG · Last listed Wk 3: Out (knee)—
CAR · Carolina Panthers
22 listed- AJ DillonRB · Not specifiedOut
- Akayleb EvansCB · triceps, kneeOut
- Bobby Brown IIIDT · handOut
- Damien LewisG · kneeOut
- Haynes KingQB · Not specifiedOut
- Ja'Tavion SandersTE · Not specifiedOut
- Jaelan PhillipsLB · hamstringOut
- Torricelli Simpkins IIIG · ankleOut
- Bam Martin-ScottLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
- Cam JacksonDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (knee)—
- Claudin CherelusLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (shoulder)—
- Devin LloydLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
- Jalen CokerWR · Last listed Wk 4: Q (quadricep)—
- Lee HunterDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (foot)—
- Monroe FreelingOT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Nick ScottSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (rib)—
- Patrick Jones IILB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (back)—
- Taylor MotonOT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (lung)—
- Tershawn WhartonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (neck)—
- Thomas IncoomLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
- Trevor EtienneRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Xavier LegetteWR · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards
No games played yet this season.
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- —
- regular season
- Average
- —
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 38 | —— | 100%1/1 |
| Last 5 | 38 | —— | 100%3/3 |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 22 | —— | 55%6/11 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to split.
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
No games played yet this season.
Comparable players vs Carolina
Other tight ends who faced Carolina this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went over their line vs Carolina
- Cade OttonTB · Week 7Line 38.50Rec ydsUnder 38.5Under−38.5
- Dallas GoedertPHI · Week 6Line 36.561Rec ydsOver 36.5Over+24.5
- Sam LaPortaDET · Week 4Line 47.584Rec ydsOver 47.5Over+36.5
- Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · Week 3Line 35.551Rec ydsOver 35.5Over+15.5
- Cole KmetCHI · Week 1Line 13.535Rec ydsOver 13.5Over+21.5
- Colston LovelandCHI · Week 1Line 53.50Rec ydsUnder 53.5Under−53.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Carolina Panthers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Carolina Panthers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 7.8 | 7.6 | 16th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 60% | 72% | 3rd of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 46.3 | 54.4 | 14th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 5.9 | 7.1 | 8th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 8.2 | 6.1 | 32nd of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 4 | 4.9 | 10th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 2nd of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 16.1 | 14th of 32 |
| RB | 28.7 | 31st of 32 |
| WR | 27.9 | 7th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 13.3 | 18th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Mason Taylor2025 · Wk 7 | 31 |
| George Kittle2025 · Wk 12 | 78 |
| Trey McBride2025 · Wk 2 | 78 |
| Cade Otton2026 · Wk 7 | 0 |
| Colston Loveland2026 · Wk 1 | 0 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 47.5
- combined
- GB implied total
- 25.5
- favored
- CAR implied total
- 22
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 29.5s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 9 mph
- Clear
- Conditions
- 58°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 60.4
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 40.8
- 68% pass
- His receptions
- 2.3
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.6
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- +3.3
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- —
- Games missed this season
- —
If Musgrave sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Mark RedmanTE · 29% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No line was posted | |||||
| Receptions | No line was posted | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line was posted | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line was posted | |||||
| 1st TD | No line was posted | |||||
| Last TD | No line was posted | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line was posted | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Luke Musgrave's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Luke Musgrave's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Luke Musgrave's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Luke Musgrave's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
